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Yahoo Says, "Buy Gold!- Gradually, Anyway"

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traevin's Avatar
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 Posted 04/10/2012  10:55 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/brea...448.html?l=1

It may just be a sign of the times or could suggest something more sinister, but whatever the reasoning, doom is making a comeback. I mean, how else can you explain the fact that there is currently not one - but two - different shows dedicated to building doomsday survival bunkers on TV? Add in a smattering of apocalyptic forecasting, the Mayan Prophecy, some Iranian nuclear threats, and a some solar flare phobia, and suddenly "Dr. Gloom, Boom & Doom" is looking rather mainstream.

Of course I am referring to the newsletter written by noted Swiss economist Marc Faber, but when compared to the end-of-the-world scenarios of his fellow doomers, Faber's outlook seems modest. After all, he's only talking about money.

Even so, when you read his predictions like a "sudden, violent wealth destruction" on the magnitude of 50%, you tend to pay attention. And just like a good doctor should, Faber has written a prescription for survival which we discuss in the attached video.

Atop the list is his belief that investors should, generally speaking, "reduce their exposure to equities" and at least wait for a better entry point.

"Where investors were overly negative last year, they are now overly optimistic about the prospects for the U.S. economy," Faber says, pointing to the ''huge bull run'' we have had since 2009. "I think the (stock) market is very overbought."

At the same time, Faber has modified his advocacy for gold a bit, in the face of a six-month, 15% slump. While he still supports gold's long term opportunity, he feels the precious metal is "still in correction phase" and that "individual investors should gradually accumulate gold" because of the outlook for continued money printing by the Fed and other central banks around the world.

Speaking of the world, Faber is also tweaking his ''bias" for the outsized growth potential of Emerging markets (EEM) which he says were "very oversold last September and since then have become overbought."

His advice to investors is ''to hold some cash, hold some precious metals, hold some equities, and hold some real estate," he says, adding that "if one asset class or the other declines substantially move money into that asset class."
Edited by traevin
04/10/2012 11:02 am
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Ed_B's Avatar
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4008 Posts
 Posted 04/10/2012  7:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
he says, adding that "if one asset class or the other declines substantially move money into that asset class."

I've heard that same advice from others but have also heard "don't try to catch a falling knife", in regard to slumping asset prices. One would think that one of those bits of advice would be wrong. OTOH, maybe it is more a matter of both are right and wrong... at times! If so, then the question becomes, "what time is it?".

I remember back in the 1950s when most people had a "storm cellar". That was usually just a basement with some supplies and a strong door that exited outside the house. That way, if part of the house collapsed from a tornado, you could still get out when it was over. That was mainstream back then because we lived in tornado country and they were not all that uncommon a threat to life and limb. We still face such dangers today and perhaps others as well but somehow if you have a well stocked storm cellar you are now a "gloom and doomer" instead of merely a cautious citizen. lol

I do agree that spending $150k or more on a steel box buried in the ground seems a bit cookie but hey, it's their money. I keep wondering just how much cheaper those bunkers would be if built of concrete and then finished like a house inside. Seems to me that a pretty nice one could be built for $50k, if not less.

As to "wealth destruction", there is a theory out there that says that wealth is virtually never destroyed, it merely changes hands. Somehow, that seems more reasonable to me than wealth disappearing in a puff of smoke. Not that it can't, under the right circumstances, I suppose, but most of the time it is just changing hands.


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