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Colonial Acres Auction

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doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 05/24/2015  5:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
With the starting bids so high, I think they should change the title of 'auction' to a 'sale'.

That would reflect the true nature of this business venture.
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SPP-Ottawa's Avatar
Canada
10458 Posts
 Posted 05/24/2015  9:33 pm  Show Profile   Check SPP-Ottawa's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add SPP-Ottawa to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
A _lot_ of the Canadian decimal coins opened at 50% Trends. Since when did everyone think that starting bids at 50% of Trends, is too high? I bought nothing from this sale, only because I did not need/want anything. Even with hammer, taxes and shipping, try getting the same kind of deal at a coin show for a piece you really want...
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doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  08:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Prior to the financial crisis of 2008, ICCS ms65 Canadian coins (such as KGVI quarters, QEII silver dollars) were fetching 100% to 130% on ebay.

Now, they are barely realizing 50% on ebay.

Half of trends is the current reality of what a coin is worth in today's depressed Canadian market.

Coin dealers are still trying to sell us (the collector base) the story that 'everything is fine and sales are great'.

Realize this.....the Canadian coin collector has been financially burned twice in the last 7 seven.

Once in 2008 when the market imploded.

Then again in 2011 when the precious metal market imploded.

Keeping the price of trends at the 'old' levels is fine with me. But dealers should drop their old selling price of 80% to 90% of trends to perhaps 65% to 75% of trends and then maybe they would be making a few more sales.(and I'm being generous to the dealers stating 65% to 75%, as it should be even lower than this).
Edited by doubleeagle59
05/25/2015 08:55 am
Valued Member
Canada
495 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  08:28 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add macdon to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Agree with double eagle on the true view of what is happening in the Canadian market arena. To date I don't see any great "kickstart" that the Landon sale was supposed to spin off. It takes money to buy money and IMO that is south of the border not here. As for Colonial sale and other Cand auctions as of late start bids too high..
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doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
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 Posted 05/25/2015  08:54 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The 'kickstart' needed will be precious metals getting back to the 2010/2011 highs of $1900 gold and $40 silver.(and who knows when this will happen).



Edited by doubleeagle59
05/25/2015 08:56 am
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JeyRey2000's Avatar
Canada
743 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  12:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JeyRey2000 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Hopefully the next Charlton will relfect the downward trend in values. Usually the 60-70% trend one year would dictate the prices set forth in a coin guide book. If everyone is paying 20 bucks for 1939 Canada Cent MS65 then this should be reflected in the guides and not that people are paying 60% of trend and leave the value at 35 bucks!
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Gilles Pavot-Drapeau's Avatar
50 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  12:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Gilles Pavot-Drapeau to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Re SPP - [quote]" Since when did everyone think that starting bids at 50% of Trends, is too high? "[/quote]

With all due respect SPP - and you are a guy on here I have always held with the highest regard - this is one time you've stated something of which you absolutely know the opposite to be true.

Two times the eagle guy has sayed it as it is - it's a fact that none of us want to hear - but it is the truth of the situation.

With some exceptions, mostly when coin is extremely rare date, error, or exceptional grade - whether raw or ICCS certified, not much is selling for more than 50% of "Trends" these days.

Gilles

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Pacificoin's Avatar
Canada
5394 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  12:40 pm  Show Profile   Check Pacificoin's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add Pacificoin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The better Canadian coin market simply is NOT in Canada. All the whining and crying over the so called state of the market is not going to change anything. You cannot simply use the statement that stuff is overpriced ,or should be selling for a percentage of trends or catalogue. Blanket opinions like that are never factual.
The reality is , Canadians for the most part DO NOT step up to the plate for expensive coins. Indeed the AVERAGE coin collector in Canada is one of the following. First simply buys stuff from RCM , second is a change or roll hunter, third spends anywhere from ten to fifty bucks a month and fourth the rare bird who actually has spent MORE than a hundred dollars on a single classic numismatic coin.
I have been in the business end of Canadian numismatics for well over 40 years and have sold many heavy hitter Canadian coins and condition rarities as well. My books, inventory records and sales reports all show the same thing. There is a Canadian coin market and it shows me a darn good return. Sad part of all that, the real market for Canadian coins of better Quality happens to be called the United States .
The poor state of the Canadian coin market is greatly overstated in my professional opinion.
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doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  2:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Prior to 2008, there was a very large Canadian collector base chasing after ICCS ms65 grades.

