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Pillar of the Community
United States
2408 Posts |
I think basebal21 has some good points here. I personally learned a lot from sending my coins to TPGs and I've never had issues selling them. Not a single return. Not so true with raw coins. If you buy coins at coin shows it probably does not make any difference because you can examine the coin. Buying from a picture is a different story. TPGs are there to offer a 'second opinion'. As a buyer, you can take it or leave it.
It's all up to you. But with all the fakes I'd think twice before buying expensive raw coins. Even from so-called reputable sources.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2408 Posts |
Quote: there's enough good coin sites on the internet to get an opinion for free This is beyond a second opinion... with TPG (PCGS at least) there is a guaranty that the coin is genuine. If a customer believes that a coin has been improperly graded either over-graded, under-graded, misattributed, or is a counterfeit the policy has provisions to cover the owner/buyer of the coin.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts |
Quote: Ironically one of the quickest ways for someone to learn to grade is by using the grading companies. Most (not all) people learn by doing. I agree these people are getting good, hands-on experience. The education the learner gets though, is taylored to the specimens they use for the study - which are the TPGs slabs. In effect, what these collectors learn is how certain TPGs will grade different coins. I think people learning about slabs from slabs is also why there is so much online discussion of which TPG does the job "best," which pays more attention to {fill in the blank}, which one is more consistent with {FITB}, etc. Quote: I'll have to dig through my spam folder and see if it ended up in there somehow, I hadn't seen a reply but sounds like you wrote one. Sounds good. I figured you were just busy. Quote:
Quote: They deliberately keep grading as an "art."
It's not deliberate it's just how it is. Several of the factors that go into a grade are subjective measurements which have been a part of a grade before the TPGs started Well - making it short, I personally used a scanning device in the late 90s - at a plastics plant QR dept - which was designed to find microscopic anomalies with the parts we were making. This machine could report all sorts of numbers and imperfections accurately and consistently down to the micron level. This is more than enough scanning a coin, setting parameters as to even what kind of damage, /cleaning etc. A machine is NOT capable though of grading eye appeal - Eye appeal could be a single point (and stated as such) after the machine does the verifiable and highly accountable job of grading the coin. And this was almost 20 years ago now. Imagine what our computers nowadays could do as compared to systems back then. Do we really think that nowadays data as to how a coin received its grade is beyond our reach? Personally, I *think* some of our phones might very well have the ability to grade coins consistently seeing as facial recognition is no big deal anymore - even at differing angles. Any programmer familiar with facial recognition programming and algorithms want to make a million on the app store? Quote: It's more than that, a company tried to grade purely technically before and the market hated it. Coins that looked like dogs having the same grade as beautiful coins because of the number of hits is not something that collectors have ever wanted. Exactly. Two points: 1. The dog being called beautiful was simply the technical grade which could be authenticated/consistent. A point would need be given by a human for eye appeal. However, I would like to see slabbing companies announce they will now only be grading on a technical, verifiable grade - the grade is ONLY about wear and details. Aprt of this would be the TPGs saying they leave the eye appeal up to the collector (where it originated and is anyway). The mindset shift would be from, "Was this coin graded accurately," to "do I want this MS70 without as much color/luster as this other MS70?" But again, by keeping the "art" at the company, the unknown gamble is always there and generates more business. 2. This internet generation now trust computers a lot more than in the late 90s (understatement). Back then comuters were far from being in every home, they were seen as maybe "taking over the world," and our system now being run by these crazy machines meant the Y2K bug was going to put us back into the stone age (yes - the warnings were this persistent). The grading shift by TPGs even could have been made 10 years ago or more. But marketers are smarter than this. The shift would be a very bad business strategy though. The result is that instead of having an accountable system, we have CAC. Quote: there are plenty of people that support the TPGs that don't care for CAC. The very idea that CAC could have come as far as they have shows a progression of increased acceptance of typical marketing strategies. Everything is always NEW and IMPROVED! Last year's model is no longer the "perfect answer to all our problems" it was touted to be - this years model is such a great improvement! The very idea that CAC stickers exist in the numbers they do could only happen if the experts were not the experts they claimed to be. CAC is also after profits (legitimate), and they are now simply just acquiring the status they hoped they would receive - instead of ridicule - when they started out. Quote: In