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Investing In Rare And Key Date Coins

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SDcoinguy's Avatar
United States
2424 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  09:51 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add SDcoinguy to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
so I know this questions has probably been asked, or at least touched on in a few other topics.

I was at barns and Noble the other day and I came across a book that was about this guy talking about how to invest in rare coins. Basically taking coins from 1938-present and showing you how they increased in price.

i am sure there are certain coins, sets and grades of these coins that are sought after and that probably appreciate more over time than others.

I also have heard a lot of people on here make me feel discouraged about "investing" and collecting coins, that they are two difference avenues - true, however both can be done.

what I also found interesting was that investing in a rare coin that say is worth $500 now, would appreciate more than a coin you would purchase for $30,000. Meaning that, that $500 coin would increase faster percentage-wise to $900 as opposed to the $30,000 coin increasing to $35,000.

I want to know if anyone else out there has been or are currently into investing in rare coins and which ones they see as "safer" investments.

I know that nothing is a sure thing, however when looking at how much a 09-s vdb would run you 15 years ago and what it is today, I would say that coin and others would be a pretty safe invstment...
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macmercury's Avatar
United States
5832 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  10:10 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add macmercury to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Banks interest rates is so low, one avenue I would say key coins would be a sure bet if you can hold on to it for years.
Valued Member
Ozzie's Avatar
Cyprus
349 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  10:16 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ozzie to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have heard of some people doing very well from rare coins and in a short time. Its like all markets. If you know when to get in and out then go for it. You also need to do a lot of your own research imho.
Pillar of the Community
United States
759 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  10:42 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add OneBowl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
On another thread, I just posted that a 1909-S VDB, XF, went for $495 in 2000. It is now 2-3 times that. BU Walkers seem to be selling for less than what they were selling for in 2000, despite current silver prices. So there is no sure thing, but I think key dates are the better bet. And I used the word "bet" on purpose. I wouldn't "invest" in rare coins unless I'm set for retirement and then would only deploy 2-4% of capital in coins. I have serious concerns as to whether US demographics can support rising coin prices for decades to come.

If anything, I'd consider the 1909-S VDB or 1916-D Merc. Others will throw out Holy Grail dates that would work too.

And while I'm sure people have made money on rare coins (not bullion), 1) I don't believe the majority of those who say they did and 2) they may very well have made more in another investment.


Valued Member
United States
451 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  11:30 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add brokencompass to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
If you are looking at investing, you should first analyze the markets. It's just not about picking a rare key date up, it's also about taking a bet on it increasing in it's value. Silver Indian rupees were selling at $5 a piece and were available in Rolls but now the same can sell as high as a hundred. The same is the case for Chinese coins too.
IMHO, If you want to invest you have to be a collector or have a very thorough investment collector friend guide you with the buying.
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vinnycoin's Avatar
Canada
442 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  12:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add vinnycoin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'm not really into the collector aspect, but I did take a small gamble of the chinese silver pandas and its paid off nicely so far in the short amount of time.

My reasoning is that they minted 3 million of them, which might seem alot, but take into consideration the billion people in china where they are almost impossible to find ( have family there and they couldnt' find any), plus those of us around the world, it starts to look alot more rare.
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SDcoinguy's Avatar
United States
2424 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  12:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SDcoinguy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
good input.

i would love to see some statistics through out the 20th century on key date coin rising and falling in price.

i am not in it for the short term. everything I do as far as collecting and investing is for the long haul. I am not a fan of trying to get rich quick.


i want to make smart investments, do my research, pull information from anyone I can and make the best logical decisions.

if anyone knows of any books or information on investing in certain key date or rare coins weather it be US or foreign, let me know
Valued Member
bryan1234's Avatar
United States
463 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  12:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add bryan1234 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Not saying you should go this route but here are a few things I like for various reasons and a few things I have purchased or traded for. Bullion values can go up and down fast while any numismatic coins still can go up or down but not at the same pace as bullion market, with silver at a 31 year high it seems like a good time to switch some stuff over to more numismatic coins . Either way its a gamble but one thing that puts a strain on the market is counterfeiters and that could destroy the market but again people have been collecting coins for ever and people have been counterfeiting since the start of money and we still have money don't we. As for pure silver bullion I like the ATB 5 oz as they have under 34k mintage and the 2011 silver wolves as they have 1 million mintage, I wish I could of got the ATB 5 ozers but its unrelaistic right now

1. high grade barbers halves, key Barber halves and proofs

most have low mintage and most coins are vg and below and its hard to find ms coins and I feel there undervalued

