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1958 To 1970 Mint And Proof Sets.

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smokeriderdon's Avatar
United States
3755 Posts
 Posted 11/14/2012  8:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add smokeriderdon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The old attitude overwhelmingly demonstrated by dealers doing all the things mentioned above is why the price is still down.

The highest number of mint sets sold is 2.9 million for the 1981 set.
Highest number of sets sold for prof sets is 4.1 million for the 76 set.

So given those numbers, and the fair assumption that a minimum of half of all of these sets have been destroyed means that they should be pricing out at least 3 times the going rate. So long as all these old fart dealers that can't manage to evolve their thinking out of the 70's keep fostering this line of thinking, the price will likely stay down. But I tell you this, when that effect IS overcome, watch out. The prices will shoot through the roof like a Minuteman.
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cladking's Avatar
United States
2272 Posts
 Posted 11/15/2012  09:54 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cladking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree that a lot of the cause of the low prices is inertia. But sonce 2008 there has been another reason as well; the poor economy. The weakness in the economy causes lower prices by masking the increase in the demand. Many middle class people are hurting and these are the people who own the raw sets after buying them from the mint. Each time a house is foreclosed or another middle manager laid off there is a good chance any mint sets in the house or the possession of the individual will be sold. Demand is so poor that this relatively small increase in supply will swamp it.

If you look at the prices of the sets in the last few years you'll see there's far less pressure on the pre-73 dates. This is because such high percentages of these are gone that relatively few are coming onto the market.

I believe that when the economy picks up the mint and proof sets will be one of the very first places it will be seen. The demand might not go up much but the supply will drop a lot and not be sufficient to keep up with even the low demand.
Time don't fly, it bounds and leaps.
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