general though they're just a second opinion like getting a second opinion from a DR. Getting a second opinion is done when there is doubt about your original Dr.'s diagnosis and how that mistake could affect your life. Paying for a second opinion is different when health and life are not on the line. When someone hires an expert to fix their car, do they hire (key word) people after the job is done to verify the job was done right? Why not? How many people buy and carry their own pool PH testing kits to the YMCA to make sure the PH levels are within proper levels? Why not? When we get gas, do we have our own personal meters we attach to the hose to make sure the pump meters are measuring properly? Why not? Redundancy is normally seen as foolish when someone pays hard earned cash for an expert's services. If company B can make a business by showing a good number of company A's product is not worthy of the expert level claimed by company A, then company A is either incapable of, or simply not doing, what they claim. As much as TPGs are perceived as being THE coin experts, should it not be expected that a second opinion is not only redundant, but shouldn't it be expected so few slabs would NOT get a CAC sticker that the market would not support the CAC sticker business? In other words, if the TPGs were up to what they claim, then the minsdet should/would be one of, "Why bother wasting my money paying for a CAC sticker - almost all of the slabs submitted get them anyway?" Quote:
Quote: How in the world can CAC be in business if the TPGS actually do what they claim?
Because no matter what grade you examine there will always be a high end and a low end to that grade. Computerized technical grading of the coin's actual features would alleviate this to a very great degree - but be bad for business. quote] The idea that everything CAC doesn't sticker is wrong is one of the great misunderstands that people who really didn't know what they were talking about started spreading around. Unfortunately too many people believe that now. For example a coin can be a low end 65 and not sticker and be properly graded. As you say, "too many people believe that now." These are the people using the services of the business. These are the people driving the market. Quote: When people shell out mid 4 or 5/6 plus figures on a coin they want all the reassurances that can be offered when spending that type of money. That's human nature to want every possible assurance when spending large amounts of money on those coins. And, unfortunately, nowadays marketing has put enough doubt into the masses that "THE" experts opinion are not enough. The definition of the word "expert" has lost its superlative quality through marketing. A few years ago a company was offering a MAC sticker (I think this was its name) that tried to start a business offering their own sticker to verify the CAC sticker. The new sticker did not last long. If history repeats itself, just give it enough time with skillful marketers and "5th level graders" will be deemed a "necessity." Back when slabbing started we "knew" something like what later took hold as the CAC sticker business was an utterly ridiculous fantasy to joke about. BTW - doing a "sold" search on ebay shows not all are 4-6 figure. In fact some are actually below 100.00 (admittedly I was surprised), and quite a few are under 300.00. Quote:There is absolutely no question that the big two are legitimate. There is no reason that should ever be questioned. You can question who grades better or who will do better etc, but there is nothing illegitimate going on[/quote] This is a statement - an opinion. I look forward to seeing if you can find the email (if you cannot, I will look on my machine) where, after questioning two large, independent, non local to each other dealers, who had been formerly paid TPG graders described to me how they stopped b/c of unethical reasons in how the company's grading system was presented and what actually went on. They said it was piecework, and the peer pressure was to rush things. The 20% return of MS70s on monster boxes is also something they verified by inquiring with other dealers to see how the data would come out. They said when they examined the MS70s vs the MS MS69s from the returned monster boxes, that it appeared that simply a random amount was taken out to be MS70. The informed me that by looking at the MS70s, they saw some that were dinged etc., while some of the MS69s were "perfect." Remember these guys were some of the former TPG "experts." While saying they did not like the ethical issues, the TPGS do make ways for them to profit b/c they know what the grades should be and can snag pieces they know can be cracked, resubmitted, and make higher profits - only because of the faith given to these companies. They also told me of having coins they would crack and resubmit until it got the grade they knew it could - the profit margins were worth it. This should not be impossible if a company puts accountability as its highest standard. Do I think the companies deliberately set out to deceive? Current marketing practices, sadly, allow for gray areas. The snake oil salesmen of old, for the most part, did actually sell something that made people feel better (albeit a temporary feeling). Much of the content of the quack medicines was alcohol. So was it deceitful to say their potions would make a person feel better? I guess it depends on how many hairs a person is willing to split (although it should not be). When the people took enough of the potion, they DID feel better until the hangover.
