I've been wondering quite a bit about some of the GreySheet prices for US classic coins.
Many of them just doesn't seem to be anywhere near the market prices, as I could see on my LCS and in
ebay.
Sure, a single transaction at a time doesn't necessarily reflect market prices (let alone dealer prices), but here's something which is hard to settle:
APMEX is selling "Good or better"
Barber halves for less than 10$ each (see
http://www.apmex.com/product/26450/...d-or-better).
While I don't have the latest CDN newsletter, their suggested BID prices for G
Barber halves (no matter which year) didn't go below 14$ in recent years (and have been higher for a while).
It is obvious then that if a dealer is interested in buying G graded Barbers, he might as well order from
APMEX rather than paying BID price to another dealer.
There are a few possible explanations for this issue.
1. APMEX is over-grading coins. I didn't get to purchase such roll from
APMEX, but their statement is
"This $10 20-coin roll of Barber Half-Dollars has dates ranging from 1892-1915 and will grade at least Good or Better. All coins have full rims both obverse and reverse. "
Which sounds fair and the reviews for the item suggest that they are willing to replace any coin which the buyer founds overgraded.
2. There is a premium for the option to select the year / buy a single coin rather than a roll. This could be reasonable if we were not talking about dealers which by definition are buying/selling more than a single coin at a time, or if the difference between the prices wasn't 50%.
3. APMEX are selling the coin for less than what they are worth. In a (semi-efficient) financial market, such conditions wouldn't last (this is arbitrage, a dealer would buy it from
APMEX and sell it for a significant profit), but it seems that the offer is there for a while for similar prices.
4. The CDN prices are outdated Perhaps the most convincing explanation.
APMEX (unlike the CDN) are actually selling at the offered prices which gives legitimacy to the claim that their prices better reflect the actual market prices.
What is your take on the (huge) price difference?