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$20 St Gaudens -- Investment Potential

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ArbInv's Avatar
United States
10 Posts
 Posted 05/13/2016  6:43 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add ArbInv to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Hi All

Does anyone have a view on the longer term investment potential of $20 Saint Gaudens versus just plain old modern Eagles or Kruger? Also pointing me to any online resources on this issue would be welcomed.

Thanks

Arb

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 Posted 05/13/2016  7:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add LibertyEagle20 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
From what I've seen the common date Gaudens coins are pretty closely priced to modern bullion. If I had the money I would much prefer a historic coin like the Saint over a modern. Probably want to buy certified though to ensure its authentic and to help ensure resale value. I'll be curious to see what some experienced members have to say. BTW welcome!
Edited by LibertyEagle20
05/13/2016 7:36 pm
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ArbInv's Avatar
United States
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 Posted 05/13/2016  7:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ArbInv to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks for the quick reply and I appreciate the welcome. In terms of the Gaudens I am looking purely at investment returns and want to therefore absolutely minimize any premium but I wondered if these might have a better potential for return.

Thanks!
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davec13's Avatar
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757 Posts
 Posted 05/13/2016  8:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add davec13 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Investing and coin collecting do not really go hand in hand. From my personal experience most gold coins can be had at a small premium over spot. If gold falls you will have a little buffer on the loss, but you could still easily lose money.

If it was my money and I was looking to "invest", I would purchase graded key date coins from any series. As an example I passed on a 1916D Mercury dime last year at a coin show for $550. This coin has been selling recently on ebay in the $950 range. Precious metals will always swing with the market price, but key dates are always a key date.

If your heart is set on gold, shoot for pieces that are uncommon. You can get a Gaudens at the click of the mouse, but can you find this one?
$20-St-Gaudens----Investment-Potential
Edited by davec13
05/13/2016 8:46 pm
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21786 Posts
 Posted 05/13/2016  9:17 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Although I have a $20 St Gaudens, I bought it just because I liked it.
In terms of investment potential, there is about a 20% numismatic premium on these, above the spot bullion price.

It is up to you to decide if you wish to invest in bullion, but from my experience, I have always regarded investing in bullion as protective hedge against inflation.
With current inflation rates in most G20 countries around the World at historic lows, it is reasonably easy to compare current gold pricing against a 'basket' of G20 inflation rates.

I do have a few mostly bullion numismatic coins, but my main interest is in buying strictly numismatic items, well. This is where I have made most of my 'paper' gains, but I have never resold any of my numismatic items. It looks like my kids are going to realise out of my estate, when they put my collection for public auction.
Edited by sel_69l
05/13/2016 9:18 pm
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paralyse's Avatar
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 Posted 05/13/2016  11:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add paralyse to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
High end key date 19th century and earlier type coins, along with classic (pre-1850s) gold and Charlotte/Dahlonega gold, are the way to go for investment. I personally think $3 coins & $4 Stella coins are "good as gold" when it comes to long-term performance, pardon the pun, especially in AU/MS TPG slabs w/CAC approval.

Saints are beautiful -- everyone should own at least one. But if you had invested, say, $50,000 in Saints 10 years ago, your same $50,000 would have most likely outperformed if you had instead bought MS Barber halves, pre-1935 MS FSB Mercury dimes (in 66 and up), MS pre-1921 Walking Liberty halves, 1877 Indian Head cents, Matte Proof Lincolns, FH SLQ's in MS65+...so on, so forth.

If I had the kind of money to play with that I wish I had, I'd be buying every Charlotte & Dahlonega slabbed gold (non-details) coin I could get my hands on, along with pretty much any pre-1850s gold issues, etc. Early Dollars are hot again too as the upcoming Pogue sale of the 1804 Sultan coin reignites interest in the type.
Member ANA - EAC - TNA - SSDC - CCT #890

"Most of the things worth doing in the world had been declared impossible before they were done." -- Louis D. Brandeis
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United States
1450 Posts
 Posted 05/14/2016  4:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add terry8835 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree that if you are thinking of coins as an investment get the scarce ones in MS condition gold or silver. There are Saints out there I believe are undervalued because they are rare and they do not sell for huge premium. Some are so rare because of melt down in 1930's. Most after about 1920 or so that were not circulated much were melted down so the scarcity is man-made. Just about any rare coin in MS65 condition is probably going to be a good long term investment, but then so is the stock market and you get dividends.
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ArbInv's Avatar
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 Posted 05/14/2016  4:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ArbInv to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Hi all