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New Member
 Canada
28 Posts |
Wow this really exploded eh? XD Very educational though. its rare you get to fully see someones mindset and opinions on things unless they are arguing opposite sides, you get to analyze and try to look at points that both sides may take for granted. :D
Ill try not to take either side here but rather offer my own opinion on the matter. First of all I think both side are right to varying degrees. It isn't something that you have to do in order to take up the hobby. you can learn to grade on your own and you are basically paying for someone else's opinion. You could have a much larger collection that is just as good by investing purely in coins rather than paying for everything to be slabbed. And I can understand the frustration from your side of things because you have probably seen so many people throw away their money not understanding these finer points. thinking that their coin is nothing unless its slabbed. or throwing it away on coins that really don't need to be slabbed ones that they would never be able to get the price back out of. You would much rather these collectors empower themselves and enrich their knowledge of the subject of numismatics in order to help better themselves in the long run
TPGs do have value though and as basebal1 said on the first page it has been tested in the market time and time again, thats why they are still here years later for me to start a forum over. I understand full well their value (and only a small fraction of it is protection) and their value is actually related to two main things, risk and recognition.
Risk is easy to understand from a money point, risk effects many transactions in many different ways. generally the interest rates you pay on your purchases are related to risk. If you are at a high risk to default on your payments, or your undergoing a risky business venture without much collateral or assets backing you up lenders are going to charge you a higher rate to try and compensate for the potential loss of their investment. same as if you have good credit you will be loaned money at lower interest rates.
In terms of value TPGs make the purchasing of a coin a lot less risky, especially online. When you see a coin in one of the holders of these companies you can do a quick search and see if the company is trusted. If it is you can reasonably assume that whatever is in the holder is at least graded close to whats written on the package. you lower the risk of not being able to identify it properly or notice cleaning through online photos, the risk is also lowered of damage to the coin during transit. most of them are serialized so if someone sends you a coin different than the one in the picture... well I mean your probably still screwed unless you have some way to go after them legally ... but you will be able to tell.
recognition could probably be tied into risk but its a little different. The best way I can think of it is to relate it to stereotypes. stereotypes are generally portrayed as negative things. they give inaccurate pictures of people and can lead to hatred or intolerance. So why have they managed to stay in our society? Because they are incredibly useful. we cannot know everyone in our world. and taking the time to meet them all and remember who they are would be an insurmountable task, so our brain uses stereotypes to quickly "recognize" and make assumptions about people. you see someone in a car with red and blue lights in a uniform with a badge and you can generally recognize them as an authority figure which can make you feel safe or intimidated, a ragged looking man walking towards you staring intently at you while holding a weapon spells danger. you give your money to a banker to hold on to assuming its safer than the random person on the street. you try not to anger the fast food server because they might not care enough about their job to not spit in your food.
the actual conclusions you draw about the people doesn't matter, was does matter is that you use stereotypes to quickly assess who these people are and what they might be like. in the same way TPGs allows people to quickly recognize and assess particular quality's of the coin with a fairly high degree of accuracy.
oh my I got far to long winded in this post >.< sorry, its late my mind loves exploring ideas at night. Summing up my last two paragraphs, because the coins are easily recognized and people are really sure that they are getting what they are paying for they tend to sell at a premium. and that premium is the price of the coin without risk.
