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What Would You Do...honestly?

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Rest in Peace
Morgan Fred's Avatar
United States
2684 Posts
 Posted 04/12/2005  9:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Morgan Fred to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
What I don't fully understand is why there should be any market difference between PCGS and NGC. Both are top notch services with almost impeccable reputations among knowledgable numismatists. Both adhere to established grading standards and grade as fairly as humanly possible (albeit arguably) and certainly more so than the other services (possibly ICG and ANACS excepted). Yet there exists a difference in returned values. Is this something historic in which NGC lost the confidence of numismatists at some point or is it a result of self-fulfilling prophecies such as we are herein engaging in which if enough people discuss PCGS bringing in greater values than NGC, the cycle continues and repeats itself?
Valued Member
Connecticoin's Avatar
United States
89 Posts
 Posted 04/12/2005  9:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Connecticoin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well, you will get opinions all over the lot about the top 2 TPGs. For what their worth, here are my observations:

A common theme I have seen is that, overall, PCGS is more "conservative", and that NGC is more "consistent". From what I have seen so far, whether one or both is true can vary by series, era, grade, etc. For example:

Lincolns, Morgans, Walkers appear to be graded roughly the same between the two,
Modern proofs are a tad looser at NGC,
FBL on Franklins is easier to get at PCGS (focus on bottom lines),
etc, etc.

Also, there seems to be a consensus that grading, overall, has tightened up lately, except for Morgans.

One more observation: It seems to me that ANACS grades MS Morgans a tad tighter than NGC/PCGS. And ANACS Morgans tend to bring less money than comparably graded "top 2" coins (for example, ANACS MS-65 commons can typcially be had for $20 to $30 less top 2 coins). Looks like some good value in the ANACS Morgans.

All these are observations based on my (limited) experience and discussions with other collectors -- and should be taken with the proverbial "grain of salt"
Rest in Peace
Morgan Fred's Avatar
United States
2684 Posts
 Posted 04/12/2005  10:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Morgan Fred to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by Connecticoin

Well, you will get opinions all over the lot about the top 2 TPGs. For what their worth, here are my observations:

A common theme I have seen is that, overall, PCGS is more "conservative", and that NGC is more "consistent". From what I have seen so far, whether one or both is true can vary by series, era, grade, etc. For example:

Lincolns, Morgans, Walkers appear to be graded roughly the same between the two,
Modern proofs are a tad looser at NGC,
FBL on Franklins is easier to get at PCGS (focus on bottom lines),
etc, etc.

Also, there seems to be a consensus that grading, overall, has tightened up lately, except for Morgans.



Connecticoin, I'm afraid I can't agree with you on PCGS's grades on Morgans. I've submitted over 75 Morgans to PCGS within the past 18 months and not a single one has come back above what I had hoped even in my fantasies. Raw Morgans that I thought might grade at, say MS-65 based on PCGS MS-65 Morgans I have in my collection came back MS-63 or MS-62. Same/same crossovers and resubmissions: not a single one came back higher than as sent in, even with the older green labels, and a few came back lower. The only thing going my way these days and the main reason I continue to submit to PCGS is that they have a higher intrinsic value once so graded. The main reason I'll submit an NGC Morgan to PCGS is for my PCGS Registry Set (Carson City Morgans) which, of course, must all be PCGS coins. I still have two NGC CCs to go and I'm scared to death than PCGS will downgrade them; I have no hope whatsoever that PCGS might upgrade them.
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Susanlynn9's Avatar
United States
5877 Posts
 Posted 04/12/2005  10:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Susanlynn9 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Fred, I think you may have hit one of the reasons that PCGS coins bring more than NGC -- registry sets. An NGC coin cannot be used in a PCGS registry set, therefore you don't have as much of a market for them.
Valued Member
zakgold's Avatar
United States
382 Posts
 Posted 04/12/2005  10:36 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add zakgold to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by CiScO

I think its all hype!!! I was a member of both services PCGS & NGC, I sent them both coins to be graded, I was diappointed with all the returns from BOTH services, BUT I found that NGC more "fairly" graded these coins accurately than PCGS.


Hype or no hype...PCGS is definitely getting a bunch more for their coins than NGC who gets more than ANACS who gets more than ICG who gets more...get the picture? I may not be interested in buying a PCGS certified coin, but if I could sell one, get more dollars for it than the others, I have to follow where my wallet goes.

