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CCCS, ICCS, Or PCGS Pro And Cons Of Each Grading Services For First Time

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 Posted 08/19/2017  1:17 pm  Show Profile   Check SPP-Ottawa's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add SPP-Ottawa to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

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You couldn't be be further from the truth but if it makes you feel superior to be demeaning like that carry on.


Tread very carefully here... it was merely an opinion... nothing more (just like a third party grading company). If you know 'Old Bill' like we do, you would know there is absolutely nothing demeaning or hint of a superiority complex with him. Bill is actually quite humble and has selflessly given more to the hobby here north of the border than most ever will. Bill always shares his time and knowledge with new collectors, and he would rather see novice collectors spend their money on coins and coin books, and share their knowledge freely, rather than line the pockets of a third party grading company...
"Discovery follows discovery, each both raising and answering questions, each ending a long search, and each providing the new instruments for a new search." -- J. Robert Oppenheimer

Content of this post is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses...0/deed.en_US

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 Posted 08/19/2017  1:34 pm  Show Profile   Check SPP-Ottawa's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add SPP-Ottawa to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

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Most people nowadays buy the holder, not the coin, because they never learned how to grade. That's like driving a car and not knowing how to keep it in a straight line or to regularly park. I think that newer collectors in the last 10 years have been brainwashed by propaganda that says that you "have to" get coins certified to be a collector.


After being behind a table for 8 years as a coin dealer, and being on the collector side of the table for the rest of my hobby - absolutely, there is an element of truth to this statement. Because, if there wasn't, we would not be always preaching...


Quote:
Buy the coin, not the holder.
"Discovery follows discovery, each both raising and answering questions, each ending a long search, and each providing the new instruments for a new search." -- J. Robert Oppenheimer

Content of this post is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses...0/deed.en_US

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 Posted 08/19/2017  2:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add okiecoiner to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As SPP says, I don't feel superior to anyone or any collector. I just feel that way way too many newer collectors think that they "have" to send their stuff to TPG's just to be accepted into the numismatic community. I have a great many friends who certify their coins and who have good concrete reasons for doing so... and I think they they also made the right decisions to do so.

If you are a high-end collector or have a registry set or a handful of very valuable coins that would be susceptible to damage, then TPG's in holders is the way to go. Or you may have heirs that either know nothing about coins or could care less, and you knew that they would sell them immediately to the first rip-off artist that came around, then TPG's are for you. I think that coin collecting is a hobby, not an potential investment opportunity. High end or educated collectors know how to specifically grade and could care less what holder or TPG was used ...they buy the coin, not the piece of paper. A holder with an opinion glued on it does not increase the value of any coin .. it does, however, allow you to enter the electronic marketplace so that more people can see it.

It kills me to see people on these sites debating whether to certify their coins, and absolutely digs at my chest when I see it is someone who wants to certify 67-68 bullion pieces .. put out in the millions and the lowest graded chunk of metal will be a 66. As far as the market and the marketplace ... unless you are dealing with good top-end stuff, you will make a lot more from your coins by concentrating on grading skills, good clear honest photography, and customer service than you ever will with a piece of paper. All of those "skills" are free and you get to keep them and improve on them. All you are doing with a TPG is making someone else's wallet thicker.
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 Posted 08/19/2017  2:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DEVLEC to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Okie pretty well summed up my feelings perfectly ,..and I could not have said it better than his above statement..

I'm sure that he speaks for many of us here..

Thanks for the accurate and well worded input..
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 Posted 08/19/2017  3:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I consider basebal a friend and respect his opinion on many things. The TPGs are a thing we disagree on - which is OK.

He and I were going to discuss this off of the forum and somehow that fell to the side.

I don't know if I would use the term "brainwashing." Instead, as with most things nowadays, I see it as people are unknowingly "trained by the market environment." In the past 30 years the internet has become a major part of life, and everything has changed drastically. A lot of this is marketing (which drives the internet).


Quote:
...the market has proven that it does mean something time and time again and saying that it doesn't just makes you sound uneducated about collecting.


I have seen very few times when it has been valid to claim mass acceptance accurately gauges validity concerning a business/ideal/concept etc. Mass acceptance nowadays is normally a product of marketing. People who have the time to research in depth often are not surprised to find the stability and validity they have faith in are nowhere near what is being touted.

