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Replies: 50 / Views: 7,961 |
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Valued Member
Canada
403 Posts |
There's no doubt in my mind that they had their own inventory in the mix, just as other coin auctioneers have also done. Nothing wrong with that. But, based on the auctioneer's seemingly routine, yet subtle negative reaction to various lots not being sold, it was an indicator to me which lots they perhaps had greater interest in, which can say a lot. Of course, I'm merely hypothesizing here...
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1505 Posts |
This has been an interesting discussion so far. If I am understanding correctly, it sounds like there are two distinct primary markets for Canadian Coins, Canada at ~50% of trends and the United States at a higher level. Pacific has found a good niche market and is realizing good prices, though I would assume an established business and client base is very helpful, while in Canada sellers are either not getting the same volume, due to higher prices or selling for lower to make up the volume. Which I guess is the trade-off you have to make or find other markets to sell your products.
It would be interesting to hear more from some more of the long time dealers on how long inventory sits on shelf and what is the reasonable expectation. It is easy to sell a high value coin for a low price really fast, but selling a high value coin for a high % of trends takes time, as you need the Type 4 collector (using Pacific's classification). Not everyone is able or willing to make that kind of investment. And once you sell a coin to someone, they don't consume or need another next month, which makes the coin market really interesting for pricing.
As my collection moves from accumulating mass to refinement and filling the holes with higher grade coins, I would be curious on some of these time frames, as I have cleared out most of the low grade surplus and will now be looking to upgrade and sell some of the higher value stuff that I want to upgrade. Ideally I would like the collection to self finance, but I think, I would want to focus on higher grade coins, as it is too much work to sell high volumes of lower grade and receive a decent return.
I personally thought the CA auction was priced too high (and using unsold seems to be a good indicator of that), but it could have been due to low attendance or not reaching the right audience. From my observations and purchases, trends is set way too high and is not reflective of the average current market price, which is fine, as long as you know this going in. Either that or I am getting really good deals on what I am buying, only wish I could turn around and sell for trends price. Trends reminds me of the stores that show "suggested retail" and then offer at X% off that price, not as a sale, but as a permanent markdown.
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Moderator
 Canada
10458 Posts |
The market is simple - good quality coins, with strong eye appeal, fetch good prices. I often sell ICCS graded coins on ebay, to a number of repeat customers, who usually offer 75% or better of Trends value, because they know they are getting a nice piece. Same goes for auctions - eye appeal can drive prices up well above Trends in some cases, especially with bronze tokens and 1-cent coins.
"Discovery follows discovery, each both raising and answering questions, each ending a long search, and each providing the new instruments for a new search." -- J. Robert OppenheimerContent of this post is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses...0/deed.en_USMy eBay store
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Valued Member
50 Posts |
Re SPP
Quote:" The market is simple - good quality coins, with strong eye appeal, fetch good prices. I often sell ICCS graded coins on ebay, to a number of repeat customers, who usually offer 75% or better of Trends value. "[/size=2] [size=3]It would be so nice if it really was that simple. Yes "good quality coins" (let's take that to mean rarer dates, varieties, and exceptional grades) that have strong eye appeal do still bring a reasonable price (75% or better of Trends). However, that doesn't change the ultimate REALITY that current market value for anything not rare or high grade is 50% or less than Trends value. No dealer wants to admit this, and even most collectors unless they're some of the few that are buying, wish to acknowledge this either. Value of coins has ALWAYS been about supply and demand, and rarity / quality - there's currently a glut of supply out there readily obtained and low demand in comparison - result is the value of most coins has dropped rather dramatically. As more and more of us oldtimers start to keel over and our lifetime collections hit ebay this will only exacerbate the matter further - and as well young people are not that interested in collecting shiny little pieces of metal anymore like we did when we were kids. So, we can continue to stick our heads in the sand and pretend we can't see the writing on the wall - or be accepting of the fact that what once was is no more - let's all have a big group hug for our coming losses  Gilles
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Pillar of the Community
 Canada
5395 Posts |
There is a lot of junk out there and a lot of other middling stuff, but Roger is absolutely right. Good quality coins or rarities will always find a home. I for one have NEVER done better than the last couple of years. We have sold numerous pieces at excellent prices and the last time I looked we are still living very well on the coin market. I for one am NOT interested in the wailing and crying over how bad the coin market is or is becoming. Staying positive makes for a successful coin business. If a few of the posters on here feel the market is that awful buy some excellent eye appeal rarities at fifty per cent or less . Guaranteed you will not buy much.
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Valued Member
50 Posts |
***Original post edited by staff.***
Differences of opinions are allowed here. Calling names and general insults (sarcastic, or otherwise) are not. Consider this as your warning, the next infraction will earn you a vacation.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1051 Posts |
Several of the sales went very well. The 1965 LB nickel (EF-40) went for $2478, an EF 1973 LB 25c went for $212.40, a 1969 1c PL-67 UHC went for $354. It really just depended if there was the right buyer looking for something. I played the hypergrade game for a while, but got out of it as many others also seemed to. There is still a lot of modern coin tucked away in rolls, and a 1960-something "finest known" will likely not stay that way. I bought one coin at the sale, the others I was watching just went for more than I was willing to pay.