It's like a gold label on a bottle of beer. Does that make the beer taste any better? But, there any many people that will pay a $1 more per 6-pack for the same beer than a 6 pack without that gold label.

So much for my analogy...
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Morgan Fred's Avatar
United States
2684 Posts
 Posted 04/12/2005  11:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Morgan Fred to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by Susanlynn9

Fred, I think you may have hit one of the reasons that PCGS coins bring more than NGC -- registry sets. An NGC coin cannot be used in a PCGS registry set, therefore you don't have as much of a market for them.



Susan, you may have hit on a major consideration yourself. I didn't think that there were enough Registry collectors to impact the market to a measurable degree, but I haven't really checked the numbers and hadn't thought it through. If there's enough Registry collectors, it would certainly push prices higher if a collector (like moi) needs a particular date badly enough, especially since PCGS accepts only PCGS coins while NGC's Registry accepts both NGC and PCGS coins thus slanting the demand for more PCGSs. Also, Registries would take the gem grades and lower populations out of the market as collectors held them for their Registries making the values go up even further. Speaking only for myself, my Carson City mid-MSs won't see the light of day in the market for a long, long time.
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zakgold's Avatar
United States
382 Posts
 Posted 04/13/2005  06:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add zakgold to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Ahhhh...those CC Morgans...

What-Would-You-Do...honestly?

I have only 5 in my collection. I picture them used during poker games somewhere out West. At least out West they used the Morgan dollar over paper dollar bills. I guess some of those silver prospectors trusted the actual value of the coin instead of a promise from the Federal governmant.

Sometimes you imagine where the coin has been, who lost it, who found it, who spent it and who eventually saved it. If it could talk, the stories it could tell. It is one of the reasons I collect coins.
Edited by zakgold
04/13/2005 06:56 am
Pillar of the Community
SFDukie's Avatar
United States
980 Posts
 Posted 04/13/2005  12:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SFDukie to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by Morgan Fred

[quote][i]

Susan, you may have hit on a major consideration yourself. I didn't think that there were enough Registry collectors to impact the market to a measurable degree, but I haven't really checked the numbers and hadn't thought it through. If there's enough Registry collectors, it would certainly push prices higher if a collector (like moi) needs a particular date badly enough, especially since PCGS accepts only PCGS coins while NGC's Registry accepts both NGC and PCGS coins thus slanting the demand for more PCGSs. Also, Registries would take the gem grades and lower populations out of the market as collectors held them for their Registries making the values go up even further. Speaking only for myself, my Carson City mid-MSs won't see the light of day in the market for a long, long time.



This thread, hijacked though it may be (sorry zak- but I guess you did some of the hijacking yourself ) is an example of how a thread can stimulate new thoughts- one of mine- Fred, why PCGS registry? Since NGC accepts both, but PCGS only PCGS, why reward PCGS, which is more "selfish" as it doesn't recognize NGC? You could always reslab your remaining few NGC coins as PCGS later for resale if that is the issue- and since you are concerned that PCGS will downgrade your NGC coins, isn't that enough incentive not to resubmit? Or is the price differential great enough to overcome that 2-3 point expected drop in MS state?
Don
Edited by SFDukie
04/13/2005 12:34 pm
Rest in Peace
Morgan Fred's Avatar
United States
2684 Posts
 Posted 04/13/2005  2:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Morgan Fred to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by SFDukie


This thread, hijacked though it may be (sorry zak- but I guess you did some of the hijacking yourself ) is an example of how a thread can stimulate new thoughts- one of mine- Fred, why PCGS registry? Since NGC accepts both, but PCGS only PCGS, why reward PCGS, which is more "selfish" as it doesn't recognize NGC? You could always reslab your remaining few NGC coins as PCGS later for resale if that is the issue- and since you are concerned that PCGS will downgrade your NGC coins, isn't that enough incentive not to resubmit? Or is the price differential great enough to overcome that 2-3 point expected drop in MS state?
Don



Ahhhh, a good question, Don! The answer is merely that I started with PCGS a number of years ago. The first slabbed Morgans I bought happened to be PCGS and I stuck with them ever since. The higher values of PCGS vs NGC came only later. I decided on a PCGS Registry less than a year ago when I realized I had a number of CCs, most in PCGS slabs. Even now, I could switch to NGC Registry since I haven't submitted to a Registry yet; I still might switch since I still have two NGC Morgans, but it's hard to change my mind in my sunset years once it's made up.
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