Public opinion is not a scientific basis on which to establish an opinion.

Galileo was right - not the masses.

You really don't have to "Act within the next 24 hours because product supply is limited."

Yes, despite ridicule from the media (and vast media pressures to stock up on supplies - marketing) etc., Y2K was NOT a world stopping disaster (computer geeks - not so common back then) knew this.

Despite the prominent mass warnings of the 80s an early 90s, eggs are actually a very healthy food.

Hey, guess what? We are NOT growing palm trees on Lake Erie despite the 80s daily, incessant (understatement by far) news media warnings of the ozone hole growing and allowing in cosmic radiation that would warm us up to make such a drastic difference. The ozone hole farce was immediately stifled when the hole closed itself in Y2K (LOL!). And we were assured science "proved" the ozone hold could never "heal."

Checking up on medical numbers shows there has been no decrease in the percentage of people dying from coronary heart disease despite the market for anti-statin drugs booming for ages now.

I can fill pages and pages with this kind of thing.

The non-agressive training of the masses by the advent of the internet is what made for slabbing to grow in mass acceptance. Before that time, TPGS were generally deemed as a non-essential side market trying to make money from the hobby.

Oh no! Earle42 - you are using idea based on the masses!

Exactly. And this conundrum is why I wanted to talk to, and did, people who graded for the TPGs. I wanted to, and did, go at this from a standpoint of, "OK, so are these companies legite? I want to know." I examined the process of grading itself and found no accountability in the methods they use to grade. They deliberately keep grading as an "art." They will not tell why they assign a certain grade.

A computer based scientific method to grade was developed with available tech of the 90s and abandoned. The only fallacies in the system were one point would have needed to be assigned by a human for eye appeal, and then there was the qustion of the algorithm used to grade (which could have been made public for scrutiny).

However, such a precise system of a rock solid standard would definitely be bad for business. There would be no income for re-slabbing and crossovers. The actual number of MS70 ASEs each year would be known. Nowadays I have talked with large dealers who brought it to my attention the number of MS70 ASEs are a marketing as shown by the monster boxes they submit being assigned 20% MS70s consistently. The 20% allows just enough out there so people will hope to get the grade assigned to their raw coin and pay for the gamble.

Physical data - as the dealers told me - start to look at slabbed MS70 coins. I did. It took very little time to find one with small dings, etc.

An example of this was when PCGS was offering a free MS70 graded Statehood Quarter to promote their new idea of people posting their collections online (thus creating competition and more money for people to slab). The coin's rim ding does not make me question why it got an MS70 grade at all. Neither do the problems with the MS70 slabbed ASEs I got from small groups of coins I bought at various times. Some were good - in fact they were just as good as MS69s I had that were not in MS70 slabs for some "unknown" reason.

Check it out for yourself.

I would like it explained how the same masses who consider the TPG marketing department to be giving an accurate claim are also the same masses now wanting to see a CAC sticker to verify the TPG marketing's rhetoric is valid!

We all hate when we find we have wasted money. It makes it very hard for us to see an issue objectively.

Case in point: The existence of CAC should speak volumes to those who put a lot of faith in TPGs - and does. However, the unfortunate message being TAKEN by those spending the money is one of "WOW - look! I have two sources of experts verifying my slab!"

The question they should be asking themselves is, "Hold on a minute! Since not every slab can qualify for a CAC - doesn;t this prove the TPGs are not what they claim to be?

I can understand human error being factored in - a few slabs would likely not get a CAC sticker. But human error would not account for the myriads of CAC stickers out there! How in the world can CAC be in business if the TPGS actually do what they claim?

It is a sad testimony to public training of mindset, and further proof the TPGs are not up to their "mass acceptance, that CAC has actually gotten to the place where people see CAC as being necessary for a higher level coin!

We humans hate to abandon faith. However, the data above - and believe me I shortened this book I am writing here - can be found and verified by anyone who has time to do the footwork.

Peer pressure and mass acceptance normally aid us in making choices which are not accurate (see both sides of the political aisle). These techniques do make marketing companies very happy though. Hey... maybe buying a pet rock is not so crazy after all! Everyone else is doing it! I dated myself - google it.


