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What Are The Chances....

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First Page  Showing last 15 replies.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
6326 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  2:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add eaglefoot to your friends list
I am not now, nor have I ever been, one of those collectors who "HAS" to have a certain Set COMPLETELY found from circulation.
I absolutely would like to find all I "could" that way.....but it means nothing to me that they all were or weren't found from circulation....or some bought from the coin shop. Makes no difference whatsoever to me.

I needed the '50 D, and a couple more Jeffersons for my "circulated" folder to be complete recently.....and I got those couple from CCF members !
I would do the same for ANY denomination or for any Dansco or any "folder", or whatever !
The "pride factor", for me, isn't that they were "found" completely from circulation.... but rather that it is C.O.M.P.L.E.T.E. .....and I'm the one who built it !
Bought...... sold.....traded.....found......doesn't matter to me...... however the job gets done ! ......

But I am "picky" with many other things......for instance, I probably have over TWO HUNDRED War Nickels now. But I don't have ONE SINGLE War Nickel that meets my standards enough to go into my Dansco for them. Therefore, until I "purchase" or "trade" for one of these, I'll have empty holes there.
Valued Member
United States
201 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  2:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Merc Crazy to your friends list
LastGold;

In the past three weeks or so, I've filled two fairly tough holes; a 1922-D and a 1913-S.

I'm a firm believer that it can be done, it'll just be extremely difficult, time consuming, and will require some luck... But why not try?
Pillar of the Community
United States
2541 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  3:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Gothic Florin to your friends list
I have stats on my finds, and I'm going to calculate what % I have. I live on the East coast, and the S mints are very hard to find here. I doubt I will ever find a complete set, but if I could get 90% of the way there I would be very pleased!
Pillar of the Community
United States
3592 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  3:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Maineman750 to your friends list
40+ years and no 09-s,09-s vdb, 14-d,31-s..still trying though
Valued Member
United States
364 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  5:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Nobis1 to your friends list
Wow Maineman - 40 years and never found any of those? I guess I will be buying a few pennies then.

Interestingly, my daughter's first box (which is not done yet), has coughed up a 1911P, 1913S and a 1916S among other wheats. I am dying to open the remaining 10-15 rolls (she has been slow to open b/c of school/other activities). But, I am not going to. She has really enjoyed finding the old wheats.
Pillar of the Community
United States
1431 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  6:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Kefiroth to your friends list
Doesn't count as a key date technically, but I found a proof 1911 cent in a roll.
Valued Member
United States
380 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  11:50 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Newbismatic to your friends list
Finding the wheats is always a fun activity. I've gone through 3 boxes and I've found 36 wheats... about that pace for you guys?
Pillar of the Community
United States
7194 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  11:53 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add muddler to your friends list
I was fortunate enough to grow up in an age where you could find the coins to fill your holes out of curculation. But when the need to fill a few holes for completion was too great I started buying coins. Now I focus on quality coins with great eye apeal and the holes in my walker set will stay as I won't accept a good to fine 21 or 1919d to just fill the hole. So many coins, so little $ and time.
Pillar of the Community
United States
744 Posts
 Posted 03/17/2011  01:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Wild Bill to your friends list
I found a 1970-S small date last night, 1909 VDB and 1910-S last year

so what I'm saying is that I believe you really only have a chance finding semi-keys

coppercoins posted that the 1970-S small date is like 1 in 1.2 million to find now

i am addicted to "one more box"
Valued Member
United States
149 Posts
 Posted 03/17/2011  1:38 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ca Dreamin to your friends list
I too am a long time collector-growing up in the upper midwest I went through countless bank rolls in the entire decade of the 1960's, and the best I ever found was an 11-s. in VG.
Valued Member
United States
161 Posts
 Posted 03/18/2011  01:23 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add lizzyjo to your friends list
I have a very worn 191?-D cent that I found in a box. Half of the time I can see the 4.

I really should get some up-close pictures of it and post it on here to get everyone's opinion of what it really is.
Pillar of the Community
United States
958 Posts
 Posted 03/18/2011  02:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coppertop5150 to your friends list
finding a 09-s VDB in circulation would be 1 in trillions-gazillions and so on .

If you count up all the cents minted from 09-11 then divide it by the number of 09-s vdb's produced
you will see its pretty much impossible.

Yet it could still happen and did.
Pillar of the Community
United States
7629 Posts
 Posted 03/18/2011  1:57 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coppercoins to your friends list
If there is a 1909S VDB in circulation - which I doubt - your chances would be about 1 in 140,000,000,000 of finding it...because that's approximately the number of cents in circulation.

Chances of winning the multi-state power ball jackpot are about 1 in 195,000,000.

Realistically...unless a collection is spent and you happen to be in the right place at the right time, you have NO chance of finding one in circulation.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts
 Posted 03/18/2011  9:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list
As to finding any rare of almost rare coins in circulation, the chances are excellant today. Not sure where your at but by me nome invasions, home robberies, coin store robberies, etc are excessively common. And with todays economy, more so than ever. Also, the poor economy and people out of work tends to have people spending coins that have been in jars, cans, boxes for a long time. Some people have had coin collections from when they were kids and are now spending those coins thinking they are not worth anything, just a kids hobby.
In the Chicago area there is an estimated 30,000 cars stolen per year. Murders have dropped to the 500 area though. And those are the ones reported since it is well known many crimes are sort of pushed aside.
The summation of this is most criminals just dump coins stolen in banks or coin counting machines.
Pillar of the Community
United States
2589 Posts
 Posted 03/18/2011  9:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add XavierOfGreen to your friends list
It theoretically possible to find even key date Indian Head cents in a box, but as copper coins said these rare finds would only come from dumped collections. Though it is immensly fun finding a box that contains a dumped collection (ive found an entire set of Franklins in a box once among other things.)
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