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Grade Of This Morgan?

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CowboyB's Avatar
United States
110 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  05:46 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add CowboyB to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
How would you grade this raw Morgan. I am thinking it is at least one grade high which would be alot of money?
http://www.ebay.com/itm/1893-S-XF-M...em519c9ef22e
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shadowtrooper78's Avatar
United States
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 Posted 01/11/2012  09:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add shadowtrooper78 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm thinking VF 25 or so maybe 30......plus appears to have been cleaned....hard to tell from the photo's. Last coin show I went to one of the dealers had a 93-s in a PCGS holder VF-35 and looked much better than this one.....he wanted 4k for it. Had I had the money that would have been a purchase.

On second thought no better than VF 25 probably VF 20.
Edited by shadowtrooper78
01/11/2012 09:22 am
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D0ubl3Eagle's Avatar
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5854 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  10:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add D0ubl3Eagle to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree with shadowtrooper, VF-20 and may be cleaned. The asking price is a bit high given that some of the certified examples have been selling for around $4300-4500.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
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23522 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  12:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
No better than VF20-25 details, and there's absolutely no way to evaluate the surfaces since the images are scans rather than photos. The asking price is $3000 higher than I'd dare on this coin, even if I had $3k to risk on what would be a chancy proposition at that price.
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Lobby's Avatar
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548 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  12:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Lobby to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Numismedia lists this coins in VF-20 at $5380. GreySheet VF bid is $4800.

Looks like the "real" price is way lower than the market price for this coin.
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shadowtrooper78's Avatar
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 Posted 01/11/2012  12:45 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add shadowtrooper78 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
What I've seen is the auction prices of this coin are much lower than what many dealers ask.....at least in my neck of the woods. I'm looking for one in fine condition problem free.....still haven't seen the right deal for me. The dealers around me tend to be much tougher on key dates than common dates. They won't budge much from retail.....which really does not make much sense to me because I know the coins have been sitting there and I know they have a pretty decent margin.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
United States
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 Posted 01/11/2012  12:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This is definitely a rarity, a coin with inherent value. However, like 1889-CC, the 1909-S/VDB Lincoln, and a few others I can think of....their perception as "rarities" has led to a great deal of market "churn" for them. People buy them to flip them, and there's a disproportionate number of each issue on the market at all times. As a result, prices tend to be suppressed simply because they're so easy to buy if you want one.
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Lobby's Avatar
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 Posted 01/11/2012  12:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Lobby to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
But if dealers are going by the GreySheets to buy coins, and actual market is lower, then the dealer can be left holding inventory that's overpriced.

Perhaps the method GreySheet uses to calc pricing is not really indicative of the true market?
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 Posted 01/11/2012  1:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1893S to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Looks to me to be on the borderline of an EF. I would say close to a $6,000 coin. Also a dealer wont end up holding on to a coin like this for a long time as he would have no trouble selling to another dealer at Grey Sheet "ask" for the appropriate/agreed upon grade.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
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 Posted 01/11/2012  1:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
What many old-time dealers have yet to realize is that the advent of the Internet has created an entirely new and separate market for coins, one which operates at a far lower margin and entices a more....price-conscious buyer. The major auction houses - Heritage, Stacks/Bowers, Teletrade - have seen their effective market multiply by orders of magnitude, and let's not even get started on ebay.

"Traditional" B&M dealers have been somewhat insulated by the large living base of collectors who are up in years and not Internet-centric. As this generation reaches its' span and passes the torch on to a younger demographic, I see the near-demise of the "physical presence" coin dealer. Those who do business at the highest end of the market, whose name and experience draws the deep-pockets collector who wishes to be physically involved in the process, will not suffer but everyone else will. The smarter B&M dealers will increasingly move their offers online, as they become unable to justify a physical presence.

Given the narrower margin, prices paid at wholesale for coins will inevitably drop. This is already happening at all levels; I just don't think the price guide publishers have quite caught up yet due to their vested interest in higher numbers, and the fact that they're mostly "old-time" people themselves.

This is not to express any judgment on my part; I'm just calling it as I see it.
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shadowtrooper78's Avatar
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 Posted 01/11/2012  2:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add shadowtrooper78 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think SuperDave hit it on the head.....I'm in the "younger" demographic and most of my purchases are at grey sheet or lower.....75% of my purchases have been online or at coin shows where someone is trying to blow out their merchandise. The only time I buy in a B&M is if I find something that a dealer has undergraded or some sort of variation that is worth a premium. Two of the B&M dealers here know me pretty well and depending on their mood they may offer me something at greysheet bid in which I typically take advantage of. I have also seen these guys buy and typically it is around 15% below greysheet.
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Lobby's Avatar
United States
548 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  2:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Lobby to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Perhaps this is a hijack better suited to another thread / subforum, but this implies a problem with the GreySheets.

Since apparently they're based on some system of reporting dealer to dealer trades. Yet, as Dave says, they have access to another market segment.

I'd love to cancel my Greysheet subscription and instead have a Web trade sheet.
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Bryan1315's Avatar
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14454 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  4:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Bryan1315 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't see a XF coin at all in those photos, I think the VF-20 would be closer to the grade of the coin. For the price he is asking to start the bidding at I would rather just hold the money until I found a certified problem free example that would have better eye appeal and more liquid even at the same grade because a problem coin will always be a problem coin and the value will always reflect that
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CowboyB's Avatar
United States
110 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  5:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CowboyB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I saw this as a VF 20 possibly cleaned which means him starting the bidding at $5900 is high.
I would not spend that much for a unslabbed coin.
Thanks everyone for your response. I was checking if I was on the right track.
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RealMetal's Avatar
United States
76 Posts
 Posted 01/11/2012  5:36 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add RealMetal to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Why would this seller re-list this coin for the same price?
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 Posted 01/11/2012  6:46 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1893S to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yeah, on second look I guess I see a VF+. Maybe a little too optimistic this AM. I still think this is about a $6000 coin, barring any problems with it of course. It's just real hard to get this coin for a "deal" being that it's considered by many to be the #1 Morgan to own.
As for prices going down on rare coins, I just don't see this happening. I think most prices now are going to be considered steals in the years to come. I would say if you can get a Semi-Key to Key date Morgan at any where near Grey Sheet price you are doing OK. I've seen well positioned dealers paying over GreySheet ask for "good specimens", without a CAC or + or * on the holder.
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