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Larry Edelson Updates Gold, Silver

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Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 08/29/2011  09:52 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
http://www.uncommonwisdomdaily.com/...819?FIELD9=1


Quote:
Good morning! I hope you had a wonderful weekend, like I did, resting, spending time with family, and at the same time, reflecting on the markets -- because if you think last week's action was wild, just wait until you see what this week will bring!

So let's get right to the market action now ...no delays, no dilly-dallying, no pontificating about theories or philosophies. Just the cold hard truth about last week's action in key markets -- and what to expect this week.

First, to the most important market on investors' minds: None other than that most precious asset class of all, and the world's most tried and true store of value: GOLD!

In my video update of last Monday, I showed you this chart, and I told you that "I personally would not be buying here. I would only be buying on a pullback when it comes or when I give the all clear, which would be a close into this channel here which right now stands about $1,900 ... $1,910.

Well, gold did soar to as high as $1,917, but importantly, it failed to close above that resistance level, and then -- as I have been expecting -- gold swooned, big time. Shedding more than $200 in a mere three trading days, about an 11% plunge.

More importantly, gold also gave me a very important sell signal when it closed below the $1,768 level. That action now confirms what I've been suspecting and looking for.

So how low could gold go during a correction? Why is it heading lower? And how should you handle it?

First, as published in my recent columns, I believe gold can fall back to the following support levels: $1,611 ... $1,567 ... $1,433 ... $1,386 ... and $1,359.

A closing price below each of the above support levels will indicate a move to the next lower support area.

What's driving gold lower is simply this ...

A. It was hugely overbought and way overdue for a correction.

B. The dollar is likely bottoming (short term) as the euro continues to suffer from the sovereign debt crisis and the potential that the euro will disintegrate.

C. It's just time for a correction: Gold has had an incredible 11-year run, with very few 10% to 20% pullbacks. So, a rather big, possibly drawn out correction is definitely in the cards.

Importantly for your long-term core gold holdings, you should just sit through it and wait for lower prices to add more gold to your portfolio. Ditto for select gold shares. Do not, I repeat, do not try to trade the short side, for most, it's too risky.

And don't worry, the bull market in gold is not over yet, not by a long shot!

Next, silver: The devil's metal ran up to over $44 and then collapsed to as low as $38 before rebounding a bit. That's almost a 15% slide, in just a few days time.

Thing is, silver has already penetrated the $38.86 all-important technical support level on an intraday basis, a subtle but important signal that it should soon close below it. And once it does, look out below; silver could plunge all the way down to the $30 level!

In silver, I repeat my warnings: Steer clear of it, period, until it finds rock solid support at the $30 level. At that time, depending upon a few other parameters I monitor, I might then issue my first major buy signal for silver. But not until then!

Best wishes,

Larry

P.S. With
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 08/29/2011  10:27 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks for posting that Fred. I did notice the price of puts in GLD were not getting much cheaper as gold went higher Fri, they should have been getting cheaper based on the price of gold rebounding but I guess everyone expects gold to go lower from here and they wanted protection.

I expect we'll at least retest the low on last Thursday.
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2011  01:12 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"because if you think last week's action was wild, just wait until you see what this week will bring!"

Well Larr bear, what gives buddy, lol....

This is why I don't put much of any faith in any predictions, from me or anyone, lol. It is either gonna go up or go down, so saying...."See I told ya, gold went up!", to me is like saying after I flipped a coin...."See, told ya it was gonna land on heads!", lol....

And guess what, I am 100% wrong about that is must go up or down. Why?

BECAUSE GOLD AN SILVER HAVE BEEN STUCK IN NEUTRAL ALL WEEK going neither up or down for the most part, even though gold did push about 29 past 1800 again an silver past 41 yet again. Who would have thunk it....
Edited by Silverhawk74
09/02/2011 01:17 am
Valued Member
United States
302 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2011  02:46 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mmerlinn to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The week before a major holiday is usually pretty quiet as many are going flat just in case. And, of course, many traders take off an extra day or two before the holiday.

Periodically I notice that there seems to be a top of some sort immediately before Labor Day. Then after Labor Day everything seems to fall apart. Witness 2008 for example.

2009 and 2010 were blah this time of year. This year I see much the same thing as I saw in 2008. Will 2008 repeat? No idea. But my radar suggests we could be on the edge of another 40% drop in the Dow by the 24th of October. If that happens, PMs will probably be pulled down with it.
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poboxw's Avatar
Canada
1502 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2011  02:56 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add poboxw to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
man.... there's no clear read on what's going to happen next is there. Seems no better than a coin toss after reading both sides. My plan is to just keep buying and selling at the same time.
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2011  07:45 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The week is not over yet, Fri could be big. Silver is back to $42.50 and gold is up to $1862.
Edited by GoThunder
09/02/2011 07:48 am
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 09/02/2011  09:03 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
starting the day nicely.
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