Life taught me long ago to research - not someone else's ideas or summaries concerning data/facts - by looking at the data with no preconceived notion dominating the research. Life also taught me my own limited life experience does not always include a holistic view I can trust as fact. I cannot afford to assign emotional value to how correct or incorrect my opinion may be if I want to actually know fact.

The above issues are those I need to be shown how I have interpreted the data in error before I can see TPGs as being legitimate. And if the verifiable data I am presented with shows beyond doubt my interpretations are incorrect - then great! I will heave learned fact - something more valuable than any opinion I have based in any way upon my past actions or personal desires.

How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
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Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
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 Posted 08/19/2017  9:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Tread very carefully here... it was merely an opinion... nothing more


Opinion or not it's still demeaning to state that newer collectors are brainwashed for preferring slabs and stating they are just buying labels is in fact deeming and talking down on the way other people collect. I personally couldn't care how people collect, it's their collection. If raw makes them happy so be it, if graded makes them happy by all means get graded. That said everyone who knows me knows I will speak up when someone starts demeaning how someone else collects because it doesn't fit their desires of how it should be.

There is also the fact that like it or not saying TPG grades mean nothing is just flat out wrong. Regardless plenty of the truly elite collectors in this hobby who have forgotten more than most of us will ever know collect graded coins and no one should be talking down to people that collect that way. Collectors are supposed to be encouraging each other to enjoy the hobby which means we will all enjoy it a different way, not making snide remarks because someone isn't doing it how you want them too.


Quote:
Bill always shares his time and knowledge with new collectors, and he would rather see novice collectors spend their money on coins and coin books, and share their knowledge freely, rather than line the pockets of a third party grading company...


Ironically one of the quickest ways for someone to learn to grade is by using the grading companies. Most (not all) people learn by doing.
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 Posted 08/19/2017  9:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:

He and I were going to discuss this off of the forum and somehow that fell to the side.


I'll have to dig through my spam folder and see if it ended up in there somehow, I hadn't seen a reply but sounds like you wrote one.


Quote:
They deliberately keep grading as an "art."


It's not deliberate it's just how it is. Several of the factors that go into a grade are subjective measurements which have been a part of a grade before the TPGs started.


Quote:

However, such a precise system of a rock solid standard would definitely be bad for business.


It's more than that, a company tried to grade purely technically before and the market hated it. Coins that looked like dogs having the same grade as beautiful coins because of the number of hits is not something that collectors have ever wanted.


Quote:
I would like it explained how the same masses who consider the TPG marketing department to be giving an accurate claim are also the same masses now wanting to see a CAC sticker to verify the TPG marketing's rhetoric is valid!


CAC is an entirely separate discussion really. They only do certain coins and there are plenty of people that support the TPGs that don't care for CAC. In general though they're just a second opinion like getting a second opinion from a DR. In their case the market did pervert what they actually do somewhat where some developed a belief that a coin is a dog without a sticker, which is only true some of the time and not the majority of the time.


Quote:
How in the world can CAC be in business if the TPGS actually do what they claim?


Because no matter what grade you examine there will always be a high end and a low end to that grade. The idea that everything CAC doesn't sticker is wrong is one of the great misunderstands that people who really didn't know what they were talking about started spreading around. Unfortunately too many people believe that now. For example a coin can be a low end 65 and not sticker and be properly graded.


Quote:
It is a sad testimony to public training of mindset, and further proof the TPGs are not up to their "mass acceptance, that CAC has actually gotten to the place where people see CAC as being necessary for a higher level coin!


Not really. When people shell out mid 4 or 5/6 plus figures on a coin they want all the reassurances that can be offered when spending that type of money. That's human nature to want every possible assurance when spending large amounts of money on those coins. There's also a difference that collectors at those levels understand between a coin that would CAC at a grade lower or a coin that would not CAC a grade lower from being net graded.


