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Jpm $2 Billion Loss

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coinwatch's Avatar
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  6:34 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add coinwatch to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Silver shorts, beware. The warm-up act to bigger bad news?

WSJ|JPM $2 Billion Losses
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  7:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Wouldn't worry too much about it at this stage, but a close scrutiny HAS to be kept on their business decisions, considering America's recent banking history.

Why not to worry?
A scale comparison with the Australian banking system:

Australia has four major banks that cover about 80% of the Australian economy. JPM is many times larger than these banks. The Australian majors together normally make about $20 billion profit each year.

The American economy is about 20 times larger than the Australian economy.
That means that the loss by JPM, by the scale of the American banking system, is a relatively minor one, and provides the reason not to be too concerned at this time.
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  7:45 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
and could face an additional $1 billion in second-quarter losses due to market volatility,


Market volatility = "we keep on betting against the real world".
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macmercury's Avatar
United States
5832 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  8:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add macmercury to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Translation = "More PM coming my way".

Additional translation = Wife: "Are you nuts"?

Proxy season finally finished last week, I got time to spend!
Edited by macmercury
05/10/2012 8:37 pm
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  10:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
What I don't uderstand is why such important banking institutions such as JPM should involve themselves in high risk gambling.

It is NOT their money, it belongs to their investors. That money should be invested with due diligence, not gambled.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  10:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

I dunno, guys. Maybe I missed it. Did that article specifically mention silver investments as the source of the JPM losses?

IMHO, the way the world is going, these paper PM take-downs seem to require more and more paper silver and gold to have smaller and smaller effects. Only real effect that I can see is that big money from Asia is buying paper and then standing for delivery, so if JPM, HSBC, etc. want to sell gold and silver for cheap there are a lot of big money guys who are willing to take it off their hands. The bottom line is... are these silver and gold shorts really accomplishing anything worthwhile? It is looking less and less profitable for them all the time. At some point they will figure out that they are on a "fools' errand" and will give up all this paper manipulation. If they do, it will be VERY interesting as to what shape the market takes on then.
Pillar of the Community
United States
2168 Posts
 Posted 05/10/2012  11:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add angel2004 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Trading all the paper with no underlaying assets and taking the big commissions. The house of cards falls apart eventually. Very frightening when you look at the monster of short sales/derivatives and other hedges no one can even describe
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traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/11/2012  12:14 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Time for the banks to do what they do best: privatize profits and socialize losses. Pretty fair system, really, if you ask Goldman Sacks and JPM CEOs.
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 05/11/2012  01:01 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
JPM is claiming 4 billion profit none the less for the quarter, but never does a 2 billion dollar blow help, an the ripples from such a loss should be felt for some time....

Wonder what happen to ol JPM there? They were so busy perhaps drivin down the PM market, that they got caught with their pants down and their hand in the cookie jar at the same time I figure. Interesting quote below....

"The bank, betting on a continued economic recovery with a complex web of trades tied to the values of corporate bonds, was hit hard when prices moved against it starting last month, causing losses in many of its derivatives positions. The losses occurred while J.P. Morgan tried to scale back that trade.

The bank's strategy was "flawed, complex, poorly reviewed, poorly executed and poorly monitored,"

That all sounds like a bunch of red tape smoke an mirror BS to me, so complicated an probably based so on design so as NO HUMAN with a mind short of Stephen Hawkins could ever crack that code which is their or any big bankers true books of business....
Edited by Silverhawk74
05/11/2012 01:05 am
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 05/12/2012  09:35 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Found this interesting on this subject....

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/calls...finance.html

Here is a copy of the highest rated comment, an I think this guy is on to something, lol....

"GLASS-STEAGAL prohibited bank bets in derivities and worked for over 60 years. It's repeal in 1999 was a huge mistake and directly led to the 2008 crisis."

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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/12/2012  11:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The bank's strategy was "flawed, complex, poorly reviewed, poorly executed and poorly monitored,"

Someone should have asked at that point, "So, just who was in charge?". Like the captain of a ship, the CEO IS responsible for everything that a company does or fails to do. A Japanese banker in this position would have been getting the red rug ready.


Quote:
What I don't uderstand is why such important banking institutions such as JPM should involve themselves in high risk gambling.

Probably for the very same reasons why people go to the casinos and gamble: the lure of that BIG WIN! Not that this is how banks SHOULD operate but it does seem to be their MO these days. WFC is a notable exception to this and has largely avoided betting on derivatives.


Quote:
JPM is claiming 4 billion profit none the less for the quarter, but never does a 2 billion dollar blow help...

For sure, Hawk, but we only have Dimon's word for the magnitude of these profits and losses. What he is NOT saying might well be a lot more interesting than what he is saying.


Quote:
"GLASS-STEAGAL prohibited bank bets in derivities and worked for over 60 years. It's repeal in 1999 was a huge mistake and directly led to the 2008 crisis."

I agree with that completely. That was a classic case of unwarranted government intervention via their primary philosophy: If it ain't broke, fix it 'til it is!
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traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/13/2012  12:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
That was a classic case of unwarranted government intervention


You can bet this started as a lobbying blitz by the major players in the banking world. They found some avaricious congressmen who were more concerned with their own interests vs. those of the people they represent. And the banks knew if it blew up in their faces, it would be taken care of by We the People. They literally had nothing to lose and billions to gain. But they did lose in one crucial way. This pulled back the curtain for even the sleepiest sheep to see how Wall Street takes advantage of US citizens and how free markets are no longer free.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/14/2012  01:30 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It is unfortunate but we no longer have a free market or capitalism in the USA. Thanks to the gov and the fed manipulating and distorting the formerly free market, we now have crony capitalism. IMHO, this is but a baby step from fascism... the merger of business and government. When two titans come together, all of the little folks get stepped on.

To work well, capitalism MUST purge the market of bad ideas, dead wood, and things that just plain do not work. When this purging is done on a routine basis, some investors lose their money but the system remains healthy and vibrant. Lost money can be made again but only if the system is vibrant and healthy. The current market is FAR from either of these.

Poorly run companies fail and their assets are sold off to other companies that are better run and who will deploy those assets in a more efficient and profitable manner. Unfortunately, the gov is no longer letting poorly run big businesses fail. They keep propping them up with tax-payer money, printed money, and borrowed money. All the gov is doing is enabling incompetence. This is not a formula for success. It is a formula for failure. We saw that with the USSR. This is exactly what they did and they failed utterly. If we do the same things that they did, we can expect the same results.

Bankruptcy exists for a reason. This is the probate court of business. A failed business should be sold off and its creditors reimbursed to the extent possible. It should be a REAL bankruptcy too and not some contrived gov sponsored dog-and-pony show that only looks like bankruptcy but isn't. We really do not need any more GM sideshows ever again. Unfortunately, when they reward incompetence, they set the stage for repeat performances.
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traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/14/2012  07:33 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Three execs will be getting their golden parachute any day now over this blunder.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmor...5855483.html
Pillar of the Community
United States
2168 Posts
 Posted 05/14/2012  08:33 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add angel2004 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yes they will be so taken care of and basically rewarded instead of going to jail!
Pillar of the Community
Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/14/2012  7:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
May they (eventually) get EVERYTHING they have coming.
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