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Replies: 42 / Views: 8,342 |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1839 Posts |
Anyone else get the most recent news email from Rick Snow? For those that don't subscribe, here an excerpt (it's a free subscription): Quote:"A new grading system!" ANA World Fair of Money presentation By Rick Snow, August 11, 2016 9:00 AM ---- Update ---- On Thursday, August 11, 2016, Rick Snow will present a talk which should revolutionize the coin hobby like nothing else in the past 20 years. The presentation is titled "A New Grading System." The details of the presentation will not be available until the presentation itself. As you can guess from the title, it is about grading. Rick has long advocated consistency in grading and has shown how flexible grading standards by certification services have caused the markets to sink in areas where the demand is strong and there should not be weakness in pricing. For example, the article at the link below from 2015 shows how overgraded 1877 Indian cents have hurt the valuation of these coins. Link to 1877 Indian cent article http://files.ctctcdn.com/3a64cb2f00...02e920ed.pdfPlease read this article carefully, as it is important to see how overgrading effects the market, especially now that much of the pricing is derived from coins selling at auction. Update - Since the presentation has been announced there has been a viral guessing game as to what the presentation will be about. I can say that this new grading system does not require a submission, nor does it cost anything. It is not something that I am selling. It is being presented to the the entire collecting public to use as they want without copyright restrictions. It is a new way of grading coins, certified or not. It can be used on Modern coins, Classic US, Early American coins, Colonials, Foreign coins, and Ancients. It is for any metal: copper, silver or gold. This has been in preparation for over two years. It would not have been revealed to the hobby if I didn't think it would be of a great benefit to all. It is simple to use and anyone with a grasp of current coin grading will be able to learn it quickly and easily. This is not an anti-grading service presentation, but it does address grade inflation in certified holders. It also is a system that can easily describe coins that are not currently encapsulated due to some problem like light cleaning. Sounds interesting. Anyone have any insight or thoughts on this they'd like to share? -edited to add link to the 1877 Indian cent article above. Edited by Tbone 06/05/2016 11:27 am
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Pillar of the Community
United States
6370 Posts |
      Rick Snow and I are of the same mindset. It should be interesting if his ideas are heeded to any degree, or if the TPGs ignore him like they do for any outside influence. The more I look at early (pre-1850) US coinage and key-date coins certified by TPGs, the more fed up I am with their seeming inability to accurately grade. The concept of market grading in fundamentally stupid and only serves to confuse novice collectors trying to learn to grade high-grade coins. The confusion is further augmented when dealers try to to sell market-graded AU coins (in MS slabs) as premium MS coins, despite the fact that the market grade is meant to represent the value of an average coin of the same MS level. The SOLE purpose of a TPG is to authenticate and accurately grade a coin, not to determine the coin's value. I'm not giving the TPGs a cent of my money until it comes time to sell my coins. I am making that one exception only because many collectors rely too much on the TPGs and thus do not have an ability to evaluate coins for themselves. That makes slabbed coins the only way to successfully sell a collection for top dollar.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
12057 Posts |
I'm a big fan of Rick & EERC (and a customer) but if he's already acknowledging in his article that EAC uses one of the last truly strict grade systems, why doesn't he just grade his FEC/IHC's using EAC grading standards instead of trying to convince everyone that we should switch to his 100-point grading scale? PCGS (David Hall)'s market research shows that a 100 point grading system has almost zero support -- imagine trying to maintain a "conversion table" between ANA-70 and SNOW-100 grading systems, or worse, trying to price them... Rick has been at war with overgraded coins for years; as much respect as I have for his knowledge and dedication, sometimes his articles read more like diatribes against TPG's and a thinly veiled attempt to justify a huge markup on Eagle Eye Photo Seal coins, and a faint odor of somewhat sour grapes behind his "CAC is a rip-off of EERC Photo Seal" argument. Don't confuse market grading with grading to a value: If a seller and a buyer both agree that a coin is worth $300, does it matter what the numerical grade is at all? The value grade is $300. The market grading Rick argues against is that of high prices realized for overgraded coins making it tougher to sell correctly-graded examples, and there's much merit in his theory. Problem is, theory doesn't always work in reality; if, say, PCGS switched to EAC grading standards for its early copper, they'd lose 95% of their business to NGC and ANACS overnight. So Mr. Snow, as a business owner, must consider this: do I take the high road and try to market my raw AU50 Indian Head cents at PCGS AU58 prices, and watch them gather dust, or do I simply have PCGS slab them all AU58 and sell them at (inflated) AU58 prices, and make a profit? This is the collector's dilemma: grading accurately saves you money when you buy, but costs you money when you sell. Also remember that many of the key players in the coin business these days are more investors and speculators, less collectors and numismatists, and the investors usually have more money and are more willing to spend it with reckless abandon, even if the coin they're after is severely overgraded by a TPG. In other words, the collectors are no longer setting prices; the investors and speculators are, and this is driving many collectors out of the market for higher end coins very rapidly.
Member ANA - EAC - TNA - SSDC - CCT #890 "Most of the things worth doing in the world had been declared impossible before they were done." -- Louis D. Brandeis
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
4588 Posts |
Lots of people have the idea to replace the Sheldon system. Rick is not the first nor will he be the last.