Quote:
The above issues are those I need to be shown how I have interpreted the data in error before I can see TPGs as being legitimate


There is absolutely no question that the big two are legitimate. There is no reason that should ever be questioned. You can question who grades better or who will do better ect, but there is nothing illegitimate going on
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 Posted 08/19/2017  9:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add okiecoiner to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
basebal21 .. I understand from other posts that you are a nice, amiable, friendly guy. However, you are reading much more into what I had to say about TPG's than was ever there or meant to be there. I am not demeaning anyone or looking down on the way that they collect. I think that the first $200-300 that a new collector should spend when he/she decides to actually collect coins should be in books and references. The vast majority of people DO NOT learn to grade by looking at pieces of paper stuck to a holder. They learn it by going to coin shows and having coins in their hand, by joining coin clubs, joining coin organizations, or just plain researching. True, there are elite, top-shelf collectors that collect graded coins, but they bought them because of the coin itself, not what was written on the paper. The same coin can be a 65 to one TPG, a 63 to another and a 67 to another. There is no standardization or mutual agreement over a few points in grading that could be 1000's in price. A coin graded 65 in the 80's won't be a 65 now .. probably be a 67 or 8 due to grading creep. If you want to pay a third party for an opinion, fine. I'd prefer to use the money to buy something I want that is solid in hand. Newbies should not be encouraged or even suggested to send their stuff into a TPG .. there's enough good coin sites on the internet to get an opinion for free.
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 Posted 08/19/2017  10:12 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add canadian_coins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think basebal21 has some good points here. I personally learned a lot from sending my coins to TPGs and I've never had issues selling them. Not a single return. Not so true with raw coins. If you buy coins at coin shows it probably does not make any difference because you can examine the coin. Buying from a picture is a different story. TPGs are there to offer a 'second opinion'. As a buyer, you can take it or leave it.

It's all up to you. But with all the fakes I'd think twice before buying expensive raw coins. Even from so-called reputable sources.
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 Posted 08/19/2017  10:25 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add canadian_coins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
there's enough good coin sites on the internet to get an opinion for free


This is beyond a second opinion... with TPG (PCGS at least) there is a guaranty that the coin is genuine. If a customer believes that a coin has been improperly graded either over-graded, under-graded, misattributed, or is a counterfeit the policy has provisions to cover the owner/buyer of the coin.

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 Posted 08/20/2017  12:48 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Earle42 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Ironically one of the quickest ways for someone to learn to grade is by using the grading companies. Most (not all) people learn by doing.


I agree these people are getting good, hands-on experience. The education the learner gets though, is taylored to the specimens they use for the study - which are the TPGs slabs.

In effect, what these collectors learn is how certain TPGs will grade different coins. I think people learning about slabs from slabs is also why there is so much online discussion of which TPG does the job "best," which pays more attention to {fill in the blank}, which one is more consistent with {FITB}, etc.


Quote:
I'll have to dig through my spam folder and see if it ended up in there somehow, I hadn't seen a reply but sounds like you wrote one.

Sounds good. I figured you were just busy.


Quote:

Quote:
They deliberately keep grading as an "art."


It's not deliberate it's just how it is. Several of the factors that go into a grade are subjective measurements which have been a part of a grade before the TPGs started


Well - making it short, I personally used a scanning device in the late 90s - at a plastics plant QR dept - which was designed to find microscopic anomalies with the parts we were making. This machine could report all sorts of numbers and imperfections accurately and consistently down to the micron level. This is more than enough scanning a coin, setting parameters as to even what kind of damage, /cleaning etc. A machine is NOT capable though of grading eye appeal - Eye appeal could be a single point (and stated as such) after the machine does the verifiable and highly accountable job of grading the coin. And this was almost 20 years ago now. Imagine what our computers nowadays could do as compared to systems back then. Do we really think that nowadays data as to how a coin received its grade is beyond our reach?

Personally, I *think* some of our phones might very well have the ability to grade coins consistently seeing as facial recognition is no big deal anymore - even at differing angles. Any programmer familiar with facial recognition programming and algorithms want to make a million on the app store?


Quote:
It's more than that, a company tried to grade purely technically before and the market hated it. Coins that looked like dogs having the same grade as beautiful coins because of the number of hits is not something that collectors have ever wanted.

Exactly. Two points:
1. The dog being called beautiful was simply the technical grade which could be authenticated/consistent. A point would need be given by a human for eye appeal.
However, I would like to see slabbing companies announce they will now only be grading on a technical, verifiable grade - the grade is ONLY about wear and details. Aprt of this would be the TPGs saying they leave the eye appeal up to the collector (where it originated and is anyway).
The mindset shift would be from, "Was this coin graded accurately," to "do I want this MS70 without as much color/luster as this other MS70?" But again, by keeping the "art" at the company, the unknown gamble is always there and generates more business.

