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The Top 10 20th-Century British Coins To Buy For Investment 50 Years Ago!

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NumisRob's Avatar
United Kingdom
17975 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2017  07:03 am Show Profile   Check NumisRob's eBay Listings Bookmark this topic Add NumisRob to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
From the May 1967 issue of Coin Monthly magazine, these were the top 10 British 20th-century coins recommended for investment!

The-Top-10-20th-Century-British-Coins-To-Buy-For-Investment-50-Years-Ago!

Let's see how they performed (2017 prices from 2017 Coin Year Book):

1960 Crown £3 BU (equivalent to £50.43 in 2017) NOW £6
1937 Crown £5.50 BU (equivalent to £92.45 in 2017) NOW £55
1950 penny £14 BU (equivalent to £235.32 in 2017) NOW £50
1951 penny £10 BU (equivalent to £168.08 in 2017) NOW £75
1949 threepence £18 BU (equivalent to £302.55 in 2017) NOW £750
1952 sixpence £2.50 BU (equivalent to £42.02 in 2017) NOW £120
1953 penny £1.38 BU (equivalent to £23.11 in 2017) NOW £4
1946 threepence £12 BU (equivalent to £201.70 in 2017) NOW £700
1930 halfcrown £18 EF (equivalent to £302.55 in 2017) NOW £325
1919 KN penny £60 BU (equivalent to £1008.50 in 2017) NOW £2,850

On reflection, it's easy to see why the 1960 crown and 1953 penny haven't performed well. These coins both had a mintage of about one million, and most of them were put aside at the time of issue, so they are still plentiful in BU condition. In 1967, at the height of the great boom in pre-decimal coin collecting, these coins were probably harder to obtain than now, as many would still have been in the hands of their original purchasers.

The 2017 equivalents of 1967 currency values are taken from this website:
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/...ed-1900.html
Edited by NumisRob
01/12/2017 08:02 am
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scopru's Avatar
United States
5029 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2017  08:42 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add scopru to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Great post Rob. I like the info and way you provided it. These kind of things are always interesting to see. Thank you.
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United Kingdom
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 Posted 01/12/2017  12:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add pwa 1967 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yes interesting post and thanks for putting it together.
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twinkinator's Avatar
United States
137 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2017  5:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add twinkinator to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Interesting to think why some went up in value and others dropped considerably. Thanks for putting this together!
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Sap's Avatar
Australia
16849 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2017  9:36 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Sap to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
So, to sum up:

If you had taken their advice and bought those £144 worth of coins in 1967, put them in a locked airtight cupboard, taken them out now and sold them, you'd get £4935. If, instead, you'd have put that £144 in the bank earning interest at the inflation rate, you'd now have £2426, or about half as much. From that point of view, coins are a "good investment".

On the other hand, most of that profit came from the number 10 coin - in other words, from a coin that almost didn't make it onto the list. Delete that coin, and the 144:2426:4935 numbers become 84:1418:2085, which is a much less profitable scenario, and one avoided by what can only be called pure chance. So from that point of view, coins are a "bad investment", as they are much less predictable. It was entirely possible that the whims and vagaries of the coin market had meant that all ten of those chosen coins had growth rates lower than the inflation rate, and it would have been impossible to know in advance.

It should also be pointed out that half of the coins "fell" in value, inflation-adjusted; four rose, and one was pretty much even. So the best guesses of the coin pundits fifty years ago were only able to "get it right" 50% of the time.

To conclude: making profits by "investing" in coins is possible, with the following caveats:

- It's very long-term.
- It's not guaranteed; even the best guesses of experts on which coins make "good investments" are little better than tossing a coin.
- Diversification is important to cover the inevitable losses. You only need one really good investor-coin to cover the losses on a whole bunch of poor choices.
Don't say "infinitely" when you mean "very"; otherwise, you'll have no word left when you want to talk about something really infinite. - C. S. Lewis
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Canada
206 Posts
 Posted 01/12/2017  9:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add OttawaVoyageur to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
... and then try to sell a 1949 threepence for £750.

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