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Replies: 53 / Views: 3,833 |
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote:
Not really. This is what I meant by saying that we are in a global economy, so if the US were to base their currency on gold... it would force world currencies to adjust likewise. Why?
Because, if for example, 1 oz of gold = $1000 US, and $1000 US = $800 Euros, then $800 Euros = 1 oz of Gold. We are on an open global market where currencies can quickly be traded for another. That doesn't hold true though once money has to be backed by metal. Theres a finite supply of metal. The biggest most powerful countries will take up as much as they can. Every country will want as much as possible. MANY countries will be left with little to no gold especially if they dont produce it. Which would mean the little gold they get their hands on would then make their currency worth millions to an ounce of gold. Currencies from the start of the world wide switch would have massive swings depending on how much gold they could get. There isn't enough for everyone and some countries may be left with very little and their monies value will be directly based on how much gold they have to much money printed and nothing else Quote: There is a fallacy of thinking that a strong currency is bad for trade, this isn't true. An example is with the Swiss pegging their franc last year to the French Euro. The amount of people coming to their country to make the big bucks was a huge issue and the prices for goods sky rocketed. Since the EURO nations cannot stop free flow of workers through their countries too many people moving into Siwtzerland forced inflation up from lack of goods and places to rent or buy. It had nothing to do with their manufacturing base and the price of its products. There has been a effort to debase currencies relative ot one another for a reason, and look at who the people are that say manufacturing costs need to come down are. Corporations, media pundits, senators, legislators. Why is this view pushed so hard? Why is there Literally no discussion about strengthning currencies? Having to strong of a currency is absolutely bad for trade when youre competiting against other countries. The real fallacy is that any 2 countries situations can be compared to each other. Anything happening to the Swiss and their workforce is not relevant to here. We dont have their tax laws, were 100 times bigger and more diverse, and we dont even compete in the same industries. We literally couldnt be two different nations when it comes to size, need, and what types of products we export People are saying the cost needs to come down because it needs to come down. A lot of our manufacturing directly competes with countries that make the exact same things as us for half the cost. The swiss export high value items as their big exports, watches, medical machines, medicines, jewelry. Skilled labor things. They do less than 1/3 of the amount of exporting we do as well. The smaller you are the easier it is to find a niche and survive. The US top exports arent skilled labor jobs. Its food and things of that nature. Things that can all be done cheaper by other countries which costs us buyers and we need to have massive amounts of exports to even break even. A strong currency is good but being to strong makes your goods too expensive for other countries who can get it elsewhere cheaper.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1723 Posts |
Quote:
Having to strong of a currency is absolutely bad for trade when youre competiting against other countries.
The real fallacy is that any 2 countries situations can be compared to each other. Anything happening to the Swiss and their workforce is not relevant to here. We dont have their tax laws, were 100 times bigger and more diverse, and we dont even compete in the same industries. We literally couldnt be two different nations when it comes to size, need, and what types of products we export
People are saying the cost needs to come down because it needs to come down. A lot of our manufacturing directly competes with countries that make the exact same things as us for half the cost. What he said!  Thanks basebal...you're so much more articulate than me.... glad I have you here since we apparently view most things the same way.  The thoughts are in my head but writing them and explaining them are far more difficult. CHEERS! 
Edited by samsnate 08/26/2012 10:06 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1374 Posts |
I don't believe countries would necessarily rush to improve their gold holdings, as you illustrate. As you stated, some can't. For example, if the US dollar is backed by gold, then countries do not need to necessarily own physical gold. They can hold US dollars, which any country can purchase on the open global market at any time. In this way, the US dollar would become the common denominator against which all other currencies are exchanged.
Further, the gold-backed dollar exchange could be seen as a gold bond... reminiscent of the stabilization of hyperinflation and the rentenmark in Germany in 1923, where the currency was indexed according to gold bonds.