2. This internet generation now trust computers a lot more than in the late 90s (understatement). Back then comuters were far from being in every home, they were seen as maybe "taking over the world," and our system now being run by these crazy machines meant the Y2K bug was going to put us back into the stone age (yes - the warnings were this persistent). The grading shift by TPGs even could have been made 10 years ago or more. But marketers are smarter than this. The shift would be a very bad business strategy though.

The result is that instead of having an accountable system, we have CAC.


Quote:
there are plenty of people that support the TPGs that don't care for CAC.

The very idea that CAC could have come as far as they have shows a progression of increased acceptance of typical marketing strategies. Everything is always NEW and IMPROVED! Last year's model is no longer the "perfect answer to all our problems" it was touted to be - this years model is such a great improvement!

The very idea that CAC stickers exist in the numbers they do could only happen if the experts were not the experts they claimed to be. CAC is also after profits (legitimate), and they are now simply just acquiring the status they hoped they would receive - instead of ridicule - when they started out.



Quote:
In general though they're just a second opinion like getting a second opinion from a DR.

Getting a second opinion is done when there is doubt about your original Dr.'s diagnosis and how that mistake could affect your life.

Paying for a second opinion is different when health and life are not on the line.

When someone hires an expert to fix their car, do they hire (key word) people after the job is done to verify the job was done right? Why not?

How many people buy and carry their own pool PH testing kits to the YMCA to make sure the PH levels are within proper levels? Why not?

When we get gas, do we have our own personal meters we attach to the hose to make sure the pump meters are measuring properly? Why not?

Redundancy is normally seen as foolish when someone pays hard earned cash for an expert's services.

If company B can make a business by showing a good number of company A's product is not worthy of the expert level claimed by company A, then company A is either incapable of, or simply not doing, what they claim.

As much as TPGs are perceived as being THE coin experts, should it not be expected that a second opinion is not only redundant, but shouldn't it be expected so few slabs would NOT get a CAC sticker that the market would not support the CAC sticker business?

In other words, if the TPGs were up to what they claim, then the minsdet should/would be one of, "Why bother wasting my money paying for a CAC sticker - almost all of the slabs submitted get them anyway?"


Quote:

Quote:
How in the world can CAC be in business if the TPGS actually do what they claim?

Because no matter what grade you examine there will always be a high end and a low end to that grade.

Computerized technical grading of the coin's actual features would alleviate this to a very great degree - but be bad for business.

quote] The idea that everything CAC doesn't sticker is wrong is one of the great misunderstands that people who really didn't know what they were talking about started spreading around. Unfortunately too many people believe that now. For example a coin can be a low end 65 and not sticker and be properly graded.


As you say, "too many people believe that now." These are the people using the services of the business. These are the people driving the market.


Quote:
When people shell out mid 4 or 5/6 plus figures on a coin they want all the reassurances that can be offered when spending that type of money. That's human nature to want every possible assurance when spending large amounts of money on those coins.


And, unfortunately, nowadays marketing has put enough doubt into the masses that "THE" experts opinion are not enough. The definition of the word "expert" has lost its superlative quality through marketing.

A few years ago a company was offering a MAC sticker (I think this was its name) that tried to start a business offering their own sticker to verify the CAC sticker. The new sticker did not last long. If history repeats itself, just give it enough time with skillful marketers and "5th level graders" will be deemed a "necessity."

Back when slabbing started we "knew" something like what later took hold as the CAC sticker business was an utterly ridiculous fantasy to joke about.

BTW - doing a "sold" search on ebay shows not all are 4-6 figure. In fact some are actually below 100.00 (admittedly I was surprised), and quite a few are under 300.00.


Quote:
There is absolutely no question that the big two are legitimate. There is no reason that should ever be questioned. You can question who grades better or who will do better etc, but there is nothing illegitimate going on[/quote]

This is a statement - an opinion.

I look forward to seeing if you can find the email (if you cannot, I will look on my machine) where, after questioning two large, independent, non local to each other dealers, who had been formerly paid TPG graders described to me how they stopped b/c of unethical reasons in how the company's grading system was presented and what actually went on. They said it was piecework, and the peer pressure was to rush things.