online sale price = value of coin - risk +or- haggling + shipping Online price of TPGs = value of coin +- haggling = shipping
I could be wrong, its late, I'm done. Sorry for this wall of text. I know it seems because of how much I wrote that I support TPGs more but I see both sides as equally valid opinions. Its just alot simpler to explain why TPGs are not something you need to use when collecting because all your doing is paying someone else to do something you could do for yourself compared to explaining why TPGs create value that is reflected on the marketplace.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: A machine is NOT capable though of grading eye appeal - Eye appeal could be a single point (and stated as such) after the machine does the verifiable and highly accountable job of grading the coin. The programs are there, they did experiments and didn't like the results. I would much rather have human experts grading my coins than lines of code the IT department wrote that very few if any of the actual experts would be able to tell if the code was being manipulated or not. You also have to code every series differently and even different dates and different mints differently and then you end up using a human anyway. Not to mention trying to code luster grading would be a pain and someone would figure out what the program isn't able to pick up on when it comes to doctoring. Tricking a computer would be easier than an expert when it comes to authenticity as well. Quote: However, I would like to see slabbing companies announce they will now only be grading on a technical, verifiable grade - the grade is ONLY about wear and details. There is nothing wrong with you wanting that, but the market has rejected and penalized any TPG that overemphasized technical grading. Eye appeal is will and always has been king when it comes to collecting. There are always people who are exceptions to that but as a whole the market has always preferred eye appeal. If you want TPGs to solely grade technically convince everyone else to start demanding they do it and it will happen. They don't because that isn't what collectors want. Quote: The very idea that CAC stickers exist in the numbers they do could only happen if the experts were not the experts they claimed to be Again that's the misunderstanding that has been spread around the internet. To put CAC in it's most simple basic forum, they identify premium coins they would want to buy. Nothing more. People need to let go of the misconception that things that don't sticker have to be graded wrong. Every grade will always have premium coins, average coins, low end coins, fantastic eye appeal coins, average looking coins, and below average looking coin. Just because something is low end for the grade and doesn't sticker doesn't mean it is graded wrong. The truth is the majority of coins that don't sticker are graded properly, some even don't sticker that are strong for the grade because of a minor thing that CAC just doesn't like on it. But if you take nothing else away from this take this: CAC is NOT judging whether or not coins are properly graded, they are identifying the ones that are premium quality for the grade nothing more Quote:
Getting a second opinion is done when there is doubt about your original Dr.'s diagnosis and how that mistake could affect your life. Completely disagree, if I had a surgery coming up I am getting a second opinion no matter what. If I am about to spend 5k/10k/50k ect on a coin I want every relevant opinion on it. The only difference between asking a dealer friend and CAC for their thoughts is that JA and the CAC crew are better graders than the majority of dealers. They're just simply aren't that many people out there on that level, some work at TPGs, some are dealers, a couple even collectors but it is an elite club at that skill level. Quote: If company B can make a business by showing a good number of company A's product is not worthy of the expert level claimed by company A, then company A is either incapable of, or simply not doing, what they claim. Again CAC has nothing to do with saying something is graded wrong. They're essentially like the pro scout who is looking to identify the premier players, if they don't have interest it doesn't mean there is anything wrong with them it's just that they aren't in the upper level of the group. Quote: In other words, if the TPGs were up to what they claim, then the minsdet should/would be one of, "Why bother wasting my money paying for a CAC sticker - almost all of the slabs submitted get them anyway?" The only way for almost all of them to get them anyway is to just intentionally undergrade low end coins. Otherwise you already start out with at least half of every grade range that won't get stickered if they are properly grading the coins instead of saying lets drop this a grade so it'll sticker. Quote: As you say, "too many people believe that now." These are the people using the services of the business. These are the people driving the market. It's really mostly the anti-slab/anti-cac crowd that keeps hounding that fallacy. The market drivers such as the respected expert dealers understand that CAC is picking premium quality not just saying that anything without a sticker is graded wrong. Of course the CAC coins sell for more, they're generally the nicer ones. The majority of people that use the service and like it understand that unstickered coins don't mean it's wrong, its mostly the critics that keep trying to use CAC to say the TPGs cannot grade when really they are just misrepresenting what CAC actually is doing. Quote: If history repeats itself, just give it enough time with skillful marketers and "5th level graders" will be deemed a "necessity."