2.early commemoratives pre 1950



Just a little rant of what I like, hope that helps
Pillar of the Community
United States
3184 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  1:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mkman123 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
your going to have to do your math on this. Perhaps speak to some coin collectors that deal in rare and key date coins and see how they feel. The coin market isn't as hot as it was a few years ago and if you look on the pcgs website there is a chart that sho .s that have gone up and coins that have gone down. There was a coin worth 250k a while back that is now worth about 50k or so........thats a loss there.
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SDcoinguy's Avatar
United States
2424 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  1:54 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SDcoinguy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
yea, I will have to speak with someone that knows rare coins.

im looking for charts like this:http://www.us-coin-values-advisor.c...e-coins.html

not sure if pcgs has an extensive one.

but basically this shows how certiain coins in certain grades have preformed over time, the last 50 years or so.

not only key dates, but rare coins that are popular among collectors and investors do better than purely just RARE coins.

it is interesting. I would love to see how much I could get with a budget of $500 or less. even back in 1980 I could have purchased an XF 1878-cc morgan for $30, and now it would of been worth almost $200.

i need to find THAT kind of data. that shows the performance of keydate, rare coins over time. even the ultra MS67+DMPL coins worth 15k have had smaller precentage returns thatn Xf or even MS60 coins.. also somthing to look for
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  1:54 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I as well know nothing yet about true coin collecting or key dates, and something I really need to research up on, as time is always the issue an much to learn here. But, I take the "Rome was not built in a day." attitude, and go from there. This is an interesting topic an good questions....
Pillar of the Community
United States
759 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  2:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add OneBowl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
SDCoinguy,

The data you seek is out there. Time will bring you to it. Don't forget to "real-world" it. By that I mean factor in transaction costs (as high as 20%), storage, insurance, risk of actual physical damage, opportunity costs, adjust for silver prices, etc.

Now as for the link you provided, as a financial analyst, I could actually use that to come up with some pretty compelling arguments to steer clear of coins altogether. In short, it shows in spots not only do you have to buy at the right time, you have to pick the right coin(s) and also, have to pick the right grade. It's hard to be right that many times.

That said though, here's something I'm kicking around...putting together a basket of about 5 key coins, all slabbed, with a target outlay of maybe $4-5K. I would view it as a purchase for myself as a collector/investor. Wording and order is important there. I do feel I could produce a positive return doing it while having something I'd enjoy. Why? Because I've been thinking about it for 15 years and every coin I've had in candidate status costs more now than before!

Really, if you do invest, make sure you're in good shape with all your other investments first and structure things so you'll never, ever be faced with needing to sell coins quickly. Best of luck to you.
Pillar of the Community
United States
2168 Posts
 Posted 03/11/2011  2:53 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add angel2004 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
One thing I keep in mind with the dollar issues and just the unstable economy is that if our dollar collapses, I don't really think the numismatic value will matter that much. What will matter is intrinsic metal value. Just something else to think about before investing a lot.
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Coin Chaser's Avatar
United States
307 Posts
 Posted 03/16/2011  11:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coin Chaser to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
What we are seeing on the market in coins is the metal value. There are many money merchants using there buying power to buy and sell real gold in hand instead of paper or gold on account. Our old Morgans are worth more because silver is high. When silver or gold goes down the animistic value kicks in. A friend has a few old Half Eagles that have not really changed in value they are back to their value in the 80s. In a pinch when paper money and government backed coins are worthless, Metals still have there value. In times like these reach for the gold. It will always have some value. My opinion only.
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Changeless's Avatar
273 Posts
 Posted 03/17/2011  09:56 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Changeless to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
IMHO do not be too taken up with news media use of the words "dollar collapse". The value of the dollar relative to other currency is being allowed... is purposely being manipulated by the US Govt.... to fall. Nothing new or particularly startling here. The way the US Govt has always dealt with govt. debt is through inflation. What we are seeing is the beginning of hyper inflation.

And I should add... the statistical "bell curve" rules... what goes up always goes down.... and visa versa.
Edited by Changeless
03/17/2011 10:01 am
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 03/18/2011  03:46 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Salomon Bothers used to keep track of a basket of super-rare coins as part of the non-traditional investments they reported on. Once a year, they'd come out with some ridiculous figure like rare coins rose 30% from last year.

If that was true, in 1980 I'd have converted some inventory into $10,000 of rare coins. By 2000, I'd have $1.9 million worth of coins, and could sell $500,000 a year, while watching the base value continue to grow.

Which is nonsense. The stuff they were using as their sample was so rare that it was almost impossible to buy if you wanted it, and there was so little of it around that there wasn't any way to expand the supply beyond the existing demand.
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