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CAC Opinions?

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BuffalosRock's Avatar
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 Posted 04/21/2014  4:15 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add BuffalosRock to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I mostly view CAC as negative.

Having one of those stickers on a slab causes sellers to up the cost $50 or more, IMO. Not just the costs of sending them and getting it, they act like it makes the coin vastly superior. I don't find that coins with the stickers are THAT much better than an everage coin in a non-stickered slab is - quality-wise. Plenty of non-stickered look as good or better to me!

I almost have to discount "immediately" any CAC coin on Heritage or ebay etc. Either the seller wants way more than "retail" or other bidders see that darn green bean and go crazy - which seems silly to me.

Does anyone know what % of coins submitted to them get the sticker? Is it REALLY that selective? They only charge the $10 if they get the sticker, so there is a definite monetary incentive to approve which would corrupt the integrity I would think!
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bpoc1's Avatar
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 Posted 04/21/2014  4:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bpoc1 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
BuffalosRock, this just came up in another post.
https://goccf.com/t/175740
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basebal21's Avatar
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 Posted 04/21/2014  6:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Is it REALLY that selective?


It is, especially on higher end coins. Early copper and Ikes are very selective in most grades but especially on the high end ones. For instances take Ikes, between NGC and PCGS theres less than 1000 for the whole series that have sitckered in MS 65 and up and that includes the silver ones as well.

If you took a group of coins they stickered and a group they rejected the stickered would look better to the majority of people overall. Obviously not everything gets sent to them though so there are nice unstickered coins.

Theres even coins that were rejected that look great and would sticker a grade lower. Theres nothing wrong with those coins at all. At the same time theres coins that would have to be grossly undergraded to sticker.

The coins are what brings the premium, the sticker just reflects that its a premium coin for its assigned grade. Its not as easy as just getting any coin in front of them and having a good chance it will sticker though.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
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 Posted 04/21/2014  8:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Is it REALLY that selective?


Yes. Keep in mind, CAC was formed because a bigtime dealer - John Albanese - who was involved in the founding of both PCGS and NGC, got sick and tired of seeing crud in high-grade slabs from the companies he helped build. It was hurting his business and damaging his rep as someone you could trust sight-unseen to send you coins, both fellow dealers and his regular customers. And I mean $5k-10k coins, not MS63 Morgans.

CAC is his attempt to wrest the market away from crap coins and back into a place where an MS65 is an MS65, not a 64 wearing lipstick. He's got a bunch of skin in the game, and I for one trust CAC's opinion more because of that fact.

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j-win's Avatar
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 Posted 04/21/2014  9:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add j-win to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree 100% with the OP.
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BuffalosRock's Avatar
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 Posted 04/22/2014  11:54 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BuffalosRock to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
basebal21 posted:

Quote:
It is, especially on higher end coins. Early copper and Ikes are very selective in most grades but especially on the high end ones. For instances take Ikes, between NGC and PCGS theres less than 1000 for the whole series that have sitckered in MS 65 and up and that includes the silver ones as well.

If you took a group of coins they stickered and a group they rejected the stickered would look better to the majority of people overall. Obviously not everything gets sent to them though so there are nice unstickered coins.

Theres even coins that were rejected that look great and would sticker a grade lower. Theres nothing wrong with those coins at all. At the same time theres coins that would have to be grossly undergraded to sticker.

The coins are what brings the premium, the sticker just reflects that its a premium coin for its assigned grade. Its not as easy as just getting any coin in front of them and having a good chance it will sticker though.


Without knowing how many have been sent into them and attempted, saying that only 1000 means something is just a guess, isn't it? Do they publish %'s so that you KNOW that say only 10% or 20% of those submitted actually get the bean?

Unless it is a small %, then how and why are we supposed to KNOW these coins are "premium for the assigned grade"? Several dealers send in all of their coins and it seems like they ALL GET STICKERED. That smacks of collusion and more garbage in this industry! I guess that is why I am suspicious and unimpressed. I just don't see them as that much better on average.