It's very unlikely. The thing everyone seems to forget is that CAC only works because of the level of expertise they hold. There are several spin off versions for different coin types currently and the market is very meh about them. Photoseal is respected and desired for Indians, but CAC is by far the most successful and respected simply because of the truly elite graders they have. They don't even charge collectors for coins that don't sticker and you can request feedback on why they did or did not. Quote:I look forward to seeing if you can find the email (if you cannot, I will look on my machine) where, after questioning two large, independent, non local to each other dealers, who had been formerly paid TPG graders described to me how they stopped b/c of unethical reasons in how the company's grading system was presented and what actually went on. They said it was piecework, and the peer pressure was to rush things. The 20% return of MS70s on monster boxes is also something they verified by inquiring with other dealers to see how the data would come out. They said when they examined the MS70s vs the MS MS69s from the returned monster boxes, that it appeared that simply a random amount was taken out to be MS70. The informed me that by looking at the MS70s, they saw some that were dinged etc., while some of the MS69s were "perfect." Remember these guys were some of the former TPG "experts." While saying they did not like the ethical issues, the TPGS do make ways for them to profit b/c they know what the grades should be and can snag pieces they know can be cracked, resubmitted, and make higher profits - only because of the faith given to these companies. Lots of people claim to be ex-graders that weren't, even if they were for all I know they were fired or have a bone to pick such as many ex-employees do in other lines of work. If a large conspiracy existed it would have come out by now. I've used the TPGs many times and there has been no favoritism or holding my grades back because I am just a collector. I have even gotten a top pop grade before and I am a nobody to them which I would have never gotten if they only saved those for the big dealers like some people suggest. Regardless of any conspiracies people may want to try and push which is almost always for personal gain and/or getting lower grades than they wanted, experience will show you they are nothing more than just people talking. Also 20% isn't the standard ASE monster box rate. The rate is generally consistent to within a plus or minus range of a percentage given the larger submission number going in and the fairly consistent quality making those now a days, but it does vary from year to year. Some years it is much higher and other times occasionally a product comes out that falls way short of expectations like the 2012 ASE set where the 70 rate was lower then normal. There is nothing random about how they assign 70s. Sure there will be some mistakes as nothing in this world is perfect, but he likely needs to freshen his grading skills and/or has a beef to pick with them. You can read plenty of threads on the CU forum by the major dealers about 70 rates who have much more experience and do much larger volume then him and their accounts directly contradict such conspiracies. Quote: They also told me of having coins they would crack and resubmit until it got the grade they knew it could - the profit margins were worth it. A true slider coin can have that happen. However the crack out game is much much harder than the internet or people make it sound. Anyone who believes it to be that easy can try for themselves if they don't believe me. The majority of coins have a plus or minus grade range of 1. The exceptions being where the next grade up is a significant value jump and people would honestly be surprised how consistent they are around those jumps. I've seen a plus graded CAC stickered coin come back with the exact same grade many multiples of times that was tried numerous times because of the mid 4 figure value jump in the next grade. The population reports wouldn't be so inflated below the big jumps if it was simply as easy as resubmitting. But really that plus or minus of 1 is really just how the subjective aspects of a grade can change. If I gave anyone a 100 coins to grade, then had you grade 1000 more coins in between and mixed the same 100 in with another 1000 over the coming months they wouldn't grade the 100 exactly the same every-time. There's no conspiracy when a grade shifts a little, that's just the nature of grading and the standards themselves have evolved over the years as our knowledge base of the series has grown with the plethora of research that has been done in the last couple decades.
Edited by basebal21 08/20/2017 03:37 am
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
2495 Posts |
If you really want to make money in this field, don't learn how to grade, but learn how ICCS grades.......that is the secret.
