DOSMUNDOS To comment a bit further on disclosure of forgery errors and clues.
There are some facts that I will disclose - those are facts that it would be difficult or impossible for the forgers to correct without pricing themselves out of the market. Remember a fact of life - to stay in business a forger has to sell his wares for more than they cost to make and they have to sell enough of them to pay the help - themselves included. Forgers do not work to break even. If we can get them closer to that point they will stop.
So one way to drive out low tier forgers is by exposing errors like the ones that I do all the time. Coins must be the right weight and density. Coins must not be magnetic. They must be made correctly. Dies must be made correctly. The edges must be applied correctly, etc, etc..
By the time all of those errors are corrected by the forgers you will have driven 90% of forgers out of business.
But even though much of this data is well known and discussed all the time. The 1882 Zs 8 Reales Chinese piece of junk STILL SELLS. There are an average of 30 PER MONTH sold on ebay alone. So we are still working at a super low general level of understanding of forgery.
But as people get better in tune with forgery - more clues can be given as long as the new information makes it HARDER (more costly) to make a better forgery.
One of the best clues of this class is the composition of the alloy. The tests that can be done at present with XRF and SEM are able to disclose trace contaminants that prove or disprove age of the metal used in many cases.
Disclosing those facts will not aid low tier forgers at all. They can always get their own data by having one original coin scanned anyway. The problem they face is replicating the precise accidental composition in use say in 1795 in Mexico and doing it with metals refined today.
Attempting to comply with just gold as a trace contaminant would prove very difficult for even the best forgers. Their best approach would be to do it by by melting real coins to make their blanks. But there are not enough junk real coins to do that without driving costs far above spot for the raw materials. It also means forgers will use up the supply of junk coins rather quickly - then what do they do?
However, lets say for argument sake that a forger secures enough old junk real coins for a production run. How do they make the blanks? If they use the wrong type of furnace or crucible to make their alloy by rendering old coins they ABSOLUTELY will introduce certain OTHER contaminants found in modern furnace linings and crucibles that do not belong. They actually need to duplicate in all respects an 18th century refinery using only original materials (that were also refined in the correct way from native ores containing the correct natural contaminants). Recent XRF tests have revealed many post 1900 counterfeits because of furnace lining contaminants that were NOT USED until after 1940. A trace of 20 PPM of certain modern rare earth metals is enough to condemn a coin as a forgery in some instances. Twenty ppm is 0.000020.
Duplicating the alloy from modern "pure" metals has been suggested. The trouble is the metals purchased today are not pure enough (99.999980) to make an alloy from scratch. Not even the silver or gold is actually pure enough. In addition, these new raw metals likely come from different areas of the planet where different trace contaminants are present. 99.999 fine Silver is standard which leaves 200 ppm as contaminants and who knows what those are?
This gets even more critical when dealing with very minute traces of Iridium or Arsenic or Molybdenum which have to be there in some cases and not in others. But the biggest issue is likely to be the copper. The question is where (today) would you find 99.99998 fine copper - no one refines to that standard. Most PURE copper is 99.9% or even 99%. The 0.1 missing contains a myriad of junk that simply is the wrong junk for Mexican copper in 1795.
Contamination of gold, silver and platinum with superconducting rare earth elements (from metal recovered from electronic components)is another serious problem for a forger seeking perfection of alloy using modern metals.
It would cost so much to create the perfect alloy that as of this time, I believe it is IMPOSSIBLE given the cost constraints placed on forgers. A $50 XRF test would disclose the forgery for what it is. So high end coins are out. Low tier coins can not be made cheaply enough.
Forgers will be forced to take short cuts that are exposed by scientific tests but not by visual inspection.
Therefore trace metal contaminants can and should be disclosed once the ranges are completely determined.
However, this applies only to the made from scratch fakes not the re-stamped originals.
A Bank of England fake that starts with a real coin has a myriad of advantages over a made from scratch fake. The ONLY thing that makes the coin SUPER valuable is the stamp impression.
The stamp impression leaves NO trace contamination behind. It leaves NOTHING of itself behind only the minute details. So all you really have is application pressure, the stamp design itself and post re-strike wear. There are NO OTHER CLUES available.
The simple errors made in cutting a privy die should NOT be disclosed, in my opinion. They are too valuable as a tool for identification of fakes.
Some of the original privy stamps still exist. How would anyone recognize a "restrike" made from one of the original punches? Answer - Only by the application method and wear. Both of those clues tend to be subjective and are known to vary. So they are never quite definitive.
So until the forger sees and corrects his own errors, I will not be the one to publish those errors and allow him to make a perfect copy. A perfect punch applied with a perfect pressure and then slowly worn and artificially patenated would be nearly IMPOSSIBLE to diagnose as a forgery.
This leads me to my inevitable conclusion.
No one should buy a coin with a George III counter stamp on ebay or anywhere else unless they are PERSONALLY capable of confirming the Privy Stamp configuration for themselves or they have hired someone with that capability.
Educating all collectors to even be able to spot the errors in the stamp would prove much more difficult than you suspect. It is not as simple as a 1916D Mercury dime or a 1909 S VDB cent - they are both made with far larger dies which are far more complex. The privy stamp is much smaller, single sided and contains very few features.
Personally, at this point, I would recommend XRF tests for all 8R coins to eliminate counterfeits made after 1830 and TPG inspections for all counter-stamped pieces. Baring that level of expertise NO ONE IS SAFE in this market.