Seems like just another ploy to add more cost to slabbed coins. I don't have the mistrust in slabbing that some do, but gimmicks like +'s, *'s and CAC - to squeeze more $ out of folks - does irk me a bit I readily admit. Like I say, I 90% eliminate a coin when it has a bean - because it will almost always be overpriced compared to those that aren't - even when the quality of the coin is identical. I don't need CAC to tell me it is a above avg, and I don't want to pay for their opinion either!

As for the founder's desire that all coins be "sight unseen" high quality being the reason for starting the company. That seems daft to me. I won't buy coins, particularly would NEVER buy a $5K-$10K coin sight unseen just because it is in a MS65 slab or has a CAC sticker. IMO, that is completely nuts so the whole premise behind the company is a ruse/scam!
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 Posted 04/22/2014  1:46 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1893S to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree with you BufRock. I see it as another money making scam for the big boys.
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Tbone's Avatar
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 Posted 04/22/2014  2:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tbone to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
As for the founder's desire that all coins be "sight unseen" high quality being the reason for starting the company. That seems daft to me. I won't buy coins, particularly would NEVER buy a $5K-$10K coin sight unseen just because it is in a MS65 slab or has a CAC sticker. IMO, that is completely nuts so the whole premise behind the company is a ruse/scam!


Please don't take this the wrong way, but I'm going to assume you are not over the age of 50. Back in the late 80s, and early 90s this was a very common practice amongst dealers.

http://www.usrarecoininvestments.co..._trading.htm



Quote:
The fourth major development of the 1980s was the process of "sight-unseen" dealer trading. When PCGS was launched in 1986, the 32 original major dealers who were the first PCGS authorized dealers agreed to accept PCGS grading and buy PCGS coins on a "sight-unseen" basis. This was quite different from the way coins were traded up until that time. Before sight-unseen Bidding, a dealer could say he was buying at a certain price even if he really didn't want to buy any more coins. With third-party grading and sight-unseen Bidding, buy prices became much more transparent and, frankly, more real. For dealers, third-party grading did two significant things. First, volume went way up. Demand was huge, and the market was much more efficient. Sales increased by many multiples. Second, third-party grading took the wiggle room out of coin trading and margins decreased. For the coin buying public, third-party grading did two very positive things. First, problems with misrepresentation of quality basically became a thing of the past. Second, dealer buy/sell spreads decreased. For the coin buying public, third-party grading made it easier to get what they paid for and to pay a price that was much closer to dealer buy prices.

The sight-unseen buying and selling of third-party graded coins between dealers was made possible by the launch of electronic trading systems for these coins and this type of transaction. The first electronic system for third-party graded coins was the American Numismatic Information Exchange (ANIE), a company started in a partnership of the 32 original PCGS authorized dealers. ANIE was soon replaced by the Certified Coin Exchange (CCE), an offshoot of the original coin dealer national teletype system, and today, CCE remains the electronic trading system of choice for US rare coin dealers. The Coin Dealer Newsletter, as always, responded to market changes and launched a separate publication, the Certified Coin Dealer Newsletter (CCDN), or "Bluesheet" to list weekly dealer sight-unseen Bid prices for third-party graded coins.
Edited by Tbone
04/22/2014 2:54 pm
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
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 Posted 04/22/2014  3:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm not sure what part of "Albanese is risking millions of his own money and his rep as the most influential dealer of his time on CAC being what he says it is" that you guys are missing.
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basebal21's Avatar
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 Posted 04/22/2014  4:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Several dealers send in all of their coins and it seems like they ALL GET STICKERED. That smacks of collusion and more garbage in this industry!


Thats really just misinformation.

The only people that know what a dealer sent to CAC are the dealer and CAC. Theres 50 different ways for a dealer to unload a coin without it being public if they only want to only sell CAC or high end stuff.

The reality is big dealers do better on submissions to TPGs and CAC because theyre more selective. Theyve seen more coins in their career and have more experience which allows them to be more selective in what they send off and have a bigger stock to pick from. The dont get better results because theyre a dealer, they get better results from their experience.

