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Replies: 52 / Views: 3,833 |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1450 Posts |
The other issue this time around is the awful conditions in Europe. With QE2 the dollar dropped almost everyday against the Euro,which is partly what it was intended to do. I don't believe we will see the same king of drop with QE3 because the Euro is the uglier of the 2 sisters. I think PMs will have a healthy gain but the dollar drop will not be as dramatic. I am not convinced we will see QE3 yet. I think we will have to hit Dow 10,000 first because the inflation that will come with QE3 is the big fear. It will not be implemented until everyone is screaming uncle. Interesting times ahead!
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Interesting times, indeed, Hock. Say, isn't that an ancient Chinese curse? Something like, "May you live in interesting times", or some such.
My thought is that Fed-induced inflation caused the stock market to rise. When the Fed stopped inflating, the market could not hold the level that it had achieved via inflation and fell back about 1600 or so points. Maybe that taught the bean counters at the Fed something? I am sure that they have not given up on their Keynesian voodoo economics but I suspect that they will be much more reticent about commenting on it in public. I think it likely that there will be Fed support for the economy and that it will be similar to the QE programs. Because of that, stocks will inflate and the market will rise to a higher level.
I will be buying back into the market in select areas in an attempt to capture profits from this inflation. Commodities, especially energy and agriculture, resource exporting country currencies, stocks, and bonds, and good mutual funds that invest in Latin America and Asia (excluding Japan) look good to me about now. I also like the big cap US dividend-paying stocks and the mutual funds that focus on dividends.
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Rest in Peace
United States
9104 Posts |
QE3 will happen. Not a question of if, just when.
Conditions in Yurrup have sucked all along.
If the dollar has lost 10% of its purchasing power, why does it take ten times as many of them to buy an ounce of gold or silver?
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Pillar of the Community
United States
830 Posts |
I'm long GLD, SLV, SDS, XLE, DBA, DBC, EWA, EWC, USL, SCHE, oil & nat gas in the ground, real estate (home), and physical PMs. GLD and SLV are currently hedged with Sept put options. No debt, enough in cash to pay the bills.
Edited by GoThunder 08/26/2011 6:16 pm
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Valued Member
United States
52 Posts |
Quote:
Yes, it is. But it also has elements of roulette and poker. Yes, but it's russian roulette and strip poker. And the ones playing strip poker are the good ole boys. In the first, there's only one winner...and in the second, he who see's no evil wins.
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Valued Member
United States
52 Posts |
Finally, what happens next is anybody's call...but hoarding at specific numbers seems somewhat foolish.
Nobody can predict if we are going to go back to $6 silver and $600 gold (unlikely) or if it's going to keep skyrocketing...but my weekly PM spending has been the same regardless. I get whatever I can, if it's an eagle and a few dimes, it's an eagle and a few tims...if it's all dimes, it's all dimes. Regardless, it goes in to a box that I don't open unless I need to put more in.
I am personally not a favor of electronic gold...simply because it doesn't take much for records to get lost, or communications systems to go down. What I have in my posession, is always in my posession. What I have in an account, is just that, in an account, where I can't access it without infrastructure.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Quote: If the dollar has lost 10% of its purchasing power, why does it take ten times as many of them to buy an ounce of gold or silver? No problem, Fredd. You just have to cherry-pick the right time periods for this to work out. The gubmint types are pretty good at that.  Quote: I am personally not a favor of electronic gold...simply because it doesn't take much for records to get lost, or communications systems to go down. What I have in my posession, is always in my posession. What I have in an account, is just that, in an account, where I can't access it without infrastructure. Different strokes for different folks and all that. There's room in a well diversified portfolio for all kinds of investments, including gold and silver ETFs. I like them because: I can hold them in my IRAs... including my Roth... and I can buy / sell them with a few mouse clicks, virtually instantly. I can also put trailing stops on them for some downside protection. They do not replace my physical holdings but they do augment them. 
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Replies: 52 / Views: 3,833 |
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