Being able to freely exchange currency in real-time as rates fluctuate, and the emergence of the global economy has created an economic environment where commodities are as liquid as they can get.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
3692 Posts |
Quote: My question is...if this were to come to bear....would we see the price of gold become fixed like it was pre-1970? Silver? This could have significant impact on gold investing if this gets some movement behind it. For this to happen, there would need to be "new" dollar bills of actual worth and MORE (much more) coinage in circulation, possibly in silver, to work along with the gold banknotes. And to boot, the "old" bills will be worth less, which means that you'd have to educate the American public on how much they're going to be worth afterwards. Even after that, the "new" dollar bills would be heavily counterfeited. Too many problems going on at the same time. I think that gold is safe in being away from the common market. It protects small businesses to a certain degree in that one single robbery would not put enormous amounts of dollars into the hands of criminals and wouldn't bankrupt the business. I don't understand why dollar bills aren't tracked in real time with their serial numbers or with a UPC, so that cash can be scanned upon payment. Maybe it's too much of a hassle. Wishfull thinking, but we are waaaay too far-gone for this to reoccur. Gold and silver can still represent real savings, I just wish that the market wasn't so manipulated and supressed.
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Valued Member
Canada
491 Posts |
Well if you are comparing manufacturing in large or small economies do not forget that the US had a very strong manufacturing base in the past with a very good confidence in its currency relative to others. The distinction being that real wages in the US fell after the influx of cheap labour from other countries and the exporting of technology and thus experience and jobs to foreign locales. The US was sold out by faulty economic theory supported by malthusian ideology promoted by Havard business initiates and the like.
Strong currencies can be maintained in a healthy economy with moderate growth, not boom bust cycles which are meant to perpetuate strong inflation of assets and loss of savings through inflation. Canada has had a strong move in its currency and you do not see manufacturing falling because of it but the Global economic instability and lack of confidence has affected some loss of manufacturing. It is not from having a stronger currency that manufacturing has encountered a drop off. Canadian manufacturing has only diminished in certain sectors that are vulnerable to consumer demand not industrial demand.
US manufacturing costs are mainly energy driven. IF the .gov allowed all areas of energy to becomes less regulated the manufacturing and transportation costs of the materical would allow for suffiecient wages and taxes to be garnered for the extended future. Count the number of areas held by the US that are restricted to any kind of energy development. All parks military bases, this includes the weapons range off the west coast of Florida, which by the way is MASSIVE and we all know there is oil there. The entire west coast of California is prime for Oil and gas development, and from what I understand it is the sweet crude not the sour stuff.
Now I am off topic... crud....
Either way line your ducks up and have a place to hunker down until this mess is organized. Still standing by the No Gold Standard for the USA, for that to happen Sovereignty would have to be maintained and the Free trade deals being made repudiate the essence of Sovereignty.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Thank you Sams. I was wondering if I actually did a decent job of explaining it or if I just made everyone more confused. Gotta get the writing skills back up to par, final grad school class starts this week 
Edited by basebal21 08/26/2012 10:45 pm
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: Being able to freely exchange currency in real-time as rates fluctuate, and the emergence of the global economy has created an economic environment where commodities are as liquid as they can get. If we were going to do the gold standard like that though, how would that be different than now or how the banks just swapped debt before it eventually caught up to them? To me at least the only appeal is by having the physical metals you limit the ability to just print off money. I may have misunderstood your post but sounds like that could still be done in that system Quote: Well if you are comparing manufacturing in large or small economies do not forget that the US had a very strong manufacturing base in the past with a very good confidence in its currency relative to others. Thats true, at the time though there wasnt the competition that there is today. Other countries has industrialized, namely China, that can undercut the US prices on exports. Quote: Canada has had a strong move in its currency and you do not see manufacturing falling because of it but the Global economic instability and lack of confidence has affected some loss of manufacturing. That may be true for Canada. If you are speaking only of Canada fair enough. If you are using that as an example for the US however it just does not apply. Cananda is 1/10 the population of the United States. Smaller countries can find buyers for higher priced goods because they dont need to export as much. The US has to export at least 10 fold what Canada does to keep pace and the buyers just arent there at that bulk at the prices we need which is why you have seen a sharp decline