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Moderator
 United States
23522 Posts |
Quote: If you really want to make money in this field, don't learn how to grade, but learn how ICCS grades.......that is the secret. Sssssh. Don't let the cat out of the bag. 
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Rest in Peace
United States
17900 Posts |
People vote on this subject, as I do, with their dollars. The vast majority of quality coins sold are encapsulated. Heritage, Great Collections, Stacks-Bowers, David Lawrence, and the list goes on - sell TPG coins, almost exclusively. They sell millions of dollars worth of coins every month. Do you really think those whales are doing anything that might reduce their sales and profits?
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Moderator
 United States
23522 Posts |
Quote: Do you really think those whales are doing anything that might reduce their sales and profits?
Of course not, which cleanly illustrates the absolute need for the TPG system. That said, I personally view that system with contempt, an Easy Button facilitating lazy collectors who want their lunch for free and are unwilling to exert the slightest effort to, you know, learn something about their coins. If you're gonna collect coins, you're gonna learn to grade. That should be axiomatic. However, the majority of the underpinning for coin values - and high coin values benefit all of us, buyers and sellers alike, when you think about it - rests upon the shoulders of folks whose purpose for collecting vitally factors resale value above other considerations. If there weren't a plurality of such folks involved in collecting, where would we dump our dogs in slabs?  So, yeah, let the TPG system continue. I own one single coin for which the slab played an important factor in the purchase, since it is Top Pop for the color and CAC'd (it's copper, and worthy of the given grade), but it's the only coin I've ever bought with that in mind. I don't like the system, but here it is and one might as well leverage it in their favor. 
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1461 Posts |
Maybe I share a slightly different take on grading, possibly because I buy and sell coins every day and sell mostly online. I don't look at grading as a definitive value of a particular coin but more so as a value base. Many coins of the same grade sell at significant differences from each other based on eye appeal. It's not to say that collectors shouldn't learn how to grade coins and more importantly know what they are buying, but I think in this day and age of dealing with coins through a picture and often at a significant distance, grading does offer at least some idea of base values. Selling raw high value coins from a picture almost always works against the seller (with some exceptions) (says the dealer). It's one reason why you have a barrage of dealers and collectors scouring ebay for raw coins and unidentified varieties. The other factor that is of great benefit to have mid to high value coins in TPG holders is counterfeit protection. And although this process failed in the case of the ICCS graded 1891 Cent discussed here, I think its a valuable service to the average collector who choses to collect more valuable coins as most collectors would have a very difficult time identifying some very good modern counterfeits. ICCS does not financially stand buy their authenticity assessment but the US TPGs do.
Edited by TheCoinHunter 08/20/2017 1:12 pm
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Moderator
 Canada
10458 Posts |
Given the original title and intent of this thread, especially from a Canadian collector, we have strayed off on a pretty good tangent...
I have moved this thread to a sub-forum where it is more at home...
"Discovery follows discovery, each both raising and answering questions, each ending a long search, and each providing the new instruments for a new search." -- J. Robert OppenheimerContent of this post is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses...0/deed.en_USMy eBay store
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Moderator
 United States
23522 Posts |
/raises hand I helped derail this one. 
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
586 Posts |
I think grading is essential and a must when your ready to sell. Its no secret that selling can be a challenge to get what you believe is a good price. When selling a non graded coin, it is subjected to buyers evaluation. You my believe a coin is in MS condition but the potential buyer thinks is AU. This can be a huge discrepancy in value.
Where if the coin is graded by a reputable third party the negotiations will always hoover around the suggested book value of a coin in that graded condition. Thus negating the buyers leverage and challenging your grading experience.
A non graded coin in my opinion, is an opportunity for a buyer to negotiate great price on a desired piece.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote:
A non graded coin in my opinion, is an opportunity for a buyer to negotiate great price on a desired piece.
And a better opportunity for someone to take a buyer to the cleaners
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New Member
United States
16 Posts |
Moxking, thank you for answering my questions before I asked them
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