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Silver Might Reach A Bottom In 2017

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leon1998's Avatar
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 Posted 12/21/2016  09:25 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add leon1998 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers


Silver-Might-Reach-A-Bottom-In-2017
Courtesy of SilverSale from silverstackers forum

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leon1998's Avatar
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 Posted 12/21/2016  09:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add leon1998 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As we already know, wave 5 has begun.

Apparently wave 5 down has begun for silver. Even a truncated wave 5 from Elliott theory will need silver to test previous low, which was about US$14. If we assume wave 5 is equal to wave 1 percentage wise, silver might hit US$13 or less. Oh, by the way, gold will see US$800 or below; go figure.

The mentioned scenario might happen as early as 2017.
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leon1998's Avatar
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 Posted 12/21/2016  09:30 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add leon1998 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Funny thing was, when this guy (SilverSale) posted the chart in early 2016; he was laughed at, mocked and attacked by many forum users.

Take a look the thread. http://forums.silverstackers.com/to...-page-1.html

And now everybody is silent.
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TheForce's Avatar
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 Posted 12/21/2016  09:47 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TheForce to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think I'm done buying bullion. I'd rather buy coins I need with that money. Though if silver drops significantly then I may reconsider.
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Lucky Cuss's Avatar
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 Posted 12/21/2016  10:16 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Lucky Cuss to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This is actually a tough call. The chart's been bearish for about five years now, but if that future point 5 turns out not to be substantially lower than point 3, then from a technical standpoint silver as a commodity ought to be poised for a run up.



Colligo ergo sum
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leon1998's Avatar
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 Posted 12/21/2016  10:21 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add leon1998 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@Lucky Cuss,

What you're talking about, is the truncated wave 5 case. i.e. silver revisits previous low from wave 3, then we're going up from there.
A normal wave 5 might even challenge $10 mark.

Either way, it is not wise to buy silver right now; you should at least wait for $14 or less.
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everything's Avatar
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 Posted 12/21/2016  4:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add everything to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Physical Bullion sales after going wild, actually started falling back in 2016, I think they will remain strong for years to come, mostly because of QE/easy money/loose monetary policy, this should keep a floor under prices, as will the ETF demand, why that hasn't fallen apart yet is beyond me -- as will strong hands holding piles, tough times will come again (they always do), and with the small investors loaded up, the LCS will be overflowing when recession comes. It's anybody's call how low silver will go next time, and with recessions now worldwide, wheres the demand going to come from when the time comes and people need $ to eat/pay bills. The last recession saw the deepest job losses we've seen in recessions, we are again building up to that kind of event as even Amazon made it's first drone delivery, even the pizza delivery guys days are numbered as we slowly go faster towards cashless and driverless.
Edited by everything
12/21/2016 4:58 pm
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fistfulladirt's Avatar
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 Posted 12/22/2016  05:27 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add fistfulladirt to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Considering what's happened in the past, $14 silver will be no cheaper than $16 silver due to rise in premium.
When I listen to LED ZEPPELIN...so do my neighbors...
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Connor's Avatar
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 Posted 12/22/2016  07:27 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Connor to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Good point fistfulladirt. Very true.
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 Posted 12/22/2016  08:03 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add terry8835 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Look at price of silver in 2003. Why won't it test that low? I hope it does because I might buy some. I hope that gold tests its lows because then gold coins will be a heck of a lot cheaper. Guessing on the PM markets is just like being in a floating crap game. It is a good way to make a large pile of money into a small pile.
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Lucky Cuss's Avatar
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 Posted 12/22/2016  09:22 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Lucky Cuss to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Considering what's happened in the past, $14 silver will be no cheaper than $16 silver due to rise in premium.


I've seen that happen, and in fact I've seen with some dealers stock pulled back until the price recovered or there was no chice but to resume sales. But I've come to patronize only those sources who don't play such games, and so from my standpoint I'd continue to be a nonresentful buyer at more or less my current rate of accumulation, provided the shelves aren't bare.

Colligo ergo sum
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leon1998's Avatar
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 Posted 12/23/2016  10:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add leon1998 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
For the immediate short-term trend, Gold-to-Silver-Ratio has a high of 73 and low of 68.

If silver tries to retest $14, gold will be between $952 and $1022, based on the above ratio.
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leon1998's Avatar
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 Posted 12/30/2016  10:31 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add leon1998 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Although Silver stands above $16, price movement has been very SHAKY. It appears that there is a force keeps whacking down Silver spot; so far the resistance is about $16.25.

According to last weekly futures report, Swap dealers/Banksters are sitting on mountains of short positions in Silver contracts.

NO WONDER.
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