in US manufacturing exports. Labor unions havent helped with this either. In some places on construction jobs labor unions actually have rules people can only do their job assigned. If your building a structure and you need something done you have to wait for that person regardless of if you could do the job or not. Just really insane regulations that drive our costs up for no reason. Quote: US manufacturing costs are mainly energy driven. IF the .gov allowed all areas of energy to becomes less regulated the manufacturing and transportation costs of the materical would allow for suffiecient wages and taxes to be garnered for the extended future. Count the number of areas held by the US that are restricted to any kind of energy development. All parks military bases, this includes the weapons range off the west coast of Florida, which by the way is MASSIVE and we all know there is oil there. The entire west coast of California is prime for Oil and gas development, and from what I understand it is the sweet crude not the sour stuff. AMEN. Its not even funny the amount of untapped energy in the US but the exploration and drilling of it has been blocked at every turn by the current EPA and administration. Private land development is up but federal development is way down. Even the wells we have running most have to be heated now since all thats left is heavy oil. I think Alaskas production is at its lowest levels since 1940. Open up some of these untapped reverses and we could at the very least minimize some of the current problems. Blocking the pipeline with Canada was also a terrible decision. Sadly enough our leaders often are the best ones at getting in our own way
Edited by basebal21 08/26/2012 11:31 pm
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
3692 Posts |
Quote: Because, if for example, 1 oz of gold = $1000 US, and $1000 US = $800 Euros, then $800 Euros = 1 oz of Gold. We are on an open global market where currencies can quickly be traded for another. I think this is a bad idea. Here's why. Back about 150 years ago new silver mines were being discovered and there were new gold rushes everywhere in America. This meant that some states were suddenly richer than others practically overnight. The world would first need to exhaust every mine's supply of PMs before a global standard could fairly be adopted. This is why platinum is not used as currency. If, for example, silver were to be mined and adopted as currency in Mexico, many people from America would fully exploit this and turn in their hyperinflated dollars to Mexico and bring pesos back home with them. At some point the currencies will stop trading, stating that their currency is worth NOTHING compared to their own, and a hypothetical 50,000 dollars would buy 1 peso for it to be fair. And who's to stop the Fed from secretly printing money to ship to Mexico for this hypothetical? Anyways, we're all speculating here. All in good fun.
Edited by Libertad 08/26/2012 10:59 pm
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1723 Posts |
Quote: If, for example, silver were to be mined and adopted as currency in Mexico, many people from America would fully exploit this and turn in their hyperinflated dollars to Mexico and bring pesos back home with them. As some point the currencies will stop trading, Didn't this happen in Australia or something? Cant remember where I heard it where they created a coin with a denomination less than the melt value of the coin. People obviously just hoarded the coin and it never properly circulated. Basically the same thing take your strong dollar and buy the silver of a weaker currency.  But then again , hes talking about world wide gold standard and that gold being measured in US dollars.
Edited by samsnate 08/26/2012 11:11 pm
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1411 Posts |
Yes, it did happen in Australia. The 1966 50c piece had more silver in it than it's face value.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1723 Posts |
haha, wonder if I heard it from you. Hard to keep trck on which forum I get my intel from. 
Edited by samsnate 08/26/2012 11:20 pm
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1411 Posts |
You definantly didn't learn it from me as I just learned about it last night when looking at Aussie circulation silver coins melt value.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1723 Posts |
Haha, its like it was fate... you needed to learn that yesterday to confirm for me today! 
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Valued Member
Canada
491 Posts |
@Samsnate Watch this and head over to their website. http://www.youtube.com/user/TheUnit...feature=mheeI haven't seen any news in a while in regards to this project and how many inroads they are making but check out which mints across the world that they are currently affiliated with. The silence from them at the moment only indicates to me that they are in the process of negotiating and waiting for regulations to be implemented. It could be a long time before anything concrete happens but I am not going to say that this is definitely going to be implemented. It will not be a US dollar denominated currency but a stand alone currency with no single Soveriegn state affiliation.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1723 Posts |
Or they are too busy trying to stop the current system from crumbling from beneith them. I get that there is talk, and prototypes and ideas, I just think that there are so many factors to consider for the WORLD to truly make it work. Maybe it will one day, just dont think in my lifetime (Where it actually works)
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Replies: 53 / Views: 3,833 |