I am finding the suggestions quite intriguing. Thank you all!! So here is the thing. I came to this looking purely as something where I could stash away say a 1oz gold coin every few months and just do that as a diversification play. I thought to get going I would put in say $6k. Now I am thinking maybe I would be better off to mix it up a bit and not just buy for bullion value. To be honest I have always been put off by the coin sellers who I have always felt have tried to steer me to merchandise they can make a bigger premium on. This is a real out off and is why I thought keep it simple with krugerrands. But if I were to put together a little portfolio of coins say for $5 or $6k what do people think would be an idea put away for 15-20 year type investment.
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Coinfrog's Avatar
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 Posted 05/14/2016  5:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coinfrog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The debate is endless, of course. But if you really are just going to "put away" these coins, then I suggest you do your homework and buy scarce TPG straight-graded coins from before 1850 - not bullion items, Saints or otherwise.

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 Posted 05/14/2016  5:46 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add terry8835 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
When you say "Put Away" I hope you mean 20-30 years. Even scarce TPG coins before 1850 will not appreciate much in five years because when you sell them you will pay some kind of commission to someone. I do believe that if you have $1,000,000 socked away for retirement then having $50,000 in precious metals is not a bad idea. One thing I do believe in with precious metals is to sell at the top and buy using dollar cost averaging just like you buy stocks I hope. The true bull markets come so infrequently that when people are crowing about the gold or silver market doubling that is the time to sell. I agree with that frogman about buying scarce coins. However, I think some 20th century coins are worth a look such as 1916 LSQ, 1916-D Mercury dime and 1908-S Saints. The Frog says the debate is endless and it is. Also your age has something to do with it. If you are 25 years old you can buy coins that Coinfrog is talking about and hold them for 40 years. I would bet you will make a profit on them in that case.
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Coinfrog's Avatar
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 Posted 05/14/2016  6:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coinfrog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well said, and indeed age has a lot to do with it. Buying commodity items like bullion gold and putting them away is not an investment strategy, but rather (if I may say) a random speculation no better than a throw of the dice. A true investment plan incorporates asset diversification (stocks, bonds, cash, commodities, perhaps rare coins...and many other options), along with risk management, periodic rebalancing, and ongoing scrutiny. If you really know your stuff, you can probably go your own way and ignore the rules. But no intelligent investor sits on bullion without a wary eye and periodic trading as fortunes shift.



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ArbInv's Avatar
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10 Posts
 Posted 05/14/2016  6:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ArbInv to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have been managing my own assets for since I was 20 (30 years ago). I have a well diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds and commodity funds including Gold and Silver ETF funds. I want to put a small amount into physical with a timeline of likely 15-20 years. If I expire before that someone else gets to rummage through and find a stock of coins or whatever. My plan is in essence to do the dollar cost averaging with likely 4 - 6 purchases a year. I like the combo of bullion with rarity as that way there is alway an underlying value. I also like the idea of a portfolio of coins and likely I will also add some stamps at some point. As I said my initial purchase will likely be $5k-$6k so in essence I will be in up to $20k a year. I want to build up the type of bomb proof collection that overides any vagaries in the market.

Thanks for all the suggestions

Arb
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fenton's Avatar
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4989 Posts
 Posted 05/15/2016  8:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add fenton to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I also invest in Silver and Gold ETF funds. The ticker symbols are SLV and GLD. Both hold the physical asset in a vault so risk is fairly minimal. Great thing is I don't have to pay 2-5% markup to buy or take a 2-5% markdown to sell. Also, easy to invest your IRA money without having to move it to some type of special account. I'm presently doing about 60% stock, 30% bonds, and 10% "other" which is primarily the metal ETF's but can also include investments like REIT's which can perform well.
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fenton's Avatar
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4989 Posts
 Posted 05/15/2016  8:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add fenton to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
That said, I really wish I could invest part of my IRA In investment grade coins. The IRS should revisit the rules on that - not fair when you max out your 401k for years but can't buy the investments you really want.
Edited by fenton
05/15/2016 8:01 pm
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USSID18's Avatar
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 Posted 12/09/2017  10:33 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add USSID18 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I've never used the words "coins" (any coins) and "investing" in the same sentence. Unless you're doing the Bitcoin thing today.

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 Posted 12/09/2017  6:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add terry8835 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
One thing to think of is that if you buy scarce coins in MS condition you will be plunking down 10K plus at auctions like Heritage. Investors and high class collectors want high class coins. Just look at what some of these jokers spend on collectable cars at Mecum Auctions. I have heard it said that scarce or even rare coins are commodities and have little in common with "coins".
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