There are some facts that I will disclose - those are facts that it would be difficult or impossible for the forgers to correct without pricing themselves out of the market. Remember a fact of life - to stay in business a forger has to sell his wares for more than they cost to make and they have to sell enough of them to pay the help - themselves included. Forgers do not work to break even. If we can get them closer to that point they will stop.
So one way to drive out low tier forgers is by exposing errors like the ones that I do all the time. Coins must be the right weight and density. Coins must not be magnetic. They must be made correctly. Dies must be made correctly. The edges must be applied correctly, etc, etc..
By the time all of those errors are corrected by the forgers you will have driven 90% of forgers out of business.
But even though much of this data is well known and discussed all the time. The 1882 Zs 8 Reales Chinese piece of junk STILL SELLS. There are an average of 30 PER MONTH sold on ebay alone. So we are still working at a super low general level of understanding of forgery.
But as people get better in tune with forgery - more clues can be given as long as the new information makes it HARDER (more costly) to make a better forgery.
One of the best clues of this class is the composition of the alloy. The tests that can be done at present with XRF and SEM are able to disclose trace contaminants that prove or disprove age of the metal used in many cases.
Disclosing those facts will not aid low tier forgers at all. They can always get their own data by having one original coin scanned anyway. The problem they face is replicating the precise accidental composition in use say in 1795 in Mexico and doing it with metals refined today.
Attempting to comply with just gold as a trace contaminant would prove very difficult for even the best forgers. Their best approach would be to do it by by melting real coins to make their blanks. But there are not enough junk real coins to do that without driving costs far above spot for the raw materials. It also means forgers will use up the supply of junk coins rather quickly - then what do they do?
However, lets say for argument sake that a forger secures enough old junk real coins for a production run. How do they make the blanks? If they use the wrong type of furnace or crucible to make their alloy by rendering old coins they ABSOLUTELY will introduce certain OTHER contaminants found in modern furnace linings and crucibles that do not belong. They actually need to duplicate in all respects an 18th century refinery using only original materials (that were also refined in the correct way from native ores containing the correct natural contaminants). Recent XRF tests have revealed many post 1900 counterfeits because of furnace lining contaminants that were NOT USED until after 1940. A trace of 20 PPM of certain modern rare earth metals is enough to condemn a coin as a forgery in some instances. Twenty ppm is 0.000020.
Duplicating the alloy from modern "pure" metals has been suggested. The trouble is the metals purchased today are not pure enough (99.999980) to make an alloy from scratch. Not even the silver or gold is actually pure enough. In addition, these new raw metals likely come from different areas of the planet where different trace contaminants are present. 99.999 fine Silver is standard which leaves 200 ppm as contaminants and who knows what those are?
This gets even more critical when dealing with very minute traces of Iridium or Arsenic or Molybdenum which have to be there in some cases and not in others. But the biggest issue is likely to be the copper. The question is where (today) would you find 99.99998 fine copper - no one refines to that standard. Most PURE copper is 99.9% or even 99%. The 0.1 missing contains a myriad of junk that simply is the wrong junk for Mexican copper in 1795.
Contamination of gold, silver and platinum with superconducting rare earth elements (from metal recovered from electronic components)is another serious problem for a forger seeking perfection of alloy using modern metals.
It would cost so much to create the perfect alloy that as of this time, I believe it is IMPOSSIBLE given the cost constraints placed on forgers. A $50 XRF test would disclose the forgery for what it is. So high end coins are out. Low tier coins can not be made cheaply enough.
Forgers will be forced to take short cuts that are exposed by scientific tests but not by visual inspection.
Therefore trace metal contaminants can and should be disclosed once the ranges are completely determined.
However, this applies only to the made from scratch fakes not the re-stamped originals.
A Bank of England fake that starts with a real coin has a myriad of advantages over a made from scratch fake. The ONLY thing that makes the coin SUPER valuable is the stamp impression.
The stamp impression leaves NO trace contamination behind. It leaves NOTHING of itself behind only the minute details. So all you really have is application pressure, the stamp design itself and post re-strike wear. There are NO OTHER CLUES available.
The simple errors made in cutting a privy die should NOT be disclosed, in my opinion. They are too valuable as a tool for identification of fakes.
Some of the original privy stamps still exist. How would anyone recognize a "restrike" made from one of the original punches? Answer - Only by the application method and wear. Both of those clues tend to be subjective and are known to vary. So they are never quite definitive.
So until the forger sees and corrects his own errors, I will not be the one to publish those errors and allow him to make a perfect copy. A perfect punch applied with a perfect pressure and then slowly worn and artificially patenated would be nearly IMPOSSIBLE to diagnose as a forgery.
This leads me to my inevitable conclusion.
No one should buy a coin with a George III counter stamp on ebay or anywhere else unless they are PERSONALLY capable of confirming the Privy Stamp configuration for themselves or they have hired someone with that capability.
Educating all collectors to even be able to spot the errors in the stamp would prove much more difficult than you suspect. It is not as simple as a 1916D Mercury dime or a 1909 S VDB cent - they are both made with far larger dies which are far more complex. The privy stamp is much smaller, single sided and contains very few features.
Personally, at this point, I would recommend XRF tests for all 8R coins to eliminate counterfeits made after 1830 and TPG inspections for all counter-stamped pieces. Baring that level of expertise NO ONE IS SAFE in this market.



