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Moderator
 Canada
10458 Posts |
Quote: However, that doesn't change the ultimate REALITY that current market value for anything not rare or high grade is 50% or less than Trends value. Of course not. I was specifically referring to coins of superb eye-appeal and grade. I don't collect stuff that is common and lower grade... as a coin dealer I heavily discount it - simply to get rid of it. I don't see that as a problem - I see that is how the collecting market has evolved over time. It is a buyers market out there now, and with auctions all over North America now available at your fingertips, collectors are becoming better and better at selecting coins that are "not rare or high grade". In terms of my own collection, I am patient with my money, and I wait for the coin I want to appear on the market. Plus, I am young, and have lots of time on my side...
"Discovery follows discovery, each both raising and answering questions, each ending a long search, and each providing the new instruments for a new search." -- J. Robert OppenheimerContent of this post is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses...0/deed.en_USMy eBay store
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Valued Member
Canada
403 Posts |
Just to add to the original scope of this post: I can confirm there was an (oblivious) shill bidder bidding in person at the CA auction last week. The bidder had voluntarily told me he had consigned a "large" number of items for the sale, and admittedly bid on some of his own material, in addition to new material. The shill bidder freely admitted his actions to me at the store, and went on to explain that he purposefully did it to try and drive up the price and increase his return; which he shockingly seemed to think was acceptable practice! What I don't understand is how CA could've allowed the bids from a bidder who was also the consignor? I don't think they closed their internal loop holes for such a thing to occur, especially at a live auction (that had approximately 6 attendees).
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
2495 Posts |
skip79....there's no such thing as a 'true' auction in the coin business. Even if you're aware of this practice, you then have to deal with huge competition for a coin, 50% trends start price, buyer's fee and then HST!! Why would anyone even consider wasting their time? I purchase so much better at coin shows, coin dealers and ebay....much, much better.
Edited by doubleeagle59 05/29/2015 11:10 am
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
3049 Posts |
skip.. in CA's defense I could easily see how that can happen.
Said person takes their stuff to the auctioneer to be auctioned.... then makes an icollector account and bids on it themself...
CA is none the wiser...
And risky game on the shill.... if nobody else "bites" they're paying 20% or more just to get their own coin back to them...stupid if you ask me..
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Valued Member
Canada
403 Posts |
AgCoin, I could see that point, if the bidder was using iCollector. In this case, the bidder was bidding live on the floor, as was among a small handful of other floor bidders. I would think the auctioneer would restrict any prospective bidding registrant who also happened to be a consignor...which comes back to my point open closing loop holes.
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Pillar of the Community
Canada
1461 Posts |
Undoubtedly the market for common Canadian coinage is depressed but it does alright in certain areas as mentioned above. Certain key year coinage still does well. Early Canadian silver also does well in any grade and really well in good grade. I've seen early tokens that are ever so elusive in higher grades (AU and up) also do very well. We recently had a good run on Large Victoria cents and small cents before that. Varieties are also of interest to many although the pricing can be all over the map and inconsistent. Like any other collectible, coins are trendy. Both by country and individually within. From a business point of view its somewhat irrelevant. Nothing but the obvious, but outside of an occasional deal, the daily market transactions determine current market value. It also dictates what dealers are willing to pay for coins at any given time. The delta is that as a dealer I'll buy everything (bulk) at X percentage of current retail with a market protection buffer in place to be able to walk away at "even" if need be if stock doesn't turn over quickly enough. As a collector I'm willing to pay fair market value for a specific item and likely hold longer term. Lastly, the world of online allows dealers to diversify into other markets. This allows you to hedge against different markets. On the point of auctions, I'm sometimes perplexed at the outcome. Many times I have had coins for sale at price X for months only to send them to auction and get 30% over that. As far as shill bidding, this isn't a new phenomenon. Pretty much every country auction in Ontario does it. Know your price point and stick to it.
Edited by TheCoinHunter 05/29/2015 1:17 pm
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Moderator
 Canada
10458 Posts |
I was offline all weekend (due to being at the Toronto Coin Expo), but I am back and am watching this thread closely. I should remind everyone to tread carefully here - one can be held accountable (legally) for comments made online...
"Discovery follows discovery, each both raising and answering questions, each ending a long search, and each providing the new instruments for a new search." -- J. Robert OppenheimerContent of this post is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses...0/deed.en_USMy eBay store
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Moderator
 United States
23522 Posts |
Quote: Just to add to the original scope of this post: I can confirm there was an (oblivious) shill bidder bidding in person at the CA auction last week. The bidder had voluntarily told me he had consigned a "large" number of items for the sale, and admittedly bid on some of his own material, in addition to new material. The shill bidder freely admitted his actions to me at the store, and went on to explain that he purposefully did it to try and drive up the price and increase his return; which he shockingly seemed to think was acceptable practice! What I don't understand is how CA could've allowed the bids from a bidder who was also the consignor? I don't think they closed their internal loop holes for such a thing to occur, especially at a live auction (that had approximately 6 attendees). On our side of the border this is not remotely uncommon. Neither is the House shilling. And irrelevant to someone who knows what they're willing to pay for a given coin. And anyone who finds it objectionable because it increases the price they pay is guilty of the same offense as the shiller - trying as hard as possible to screw someone out of money, in this case by paying too little instead of too much. An argument like this doesn't stand up well. Not to defend the guy - I'm accustomed to the practice but don't particularly care for it - but is there any assurance that CA even knew he was the consignor? Even if there were an in-person meeting for the consignment (doesn't happen that way at Heritage or Stacks or Legend often, and I doubt it happens at Great Collections much at all), are the CA reps present at the auction the same ones who would recognize the bidder?
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Replies: 50 / Views: 7,961 |