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Copper Hoarding - What's The Realistic Run Up?

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Maineman750's Avatar
United States
3592 Posts
 Posted 03/02/2011  8:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Maineman750 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Good point Rdwarrior...would aluminum then become the new copper as far as PM's then? I know it is highly sought after by the scrap metal guys already.
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Lion4Life's Avatar
United States
370 Posts
 Posted 03/02/2011  9:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Lion4Life to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I just started pulling the coppers a few weeks ago myself. I just toss them in a container and wrap them up every so often. Label them and put them in a roll/tube stoarge box for cents.
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biggfredd's Avatar
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 Posted 03/03/2011  12:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As I pointed out in another thread, making 10% profit a week on $200 gives you $1240 in one year. It took 15 years for silver and 40 years for gold coins to be worth 6.2 times face. Clearly, turning, not hoarding, is where the profit is.

It costs as much to ship $100 face in cents as $1000 face in silver. So when you're looking at % over face, factor in that 10x shipping cost.

Likewise storage costs. An article mentioned a man who was robbed of $750,000 worth of silver that he kept at home because the bank didn't have enough space. Figure a $10 roll of silver is worth roughly as much as $80 in copper cents. Hope your floor's sturdy!

Finally, when the gubmint allows cents and nickels to be melted (there are more than enough Zincolns for commerce), keep in mind who you're dealing with as the ultimate buyer. Silver refiners will cheerfully accept lots the size of a loaf of bread, around 1000 ounces or a bag of 90%.

Copper refiners deal in TONS, not ounces. Just one ton is about 60 BAGS, or 120 boxes of cents. Do you have a way to store $30,000 in cents, and the means to move them?
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Maineman750's Avatar
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 Posted 03/03/2011  12:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Maineman750 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yeah biggfredd...I'm the one that's turning the copper cents...averaging 60% profit...shipping $100 FV is $10.49 flat rate...however, somebody else did the math and storage isn't the problem it sounds...also we figured the basement floor,so that's not a problem either.And just as with any scrap metal, you won't have to deal with the refiner just as silver is done now,you will have middlemen.My point is that either flipping or keeping can work,it just depends on many factors none of us can foresee.
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biggfredd's Avatar
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 Posted 03/03/2011  6:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I think it would take $7.50 lb copper to start seeing the copper cents start disappearing. At that point, good luck to the government enforcing a no melt ban.


Disagree. Silver disappeared long before it was worth 5x face. If anything, copper will go even faster, since 1000 cents a day is beer money, while 1000 quarters is a week's pay. The fact that one sorter posted a drop from 30 to 20% copper cents shows this.

Remember that silver was pulled in earnest a year or two after clad came out. It's been 29 years of attrition for the cents.

Pep Levin melted millions of silver coins before it was legal. Maybe someone remembers what happened to him.
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biggfredd's Avatar
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 Posted 03/03/2011  6:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I usualy pull anywhere from 25% to 30% coppers. My only real concern in how long can I got putting away $300 a month before it turns my rare coin buying to a stop.


Why hoard at all? Sell that $300, put the profits into rare coins and the face back into the "business".

How long do you think it will take for someone with money and bulk coin contacts to buy about 20 sorters ($10,000), capable of sorting 5 coins a second and run them 24/7? That's 7+ million cents a day, $500,000 worth a week, 2.5 billion a year. Wouldn't take many such operators to sort cents faster than the mint makes them!
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biggfredd's Avatar
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 Posted 03/03/2011  7:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
And just as with any scrap metal, you won't have to deal with the refiner just as silver is done now,you will have middlemen.


When we bought silver and gold constantly, we paid as much as 99.4% of our selling price on silver and 98.4% on gold. We got as much as 99% of melt for gold from middlemen. These people handled precious metals deals, and at least one handled 1000 bags of silver in one day.

Those dealers just don't have the facilities to handle base metal like copper that takes up over 4000 times the space of gold or 100 times the space of silver for the same dollar amount.

The middlemen who do have the means to handle copper don't work on a percent or two, but more like double their money. Throw in shipping costs, and you'd be lucky to get 40% of melt for copper, unless you have enough to at least talk to a refiner. One dealer told me he had $20,000 face in copper cents, and even before the gubmint ban on melting, tried several copper refiners, all of whom turned him down.
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 Posted 03/03/2011  9:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Doucet to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
A freind of mine has been hoarding copper cents for a while but I have never paid much attention to them.

I guess that's because I buy a lot of copper in flat sheets for my work and usually there is a fair amount of 'drop'.

A few years back I would buy $10000.00 worth of copper sheets for about 60.00 a sheet.....$2.00lbs......a sheet of 16oz. is 30 lbs.

For the last few months 16oz copper sheets were at about $180.00 a sheet...that's $6.00 a lbs. Three days ago I called for a quote and the sheets were 280.00 a sheet.......9.33 a lbs.
Scrap for melt is about $3.00 a lbs. now.

Copper goes up and down some, but I doubt if we'll ever see $2.00lbs for new copper.Scrap may hit $4.00 soon.

Save those pennies folks, they will never be made of copper again.IMO
Edited by Doucet
03/03/2011 9:04 pm
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Maineman750's Avatar
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3592 Posts
 Posted 03/03/2011  9:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Maineman750 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
The middlemen who do have the means to handle copper don't work on a percent or two

biggfredd,
Yes, I realize that and the dealers that buy silver don't either (in general)but my thoughts are that the scrap metal buyers would likely be the ones to buy copper cents as they have the facilities.As posted by Doucet, they are paying about 66%.And I do know one of these scrap buyers..they are already thinking about it.So at that rate,you could double your money saving coppers at the current price.Don't sound bad from here.
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Newbismatic's Avatar
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380 Posts
 Posted 03/03/2011  11:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Newbismatic to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I dont see any harm in it... if people are willing to buy right now... then I can sell right now and go buy a few more boxes of pennies to search through...
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 06/04/2011  6:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
1 million copper cents = $10,000 = 6667# = 24 five-gallon buckets

5 gallons water = 40#
5 gallons copper = 280#

5 gallon bucket = one square foot

Options:

1) ground level, slab construction. In 100 square feet, you can park a 3-ton (big) van or 14 tons of cents (28,000#)

2) ground level, over basement or crawl space. 280 is seven times the 40psf of modern construction, so it's just a matter of time before they drop into the

3) basement, on slab. When time to sell, how do you plan to carry over three tons of 280# buckets up stairs, and what do you have to haul them to the refinery?
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 06/04/2011  6:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
5 gallons copper = 280#


Wow, those 5 gallon bucket handles probably wouldn't even hold that then.
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Ed_B's Avatar
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4008 Posts
 Posted 06/05/2011  8:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Pep Levin melted millions of silver coins before it was legal. Maybe someone remembers what happened to him.

Google remembers him well:

http://www.dvrbs.com/People/CamdenP...PepLevin.htm
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Ed_B's Avatar
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4008 Posts
 Posted 06/05/2011  9:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As to the question of hoarding copper pennies for a possible melt value at some point in the future...

My thought is that there are two legitimate ways to get ahead in the world... work hard or work smart. Messing with tons of copper pennies to eke out a little profit looks a lot like hard work to me. Better (and easier!) to work with pounds of silver or ounces of gold to realize the approximate same profit, IMHO.
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 06/05/2011  11:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Levin should serve as a reminder that the gubmint actually will enforce anti-melting laws.
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