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And The Drop Goes On.....

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unholyroller's Avatar
United States
1903 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  12:44 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add unholyroller to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Looks like silver is going to continue to plunge Monday along with gold and platinum. So where is everyone's "buy" price or are we going to be seeing silver back at $9 an ounce by the end of October?
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United States
560 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  12:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ichirensha to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It's just a nice buying opportunity. We'll never see $9 silver again.
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unholyroller's Avatar
United States
1903 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  12:56 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add unholyroller to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Why not $9 silver again? 2008 was not that long ago, and with a downturn in the world economy industrial metals will have lower demand. To top it off the plunge in silver price is injecting large quantities of silver back into the marketplace so as silver continues to plunge there will be an excess of available inventory at depressed prices. Prices only go up when demand outstrips supply. I would not at all be surprised to see silver below $20 by weeks end

I used to work in a different "precious metal" industry, firearms. Even when conditions are right and the deals are all around, we all forget that no matter how good the "deal" seems it will only sell if someone has the money to buy.

I think what we are partly seeing is that people are just simply out of money and when silver investors saw the downturn they had to and will continue to sell off their position because
1) they see their profits evaporating
2) need the money for the basics of life
3) are gunshy to get back in from what they experienced in 2008, the proverbial "one bitten twice shy" syndrome
Edited by unholyroller
09/26/2011 01:05 am
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  01:00 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think 25 bucks on silver and perhaps $1550 to $1500 for gold is realistic, and perhaps platinum as well, even though I have not looked at its value recently....
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  01:07 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"Why not $9 silver again?"

Anything is possible UHroller, as I sure did not expect to be typing about 29 dollar an oz. silver in late September....
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trout1105's Avatar
Australia
7096 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  02:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add trout1105 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
$9 an ounce would put a huge smile on my face.
I doubt that it will get that low.
I've put my wallet away for a bit and am going to wait it out.
Once silver bottoms out it won't stay there verry long.
There are heaps of blokes like us just waiting to pounce at the right moment and that will drive up the price in a real hurry
I might make Kitco my home page for a few days
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poboxw's Avatar
Canada
1502 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  02:48 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add poboxw to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
There are heaps of blokes like us just waiting to pounce at the right moment and that will drive up the price in a real hurry
I might make Kitco my home page for a few days

My thoughts exactly, it's not just us physical silver buyers, paper silver investors with a heck of a lot more dough to kick around will really drive the price up once they jump back in.
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Namachieli's Avatar
United States
2120 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  02:56 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Namachieli to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I wonder if this has anything to do with the End of the Fiscal year coming up.
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United States
1590 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  02:58 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jmkendall to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Just an observation, but I see a lot of commentary from the Gold Bugs about how Chase and the other big players are in bed with the US Gov. in a big conspiracy to drive PMs down. So if the big boys continue to not pile in on the dip and raise the price, how is anything that the small investor going to do to make a dent?

In other words if the big boys are the ones that have been trying to knock the bottom out of the market, and if Joe Investor is has just lost a ton of money, then who exactly is going to be coming back into the PMs in the numbers needed to drive it back through the roof?

I'm not sure what is happening, but I am curious as to how the gold bugs are going to spin their gov conspiracy theories while at the same time somehow spinning to raise prices.

Like I said, just curious. As an aside my local guy told me that he took such a dump that if he had not had such a run up in the last two years this price drop would have knocked him out of biz.

He said he will open Monday and then close for a week to wait for a direction. And when he opens he will be buying at 18x. Though......he may change that if the prices keep going down between now and opening!
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  02:58 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't know last time silver took a real nose dive back in June from like 50 to 33, it took some time to get back to forty again, maybe like 3 months perhaps....

Will this dip take as long to recover, probably not with many more planning to buy in mid 20's as opposed to mid 30's, but we will see. I am mentally exhausted, think I will sleep on it and see what the new day brings....
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murrellington's Avatar
United States
3276 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  03:06 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add murrellington to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Luckily I was broke and was forced to sell my silver at $40 an ounce when I paid something like $41 to $42 an ounce. I was able to resell some coins I bought to bring me back to no loss. Now with this huge drop I am ready to buy. This is insane to watch. And I would be mentally exhausted as well if I still had some silver saved up. Will be interesting to see what it closes at this coming friday. It is showing no signs of slowing down thus far.
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Namachieli's Avatar
United States
2120 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  03:09 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Namachieli to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I hope it bottoms out and stays that way until after my Show in October.

Then we can recover to $40 w/e
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poboxw's Avatar
Canada
1502 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  03:10 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add poboxw to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
So if the big boys continue to not pile in on the dip and raise the price, how is anything that the small investor going to do to make a dent?

This is another reason why silver is so much more volatile than gold. There's a lot less investment grade silver than gold, about 1/4 as much. Just a few big players can really influence the price, while its that much harder to do with gold
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  03:14 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It may have finally bottomed out in the Asian markets anyway, as gold fell all the way to $1574, and silver to $26.11 US spot price, and gold has moved back up to $1578 and silver has gained a little ground as well....
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slickeast's Avatar
United States
45 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  03:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add slickeast to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I almost bought over the weekend at Gainesville coin, but something told me to wait.

It is tough to see your stash go down from $40/ oz to $26 / oz. That is a 35% hit.

I am glad I am in it for the long haul.

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rachums107's Avatar
United States
3345 Posts
 Posted 09/26/2011  09:33 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rachums107 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I only sell silver I get from roll searching, and all the other silver I buy goes in to my collection. So I like it when silver drops to be able to buy more coins cheaper, even if rollsearching doesn't bring as much profit.
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