CAC members can call and ask about why any coin didnt sticker and theyll tell them. Its all out in the open. Sometimes theres an issue you didnt see, other times its as simple as it would sticker one grade lower.

Theres no collusion and honestly suggesting it suggests that you arent familiar with JA/CAC or why he started it. CAC does also actively engage in helping people recover money when they get scammed for large amounts with coins which they should be applauded for.

To expand on what Tbone posted the purpose of CAC was not only to tighten up grades but help identify sight unseen buying which all the major dealers do. It allows them to offer things that they wouldnt be able to otherwise and increase their sales. JA did an interview about how important it is to identify high end coins for their grade which is a fantastic read. Back before they started the coins at the low end of a grade were dragging down the prices for the high end ones because a dealer didnt know which one they were going to get. What CAC has done is allowed those strong coins to flourish on their own merits instead of being held back by the low end ones or the barely make the grade ones with sight unseen buying.

Heres the interview with him which I would recommend everyone takes a couple minutes to read. http://www.caccoin.com/cac-in-the-n...urice-rosen/

I would strongly suggest looking more into John Albanese though. The number of people that have dealt with the level of quality and quantity he has is incredibly small. I would actually say no one has been more influential on the hobby in our lifetime and probably much longer than that given the three companies hes had a hand in founding.

Like Superdave mentioned everything they sticker is backed by their own money. You can sell anything right back to them with a sticker, unlike a TPG it doesn't even have to be an error you can just outright sell it. Hes not doing anyone any favors at his own expense. They have made mistakes in the past and they quietly buy it back and make it go away when they see something with their name on it they changed their mind about.


Quote:

Without knowing how many have been sent into them and attempted, saying that only 1000 means something is just a guess, isn't it?


Yes and no. The whole series including the uncir silvers has close to if not over 100k graded by pcgs and ngc combined at that grade level. Some are more likely than others to have been sent in but you can safely assume a significant percentage has been sent in at that level. The sticker can be the difference of 100 dollars or more in sale price depending on the date and mint mark. If you look at the CAC pop you can further break it down and see a lot of those 1000 stickers ended up on the easier to get D mints that had a higher quality overall.

Using the 1971 P MS 66 as a case study PCGS has 56 graded at that level and NGC is likely around the same if not more. Being a 4 figure coin this is a coin where most of them have probably been submitted with a little over 100 examples graded. A CAC on this one is a good value jump so the incentive is certainly there. Out of those 100 plus only 11 have stickered. Even if you say only half of them have been submitted thats only 1 out of 5 stickering. Thats a pretty low rate and its likely more like 1 out of 8 or 9.

The 76 P Type 1 has 477 65s and 23 66s from PCGS and again double the number to count NGC ones as well. CAC has stickered 0 in 66 and 9 in 65. Theres a good chance every MS 66 for that one has come across their grading floor at some point.

Its not that easy to get things stickered especially rare and high end things. You can find similar type numbers across a lot of series when controlling for the grade levels and price ranges that are almost assured to have been submitted at some time. Even assuming only half were submitted you still end up with a low stickering level.

They dont say when a coins been rejected because they dont want to create a bias against them. A low percentage are over graded just like a low percentage are undergraded, most are accurately graded though. Not stickering doesn't mean its over graded, just that its not a premium coin for the grade. It can be an accurately graded coin just on the low end of the scale that would sticker a grade lower since it would be very strong for the next grade down.

Its true not every coin has been there and there are premium coins that just havent been put in front of them that would sticker. However, the more expensive the coin is the less likely it is they havent reviewed it at some point even if the current owner didnt send it in.
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BuffalosRock's Avatar
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 Posted 04/23/2014  2:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BuffalosRock to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Please don't take this the wrong way, but I'm going to assume you are not over the age of 50. Back in the late 80s, and early 90s this was a very common practice amongst dealers


I am over 50 Tbone, but only became an active collector again about 4.5 years ago so I have no idea what went on in the 80's 90's 00's. I just think it crazy for anyone to deal in high price coins sight-unseen, PERIOD. There are certain gold coin dealers I stay away from because they literally sell the slab and don't care what the coin looks like one iota - they use bait-and-switch pics or "stock pics" and think that is fine business practice. I find that off-putting and it just strikes me as weird. But at least gold has the melt-value part going for it on low UNC and lower grades.