The 20% return of MS70s on monster boxes is also something they verified by inquiring with other dealers to see how the data would come out. They said when they examined the MS70s vs the MS MS69s from the returned monster boxes, that it appeared that simply a random amount was taken out to be MS70. The informed me that by looking at the MS70s, they saw some that were dinged etc., while some of the MS69s were "perfect." Remember these guys were some of the former TPG "experts." While saying they did not like the ethical issues, the TPGS do make ways for them to profit b/c they know what the grades should be and can snag pieces they know can be cracked, resubmitted, and make higher profits - only because of the faith given to these companies.

They also told me of having coins they would crack and resubmit until it got the grade they knew it could - the profit margins were worth it. This should not be impossible if a company puts accountability as its highest standard.

Do I think the companies deliberately set out to deceive? Current marketing practices, sadly, allow for gray areas.

The snake oil salesmen of old, for the most part, did actually sell something that made people feel better (albeit a temporary feeling). Much of the content of the quack medicines was alcohol. So was it deceitful to say their potions would make a person feel better? I guess it depends on how many hairs a person is willing to split (although it should not be). When the people took enough of the potion, they DID feel better until the hangover.


How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash?
Download and read: Grading the graders
Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halves
https://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
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 Posted 08/20/2017  12:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Raynac to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Wow this really exploded eh? XD Very educational though. its rare you get to fully see someones mindset and opinions on things unless they are arguing opposite sides, you get to analyze and try to look at points that both sides may take for granted. :D

Ill try not to take either side here but rather offer my own opinion on the matter. First of all I think both side are right to varying degrees. It isn't something that you have to do in order to take up the hobby. you can learn to grade on your own and you are basically paying for someone else's opinion. You could have a much larger collection that is just as good by investing purely in coins rather than paying for everything to be slabbed. And I can understand the frustration from your side of things because you have probably seen so many people throw away their money not understanding these finer points. thinking that their coin is nothing unless its slabbed. or throwing it away on coins that really don't need to be slabbed ones that they would never be able to get the price back out of. You would much rather these collectors empower themselves and enrich their knowledge of the subject of numismatics in order to help better themselves in the long run

TPGs do have value though and as basebal1 said on the first page it has been tested in the market time and time again, thats why they are still here years later for me to start a forum over. I understand full well their value (and only a small fraction of it is protection) and their value is actually related to two main things, risk and recognition.

Risk is easy to understand from a money point, risk effects many transactions in many different ways. generally the interest rates you pay on your purchases are related to risk. If you are at a high risk to default on your payments, or your undergoing a risky business venture without much collateral or assets backing you up lenders are going to charge you a higher rate to try and compensate for the potential loss of their investment. same as if you have good credit you will be loaned money at lower interest rates.

In terms of value TPGs make the purchasing of a coin a lot less risky, especially online. When you see a coin in one of the holders of these companies you can do a quick search and see if the company is trusted. If it is you can reasonably assume that whatever is in the holder is at least graded close to whats written on the package. you lower the risk of not being able to identify it properly or notice cleaning through online photos, the risk is also lowered of damage to the coin during transit. most of them are serialized so if someone sends you a coin different than the one in the picture... well I mean your probably still screwed unless you have some way to go after them legally ... but you will be able to tell.

recognition could probably be tied into risk but its a little different. The best way I can think of it is to relate it to stereotypes. stereotypes are generally portrayed as negative things. they give inaccurate pictures of people and can lead to hatred or intolerance. So why have they managed to stay in our society? Because they are incredibly useful. we cannot know everyone in our world. and taking the time to meet them all and remember who they are would be an insurmountable task, so our brain uses stereotypes to quickly "recognize" and make assumptions about people. you see someone in a car with red and blue lights in a uniform with a badge and you can generally recognize them as an authority figure which can make you feel safe or intimidated, a ragged looking man walking towards you staring intently at you while holding a weapon spells danger. you give your money to a banker to hold on to assuming its safer than the random person on the street. you try not to anger the fast food server because they might not care enough about their job to not spit in your food.

the actual conclusions you draw about the people doesn't matter, was does matter is that you use stereotypes to quickly assess who these people are and what they might be like. in the same way TPGs allows people to quickly recognize and assess particular quality's of the coin with a fairly high degree of accuracy.


