Fair warning ..... this will be a lengthy post ... but an important topic us to consider and debate.
I am in a serious quandary about how to arrive at a fair 'retail' price for the admittedly 'expensive' coins I am seeking to acquire. Lots of factors come into play ...... hopefully this post will help to educate me and others on the topic .....
This is sort of a continuation of my recent post inquiring about CDN (dealer) prices ..... you can read that here:
https://goccf.com/t/61608In that previous thread CoinHunter53652 did some legwork to show the differences in price guides for various coins we might someday hope to own.
As a result of that thread ..... I purchased the 4/02/10 issue of the CDN 'greysheet' ..... and have applied my various pricing guide resources to some real coins that I actually own (drawn from my growing collection of Classic US Silver Commemorative) ..... and this exercise has raised a lot of questions that I am hopeful some of you can shed some light on .....
I have access to the current PCGS Price Guides (updated 4/2/10), Numismedia (updated 4/2/10), my new CDN greysheet (dated 4/2/10) and the 2010
RedBook.
Sooo ....
For coins graded through MS65 .. all four of my pricing guides offer some guidance on the coins I own .... with an admittedly wide range .... for example:
1925-S California Half - PCGS MS65
PCGS $880
Numismedia $930
CND 'Ask' $800
RedBook $1150
1925 Vancouver Half - PCGS MS65
PCGS $1150
Numismedia $1190
CND 'Ask' $1050
RedBook $1200
1927 Vermont Half - PCGS MS65
PCGS $800
Numismedia $880
CND 'Ask' $760
RedBook $975
For coins graded MS66 the
RedBook drops out .... no info ...
1936 Elgin Half - PCGS MS66
PCGS $590
Numismedia $594
CND 'Ask' $ 490
1937-D Texas Half - PCGS MS66
PCGS $350
Numismedia $450
CND 'Ask' $320
For coins graded above MS66 the CND greysheet drops out .... no info ...
1936-S Oregon Trail Half - PCGS MS67
PCGS $975
Numismedia $1030
1937 York Half - PCGS MS67
PCGS $650
Numismedia $680
Sooooo ... with those examples at hand ...... what is a 'fair' retail price to pay for a coin in hand? What price guide do we rely upon when making these decisions .... considering that in many cases above the range between high and low price is enough to purchase complete sets of other coins!

A few other considerations to throw into the mix here ...
1. I absolutely 'cherrypick' my coins from dealer stock and insist upon clean, problem free, well struck, no-toned commemorative that appeal to my eye. Does this 'add' any value to the prices?
2. My growing commemorative collection is all slabbed by PCGS. Do the prices above (except of course the PCGS prices) reflect certified coins ... or are they raw coin prices? In other words .... does the Numismedia and CND prices reflect raw coins with 'subjective' grading?
3. Does any
TPG matter over another relative to retail price?
4. Do dealers really sell at CND 'Ask' ... and if not .... what is that price listed for?
Anyways ... long post here .... I'll close with this ...
I would appreciate any and all input into how you experts figure out a fair retail price for the expensive coins in your collections. I suppose the same logic applies to all coins .... I just don't fret as much about a $12 coin as I do a $1000 coin.

Thanks for any and all input!
David