I do thank you for your info tho as it explains some of the dealers I see who still want you to buy w/o pics and think descriptions-only, or slabbed grades only, are acceptable for listing to sell ( IMO pics can be doctored/deceptive enough as it is but buying on description alone is really out there! )

Thanks for the info guys, I'm learning some from it.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
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 Posted 04/23/2014  4:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Buffalo, the "sight unseen" part is where you go to your dealer and tell him you want, say, a nice 1925 Saint in MS65. He doesn't have one, so he calls his buddy across the country (another dealer) who*does* happen to have one. Buddy ships the coin, your guy ships him $15k because like all dealers Buddy needs the cashflow.

Since you can trust the grade sight-unseen, the coin is good and you like it and buy it. That's where the sight-unseen part comes in. It's the dealer-dealer end, and it's why for all it's done at the retail level, CAC wasn't created with you and me in mind.
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 Posted 04/23/2014  11:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DVCollector to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I won't argue the CAC idea, but on an individual basis...I have seen some questionable grades w/CAC stickers, such as this PCGS AU58 (clearly scratched) :

CAC-Opinions?

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burks's Avatar
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 Posted 04/24/2014  04:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add burks to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
A seller absolutely loves CAC. A non-CAC stickered coin isn't going to lose value. It's still (supposedly) the grade PCGS/NGC assigned it. A CAC stickered coin only adds value.

A buyer hates CAC. It takes a little of the "skill" away from cherry picking the best of the best. I've seen some dogs in CAC stickered holders that could be beat easily. CAC has already (supposedly) identified that coin as being top XX% for that grade. Not only do you lose some of that cherry picking, a CAC stickered coin is now going to cost your through the nose even if it isn't better than a non-stickered coin.





I personally think it was and still is a stupid thing. To me it just keeps driving coin prices up and puts a lot of little guys out of contention and keeps new people from ever progressing. I understand why it was created (besides making money) but seriously.......I'd never buy a 72 Chevelle SS 454 sight unseen, why buy a $50k coin unseen? Why buy anything unseen except bullion?

For the guy that started it though, an amazing idea.
Edited by burks
04/24/2014 04:56 am
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 Posted 04/24/2014  08:24 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The guy who started it is losing money on every coin stickered; consider what these peoples' time is actually worth compared to the minimal cost of the sticker. What I'm left wondering most, though, is "how much have values been dragged down/failed to appreciate properly because so many dogs exist at the same grade?"

And yeah, I've seen dogs in CAC-stickered slabs as well. Just the other day I was looking at a CAC/PCGS MS67 Lincoln (a Top Pop, to boot) which I wouldn't have offered a 65. Half the reverse lettering had visible dings. I kind of wonder if they've bit off more workload than they can chew.
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 Posted 04/24/2014  2:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BuffalosRock to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
CAC wasn't created with you and me in mind.

Probably why I detest the whole idea Ssup.

I inquired about a coin and was told "it just left to get CACed" (he is one of the dealers who apparently gets them all beaned and it wasn't a "out HOPING to get one" either, then once it was back POW $50 more added to the price. No longer in the rhealm of worth haggling for even. A viable coin became NOT! Same coin, different collectability. STUPID IMO

burks is spot on, I wouldn't buy a car sight-unseen - so why would I buy a $50K coin that way? Idiotic in concept and execution.


Quote:
this PCGS AU58 (clearly scratched)

WOWSER DVCollector. That graded a 58? I don't know if I'd give it a 50 even. Lots of wear on the feathers, headdress, only 1 full diamond showing and just a hint of 2 others (PCGS photograde shows at least MOST of all 4 diamonds on ALL AU grades BTW) and considerable wear all over. My grade would be a 45 on it TOPS.

But the point is that CAC isn't some magic "sight unseen" phenomenon, IMO they are fallable and the whole idea is daft!
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