oh my I got far to long winded in this post >.< sorry, its late my mind loves exploring ideas at night. Summing up my last two paragraphs, because the coins are easily recognized and people are really sure that they are getting what they are paying for they tend to sell at a premium. and that premium is the price of the coin without risk.

online sale price = value of coin - risk +or- haggling + shipping
Online price of TPGs = value of coin +- haggling = shipping

I could be wrong, its late, I'm done. Sorry for this wall of text. I know it seems because of how much I wrote that I support TPGs more but I see both sides as equally valid opinions. Its just alot simpler to explain why TPGs are not something you need to use when collecting because all your doing is paying someone else to do something you could do for yourself compared to explaining why TPGs create value that is reflected on the marketplace.
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 Posted 08/20/2017  03:26 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
A machine is NOT capable though of grading eye appeal - Eye appeal could be a single point (and stated as such) after the machine does the verifiable and highly accountable job of grading the coin.


The programs are there, they did experiments and didn't like the results. I would much rather have human experts grading my coins than lines of code the IT department wrote that very few if any of the actual experts would be able to tell if the code was being manipulated or not. You also have to code every series differently and even different dates and different mints differently and then you end up using a human anyway. Not to mention trying to code luster grading would be a pain and someone would figure out what the program isn't able to pick up on when it comes to doctoring. Tricking a computer would be easier than an expert when it comes to authenticity as well.


Quote:
However, I would like to see slabbing companies announce they will now only be grading on a technical, verifiable grade - the grade is ONLY about wear and details.


There is nothing wrong with you wanting that, but the market has rejected and penalized any TPG that overemphasized technical grading. Eye appeal is will and always has been king when it comes to collecting. There are always people who are exceptions to that but as a whole the market has always preferred eye appeal. If you want TPGs to solely grade technically convince everyone else to start demanding they do it and it will happen. They don't because that isn't what collectors want.


Quote:
The very idea that CAC stickers exist in the numbers they do could only happen if the experts were not the experts they claimed to be


Again that's the misunderstanding that has been spread around the internet. To put CAC in it's most simple basic forum, they identify premium coins they would want to buy. Nothing more. People need to let go of the misconception that things that don't sticker have to be graded wrong. Every grade will always have premium coins, average coins, low end coins, fantastic eye appeal coins, average looking coins, and below average looking coin. Just because something is low end for the grade and doesn't sticker doesn't mean it is graded wrong. The truth is the majority of coins that don't sticker are graded properly, some even don't sticker that are strong for the grade because of a minor thing that CAC just doesn't like on it.

But if you take nothing else away from this take this: CAC is NOT judging whether or not coins are properly graded, they are identifying the ones that are premium quality for the grade nothing more


Quote:

Getting a second opinion is done when there is doubt about your original Dr.'s diagnosis and how that mistake could affect your life.


Completely disagree, if I had a surgery coming up I am getting a second opinion no matter what. If I am about to spend 5k/10k/50k ect on a coin I want every relevant opinion on it. The only difference between asking a dealer friend and CAC for their thoughts is that JA and the CAC crew are better graders than the majority of dealers. They're just simply aren't that many people out there on that level, some work at TPGs, some are dealers, a couple even collectors but it is an elite club at that skill level.


Quote:
If company B can make a business by showing a good number of company A's product is not worthy of the expert level claimed by company A, then company A is either incapable of, or simply not doing, what they claim.


Again CAC has nothing to do with saying something is graded wrong. They're essentially like the pro scout who is looking to identify the premier players, if they don't have interest it doesn't mean there is anything wrong with them it's just that they aren't in the upper level of the group.


Quote:
In other words, if the TPGs were up to what they claim, then the minsdet should/would be one of, "Why bother wasting my money paying for a CAC sticker - almost all of the slabs submitted get them anyway?"


The only way for almost all of them to get them anyway is to just intentionally undergrade low end coins. Otherwise you already start out with at least half of every grade range that won't get stickered if they are properly grading the coins instead of saying lets drop this a grade so it'll sticker.


Quote:
As you say, "too many people believe that now." These are the people using the services of the business. These are the people driving the market.


It's really mostly the anti-slab/anti-cac crowd that keeps hounding that fallacy. The market drivers such as the respected expert dealers understand that CAC is picking premium quality not just saying that anything without a sticker is graded wrong. Of course the CAC coins sell for more, they're generally the nicer ones. The majority of people that use the service and like it understand that unstickered coins don't mean it's wrong, its mostly the critics that keep trying to use CAC to say the TPGs cannot grade when really they are just misrepresenting what CAC actually is doing.