Even if this scheme is brilliant, well thought out and easy for conversion, unless you get the top 2 TPGs behind it, it's just another edition of "The Ingenious Gentleman Don Quixote of La Mancha"
-----Burton 50+ year / Life / Emeritus ANA member (joined 12/1/1973) Life member: Numismatics International, CONECA Member: TNA, FtWCC, NETCC, EveryCountry (online) coin club Owned by three cats and a wife of 40+ years (joined 1983) Author: 3rd Edition of the Sample Slabs book, https://www.sampleslabs.info/
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Moderator
 United States
56855 Posts |
Interesting. Did you know Rick is a CCF member? John1 
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts |
To late to change. Difficult to try to have to many grading systems in play at the same time. If any new system maintained the 70 as tops, maybe but to attempt to make it a 100 or something else now would cause a major problem with people everywhere. Think of all those slabs with grades on them that would then be useless.
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Rest in Peace
United States
18456 Posts |
A little off subject ; I am not a fan of TPG , I mean who are these so-called graders anyway. are they above God ? Since when is TPG'ing written in stone ? As far as I'm concerned Grading of any coin is still subjective. Yes there are inexperienced collectors who admit they cannot grade coins, and there are the older bunch (40-60) year collectors who can pretty much grade ,but not every single coin they come in contact with . the subject of grading can go back at least 150 years and we are still debating it today . So when I go to a show ,I will try to do my own grading of what I'm comfortable with and buy accordingly. Ok I admit TPG can authenticate a coin so you don't get burnt buying a fake . But how many tests do they put through that coin ? Again is their value of findings written in stone. Just like a Doctor we have to believe what they say ! These statements are my honest opinions and do not intend to discredit anyone or any company . 
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Pillar of the Community
United States
5825 Posts |
I can imagine the TPG's are drooling at the possibility.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
4588 Posts |
Kanga - I'd have thought so too, which is why I think it won't fly. Rick's a big enough fish that he could have approached NGC and PCGS and gotten their buy-in first.
It's the CAC dilemma - did it or didn't it - either he did approach them and they're not interested, or he didn't (why not).
Because if he did and they are, I'd expect to see the headline "Rick Snow to present proposed new grading system, sponsored by xxx" if only to draw more people to the talk.
Would I like to see something change? Heck yes - I'd like to go back to the original ANACS grading: separate grades for obverse, reverse, luster, surface, eye appeal and strike.
-----Burton 50+ year / Life / Emeritus ANA member (joined 12/1/1973) Life member: Numismatics International, CONECA Member: TNA, FtWCC, NETCC, EveryCountry (online) coin club Owned by three cats and a wife of 40+ years (joined 1983) Author: 3rd Edition of the Sample Slabs book, https://www.sampleslabs.info/
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4415 Posts |
Rick Snow is a top shelf coin guy, highly respected, and this new development in grading should prove to be most interesting. I've an open mind and look forward to seeing his presentation! Thanks for posting this, Tbone.
The coin club which I formerly attended for many years maintained a monthly auction, averaging 80-100 lots and sometimes more. Every member was entitled to submit up to three lots a month. We maintained a "grading committee" to consensus grade each lot. A half dozen or more members pass each lot around a table and discuss the merits of each submission. The secretary took notes and made up the auction listing for the next month's meeting. For those of us participating, the process was/is most educational and enjoyable. The club has been doing this now for going-on thirty years. The membership seems to much appreciate this balanced grading approach.
Edited by ExoGuy 06/05/2016 11:12 am
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Pillar of the Community
United States
6370 Posts |
Quote:Also remember that many of the key players in the coin business these days are more investors and speculators, less collectors and numismatists, and the investors usually have more money and are more willing to spend it with reckless abandon, even if the coin they're after is severely overgraded by a TPG. In other words, the collectors are no longer setting prices; the investors and speculators are, and this is driving many collectors out of the market for higher end coins very rapidly. I find this infuriating. Investors care little about the history and beauty of the coins themselves, and unfortunately they are keeping the coins out of reach from those who actually appreciate the coins. I hope the high-end coin market crashes because some coin prices are getting utterly ridiculous.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4337 Posts |
grading becomes more and more subtly subjective when you're attempting to call an AU53 from an AU55. I don't anyone can ever become the ultimate authority regardless of Numismatic pedigree, community respect etc... All I know is when it comes to the series of coins I like to collect I can tell the difference between an AU50 and an AU58 no matter what the slab says. Quote: Don't confuse market grading with grading to a value: If a seller and a buyer both agree that a coin is worth $300, does it matter what the numerical grade is at all? The value grade is $300. That's the most logical statement that can be adhered to as the rest of it becomes semantics and goes out the window at that point.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
94367 Posts |
Together with digital photography and the internet, the major TPG companies greatly facilitate everyday commerce in the coin business. They are not perfect, but they are far better than nothing. While a fool and his money will still soon be parted, TPGs play a critical role in protecting the unwary/uneducated from the unscrupulous, in addition to helping quantify the vast sea of data that collectors face every day. So they figured it out before the rest of us and make a few bucks. One way or another, 30 years ago, the hobby needed some sort of discipline and structure if it was to keep growing the way it has. 
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1695 Posts |
Quote: On Thursday, August 11, 2016, Rick Snow will present a talk which should revolutionize the coin hobby like nothing else in the past 20 years. The presentation is titled "A New Grading System." It is August 11th today. Can anyone report what happened?
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
1839 Posts |
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
10982 Posts |
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Replies: 42 / Views: 8,342 |