As I mentioned earlier, there was it seemed 'a race' to acquire ms65 KGV and QEII ms65 coins (1911 to about 1959).

Coins of this grade were so hot, they didn't last more than an hour at most coin shows and as I said earlier, once placed on ebay, you were sure to realize at least 100%.

These are the collectors that as of today, have totally disappeared in Canada.

The 'chase' for these coins is over and only a few, will pay 50% of a trends ms65 price when they are on ebay.

I use to sell many of my ICCS duplicates to a great many dealers at 60% of trends (because they were selling them quickly at 80% of trends).

Now, when I approach dealers, most of them do not even want them at any price (because they do not want more stock, just sitting forebver in their showcases) and the ones that do want to buy them are somewhere between 35% to 50% of trends.

SO...I figure if dealers are dropping their 'buy' price by 25% to 10%, then they better get wise and drop their selling price too if they expect to generate any sales.
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867 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  2:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tripoli to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Demographics are against the trends of rising prices in CDN coins...fewer collectors, less demand, weaker prices...it's that simple. You go to a coin show, where are the young collectors?
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doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  2:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Demographics are against the trends of rising prices in CDN coins...fewer collectors, less demand, weaker prices...it's that simple. You go to a coin show, where are the young collectors?


I agree, but I could counter your argument by saying the demographics haven't changed much since the coin boom years of 2003 to 2008 (not many kids around then either), only the market conditions have.
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Pacificoin's Avatar
Canada
5394 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  2:31 pm  Show Profile   Check Pacificoin's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add Pacificoin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"Where are the young collectors ? ". that is a good question and pretty hard to analyze. My bet is that they are for sure out there based on a couple of things. One the bunch who are on this forum and two those that sit at home in front of their computer or IPad and buy on the NET. Young people today interact in a far different manner than those of us who are veterans or old codgers ,such as myself. For the most part they avoid coin shops, coin clubs, and coin shows. But boy can they shop the net.
The hobby that we all know and love that was once the hobby of Kings ,that became the King of hobbies is now the hobby of the anonymous .
I for one see a great future in our hobby and prefer to ignore all the nay Sayers and the doom and gloom. With the growth of the Internet and the huge increase in online shopping, I see a great future for numismatics. it really comes down to adapt, embrace change or die in any business.
Anyone who has been a coin dealer or currently is one realizes that a coin that was an expensive item ,would sit in a shop for months ,maybe years in the pre Internet era. Today selling that item is far easier . All it takes is some key strokes with a few decent pictures and you have a worldwide audience.
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5589 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  3:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add okiecoiner to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The Registry sets have impacted the MS-64 and above market quite a bit, as well as the thought that all coins need to be TPG'd. There are still many many collectors who like raw, high grade coins that don't get caught salivating an advertised "number" that may change 1 or 2 with crossgrading and you lose 50% of what Trends or the books say that they are "worth".
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skip79's Avatar
Canada
403 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  5:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add skip79 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Good discussion, and I tend to agree with Pacific on his points. But to redirect back to the original topic for a moment: I did purchase a few lots at the CA auction to fill some holes in my collection at 50-60% of trend, and I'm happy with my purchases. I agree, the reserves were quite high on a lot of other items and I did avoid bidding on many items as a result. Although it is the consignor, and not the auctioneer, who dictates the reserve pricing; I think the auctioneer could have done a better job of convincing those overzealous consignors to lower their standards/expectations to make those items more attractive to bidders. All that being said, it was their first auction ever, and nobody is going to come out of the gate perfect on their first try.
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doubleeagle59's Avatar
Canada
2495 Posts
 Posted 05/25/2015  6:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add doubleeagle59 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I would like to know the percentage of auctioned items that are owned by Colonial.

My guess is it's quite high.
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