Quote:
If history repeats itself, just give it enough time with skillful marketers and "5th level graders" will be deemed a "necessity."

It's very unlikely. The thing everyone seems to forget is that CAC only works because of the level of expertise they hold. There are several spin off versions for different coin types currently and the market is very meh about them. Photoseal is respected and desired for Indians, but CAC is by far the most successful and respected simply because of the truly elite graders they have. They don't even charge collectors for coins that don't sticker and you can request feedback on why they did or did not.


Quote:

I look forward to seeing if you can find the email (if you cannot, I will look on my machine) where, after questioning two large, independent, non local to each other dealers, who had been formerly paid TPG graders described to me how they stopped b/c of unethical reasons in how the company's grading system was presented and what actually went on. They said it was piecework, and the peer pressure was to rush things.

The 20% return of MS70s on monster boxes is also something they verified by inquiring with other dealers to see how the data would come out. They said when they examined the MS70s vs the MS MS69s from the returned monster boxes, that it appeared that simply a random amount was taken out to be MS70. The informed me that by looking at the MS70s, they saw some that were dinged etc., while some of the MS69s were "perfect." Remember these guys were some of the former TPG "experts." While saying they did not like the ethical issues, the TPGS do make ways for them to profit b/c they know what the grades should be and can snag pieces they know can be cracked, resubmitted, and make higher profits - only because of the faith given to these companies.


Lots of people claim to be ex-graders that weren't, even if they were for all I know they were fired or have a bone to pick such as many ex-employees do in other lines of work. If a large conspiracy existed it would have come out by now. I've used the TPGs many times and there has been no favoritism or holding my grades back because I am just a collector. I have even gotten a top pop grade before and I am a nobody to them which I would have never gotten if they only saved those for the big dealers like some people suggest. Regardless of any conspiracies people may want to try and push which is almost always for personal gain and/or getting lower grades than they wanted, experience will show you they are nothing more than just people talking.

Also 20% isn't the standard ASE monster box rate. The rate is generally consistent to within a plus or minus range of a percentage given the larger submission number going in and the fairly consistent quality making those now a days, but it does vary from year to year. Some years it is much higher and other times occasionally a product comes out that falls way short of expectations like the 2012 ASE set where the 70 rate was lower then normal. There is nothing random about how they assign 70s. Sure there will be some mistakes as nothing in this world is perfect, but he likely needs to freshen his grading skills and/or has a beef to pick with them. You can read plenty of threads on the CU forum by the major dealers about 70 rates who have much more experience and do much larger volume then him and their accounts directly contradict such conspiracies.


Quote:
They also told me of having coins they would crack and resubmit until it got the grade they knew it could - the profit margins were worth it.


A true slider coin can have that happen. However the crack out game is much much harder than the internet or people make it sound. Anyone who believes it to be that easy can try for themselves if they don't believe me. The majority of coins have a plus or minus grade range of 1. The exceptions being where the next grade up is a significant value jump and people would honestly be surprised how consistent they are around those jumps. I've seen a plus graded CAC stickered coin come back with the exact same grade many multiples of times that was tried numerous times because of the mid 4 figure value jump in the next grade. The population reports wouldn't be so inflated below the big jumps if it was simply as easy as resubmitting.

But really that plus or minus of 1 is really just how the subjective aspects of a grade can change. If I gave anyone a 100 coins to grade, then had you grade 1000 more coins in between and mixed the same 100 in with another 1000 over the coming months they wouldn't grade the 100 exactly the same every-time. There's no conspiracy when a grade shifts a little, that's just the nature of grading and the standards themselves have evolved over the years as our knowledge base of the series has grown with the plethora of research that has been done in the last couple decades.
Edited by basebal21
08/20/2017 03:37 am
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Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 08/20/2017  09:06 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
If you really want to make money in this field, don't learn how to grade, but learn how ICCS grades.......that is the secret.
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23522 Posts
 Posted 08/20/2017  09:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
If you really want to make money in this field, don't learn how to grade, but learn how ICCS grades.......that is the secret.


Sssssh. Don't let the cat out of the bag.
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