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Replies: 9 / Views: 2,160 |
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New Member
United States
10 Posts |
Hi all
I am considering starting a collection of Reale 8s from 18th century. I would not be able to add to many very high grade coins and would likely be shopping in the $250-$500 range per coin. Any advice on:
1) Likelihood of these holding their current value given many have dropped by more than half in last 5 years?
2) Potential liquidity if I were to want to sell at some point.
3) Anything else worth knowing?
Thanks for the advice?
Arb
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1156 Posts |
 , ArbInv! Quote: 1) Likelihood of these holding their current value given many have dropped by more than half in last 5 years? I have been actively buying 8 reales for the last five years and I don't believe their value has dropped by more than half. What evidence do you have for that claim? Quote: 2) Potential liquidity if I were to want to sell at some point. They were minted in the millions so many are still available for today's collectors. That level of availability is one reason that makes them popular to collect. Since they are popular to collect, there should be adequate liquidity. Just check ebay to see how many are available. Quote: 3) Anything else worth knowing? Your questions seem to be focused on 8 reales as a type of coin investment. I seriously doubt you will see much appreciation in value on $250-$500 per coin. Some high end examples are more affordable than they have in the past but I think that might be more related to current coin trends or broader economic trends and not specific to 8 reales. My advice is to study them first, especially how to detect the fakes and learn about their rich history. 18th Century 8 reales are the period of the Spanish Empire so you can collect coins from Spanish mints, Mexico City, Lima (Peru), Potosi (Bolivia), Guatemala and more scarce types from Chile and Columbia. In your price range XF pillar dollars to AU portrait dollars should be available for common varieties. Many can be found in TPG certified slabs if you prefer. Perhaps the best advice I can give is to read swamperbob's posts here about 8 reales. They are packed with great information. Hopefully you will buy his book as a reference to "Counterfeit Portrait Eight-Reales, the Un-real Reales".
Edited by jgenn 05/23/2016 01:14 am
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Valued Member
Norway
89 Posts |
Problem #1 is the fact that there are so many forgeries out there and that these forgeries are getting more and more sophisticated. Today, even seasoned numismatic experts can not always tell without a doubt whether a certain milled 8 reales is authentic or not. Ultimately, this means that you as a private collector, and a novice at that, will be having a hard time convincing potential buyers that your coin is ok. My advice would be to stick to renowned auction houses and NGC or PCGS certified specimens. This will make your hobby considerably more expensive but also a lot safer. Costly fun? Yes. A good investment? I doubt it.
Edited by diatonix 05/23/2016 02:10 am
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New Member
 United States
10 Posts |
Hi All
Thanks for the super helpful responses. My ultimate goal here is to put money into something which is both a) enjoyable and b) delivers an absolute return over a 15-20 year period. By nature I am a contrarian and like to invest in under-loved and under-appreciated assets which will with time shine through (no pun intended). Whether it is a return to the mean or is something that people will at some point come to realize true value is my sweet spot. I have no interest in putting money into todays 'hot stuff'.
I thought that Reales might be a good way to go but have read a lot about the forgery issue and this is a red flag for sure. I will keep thinking on it....
Andy
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Valued Member
United States
309 Posts |
Don't give up too easily. Every collector of US coins as they work back in centuries will someday meet the first coin in the RedBook, a Pillar dollar. I would want a nice, legitimate, and high grade example at a minimum. Buy from known National dealers who have return privileges. You may like the Soanish Milled Dollar so well that a denomination set from eight down to a half real is next. How about one from each Mint. Then a set of Portrait style coins. Then one from each King of Spain. You see how they can grow on you.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3342 Posts |
Spend some time window shopping here. http://www.sedwickcoins.comYou can see the whole range of quality and price over several years of auctions. I see 8R's as collector coins, with liquidity at 50% of retail, and that value only when selling to specialist dealers (who are looking at carrying costs) and avid collectors (who are looking for bargains). Outside of those 8R's usually sell above melt, but not by much. I like the cobs because of the hand-made quality. They are superabundant due to the shipwrecks. Retail prices are all over the place, from overpriced historic novelties from specific wrecks to cheap undated ones that are very badly struck and/or corroded. The only ones that have great value are the royals, and these should appreciate. Take a look at Lot 1095 in Sedwick's Treasure Auction #9 to see a premium 1685 8R royal. If you want coins that are interesting and obscure - and possibly underappreciated - look at the English Commonwealth. Compared with the contemporary Massachusetts coins they are a bargain. I don't remember what I paid but this shabby one was well under $500. 
"Two minutes ago I would have sold my chances for a tired dime." Fred Astaire
Edited by thq 05/23/2016 3:55 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
684 Posts |
These coins scare me. I am a student of Mexican numismatics and have dozens of 8Rs. Between contemporary counterfeits and 3d printing, staying away, well mostly.
Case in point, while out on the east coast four or five years ago, Bob and I got together to look at the paste up of his book. Showed him a 8Rs bought from experts, he saw three or four indications of problems. XRF analysis indicated that it could not have been produced in the 18th century, NGC said solid AU58. Is it fake or real? Does it matter? In any case it is staying the slab.
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Valued Member
Norway
89 Posts |
I totally agree with thq. Cobs (in Spanish: macuquinas) are a lot of fun to collect. They are the perfect niche for the individualist: not two of them are alike, there are many different mints, both peninsular (from the Spanish motherland) and colonial (South- and Central American). There is something for every budget and it doesn't take an eternity before you yourself can tell a fake from an authentic coin. Be prepared for many hours of interesting and exciting detective work! An absolute must is Sedwicks' "Practical Book of Cobs", available at their online shop. There are are also several highly recommended fb groups, ideal for information, advice, warnings and back up. Some basic knowledge of the Spanish language may come in handy.
Edited by diatonix 05/23/2016 6:30 pm
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Valued Member
United States
326 Posts |
I have to agree with Westwood Arms: Quote: These coins scare me. I am a student of Mexican numismatics and have dozens of 8Rs. Between contemporary counterfeits and 3d printing, staying away, well mostly.
Case in point, while out on the east coast four or five years ago, Bob and I got together to look at the paste up of his book. Showed him a 8Rs bought from experts, he saw three or four indications of problems. XRF analysis indicated that it could not have been produced in the 18th century, NGC said solid AU58. Is it fake or real? Does it matter? In any case it is staying the slab. I enjoyed collecting these for some time but the more I learned about them the less I liked what I saw and I bailed on them. Most of the post on the forum are about counterfeits and many times even the experts are not sure. And it appears to be getting worse and any of the slabbed coins may not be real reales.
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Pillar of the Community
Czech Republic
803 Posts |
You can have a lot of fun assembling an 8 Reales collection. So many directions you can take it - by mint, date runs, denominations, varieties, eye-appeal, etc... It can be a truly rewarding experience. You will need to learn quite a bit, especially when it comes to identifying forgeries. Having said that, sticking to already certified examples will drastically reduce any risk associated with buying a counterfeit. Yes, I'm aware of cases where both NGC and PCGS have certified questionable coins, but the percentage is so small that I consider these to be outliers. Here's what I have assembled over the last 10 or so years working with a relatively limited numismatic budget. Most of these coins are in the price range you have mentioned. http://www.PCGS.com/SetRegistry/Sho....aspx?sc=478
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Replies: 9 / Views: 2,160 |
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