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Monthly Silver Forcast Contest Ends 04-15

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Pillar of the Community
nod2003's Avatar
United States
3294 Posts
 Posted 04/01/2011  2:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nod2003 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
April- $35.11
May- $32.88
Jun- $32.55
Jul- $30.08
Aug- $24.75
Sep- $22.11
Oct- $20.88
Nov- $16.75
Dec- $17.53

Silver bubble will deflate over the next year as economy gets back on track. Small Dec rebound for Christmas
Pillar of the Community
Billie's Avatar
United States
592 Posts
 Posted 04/01/2011  10:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Billie to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As long as a certain political party is in power & Quantitative Easing it has to go up.
April- $37.50
May- $40.41
Jun- $42.13
Jul- $45.52
Aug- $47.44
Sep- $50.63
Oct- $53.88
Nov- $56.42
Dec- $60.26
Valued Member
hybes's Avatar
United States
183 Posts
 Posted 04/01/2011  11:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add hybes to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
April $39.50
May $41.50
June $33.75
July $38.75
Aug. $45.00
Sep. $48.00
Oct. $49.50
Nov. $51.75
Dec. $55.50

I think we will see a moderate pull back in the month of June, possibly hitting back in the high 20's before starting to climb sharply. The reason I do not believe this is a bubble is:

1) Supply - Everything I have read says there is not enough being mined. Also what is being used is not recoverable or too expensive to recover. Different mints have delayed shipments of bullion because of lack of supply.

2) QE3,4,5,6,7,8,9 Our government and its people do not want to stop spending. Quanitative Easing is like a drug the longer we do it the more we need the fix.

3)Gold to Silver Ratio (GSR) Historically the GSR has been 16 to 1 meaning the cost of 16 oz of silver would equal 1 Oz of gold. As of today that ratio is 38 to 1
Edited by hybes
04/01/2011 11:32 pm
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10284 Posts
 Posted 04/02/2011  10:00 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TNG to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
After seeing another report on the horrible conditions and treatment of what are basically slaves in mining gold in Africa, like diamonds, I would think silver is just as evil.
To be honest, I don't want to think of it.
I don't wear jewelry and I am not really a bullion investor, but if I could I would collect only old er US silver coins and the like.
The silver mines may be a bit more civilized but there are horrors in the treatment and conditions of the children and women that work in mud, mining for gold to barely live for the rich tyrants.

Anyways, when I do see another 60 minutes type report about the mining, it makes me think of the demand. The demand is there and gold is hot.
Gold will continue to rise in 2011 and 2012 in my opinion. Platinum will as well go over 2,000.00 and not look back in the next couple years and silver will hover at $50.00 - $58.00 as well by the end of 2012.
I was looking for $1400.00 levels back in 2009.

Not that I am that smart, no way, just a good guess for a change. I did sell twice at levels that worked out nicely. If it doubles now I really don't regret having sold since I almost tripled the investment then.
That's the name of this game. Buy low - sell high.

I predicted Gold would be between 1400.00 and 1500.00 here back in Sept of 2010. But nobody expected Silver to be at what it is at today in this CCF poll.

I think silver will rise but not quite as much as others. Gold will continue to be in demand by the richest people to hoard and hold.

Last day of the month of ...

April $36.95
May $39.12
June $38.32
July $38.75
Aug. $40.07
Sep. $40.39
Oct. $42.29
Nov. $43.80
Dec. $45.66
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10284 Posts
 Posted 04/02/2011  10:09 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TNG to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My post above seems to indicate I am talking mostly about gold, but I am just looking at the precious metals as a whole. It seems to usually moves in the same direction no matter which metal you favor.
These are my guesses for silver.
Pillar of the Community
United States
759 Posts
 Posted 04/02/2011  10:40 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add OneBowl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This is definitely outing some silver bugs, isn't it? Some on the other side too. Cool contest. I hope I lose. I plotted the current entries on a graph and the trends are pretty interesting.

wheezy,
Don't watch any shows or research boom time silver mining in Nevada, or you'll have to cross old silver coins off your list too, especially CCs.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
10284 Posts
 Posted 04/02/2011  12:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TNG to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
wheezy,
Don't watch any shows or research boom time silver mining in Nevada, or you'll have to cross old silver coins off your list too, especially CCs.


Yes I am sure it was as ugly then too. Prostitution in mining camps and chinamen ( pardon me but that's what they called em back then. ) doing the hard labor in California. Murder and robbery on the stage coaches. Gambling.

I guess wherever money is there will always be evil behind it to a proportionate degree.
Pillar of the Community
upstate's Avatar
United States
3283 Posts
 Posted 04/04/2011  02:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add upstate to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
April-$40
May-$42
June-$43
July-$32
August-$30
September-$30
October-$33
November-$34
December-$35

I think silver is at a bit of a bubble right now but prices will hold due to worldwide instability. Eventually the bottom will drop out (as people get accustomed to instability) and prices will fall;
just to bounce back to what will be new higher stable levels.
When,how much, or whether it will is anybodies guess
Valued Member
Wei Fun's Avatar
United States
244 Posts
 Posted 04/04/2011  10:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Wei Fun to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I wish I knew the future, but I know I can pick numbers at semi-random:

Apr: 38
May: 40
Jun: 40
Jul: 36
Aug: 32
Sep: 28
Oct: 26
Nov: 28
Dec: 30
Valued Member
vinnycoin's Avatar
Canada
442 Posts
 Posted 04/04/2011  2:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add vinnycoin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I was thinking of waiting closer to the dealine, but that wouldn't be as much fun :P Here it goes:

April: 38.92
May: 40.22 -$40 resistanc breaks!
Jun: 42.25
July: 46.63 - Justin Bieber buy silver commercial airs
Aug: 37.98 -"big" dip. bear trap? Weak hands sell, but demand is still strong
Sept: 40.88 -Aliens land and this is where it starts to get crazy
Oct: 49.45 - Aliens need silver for construction of the haul's of their ship
Nov: 50.75 - Lot of comparisons to the hunt brother high, mania phase follows as reports of silver shortage and inflation and QE spending continues. Aliens leave b/c we're boring.
Dec: 68.55 - End of Dec price is actually a correction from the mid Dec high of 88.00 :P



Valued Member
TripAces's Avatar
United States
185 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2011  09:17 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TripAces to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
With the price of everything these days going up why not silver as well. It will level off near the end of the year as people get sick of paying high silver prices on....mirrors?

april - 39.11
may - 40.22
june - 43.44
july - 44.91
aug - 43.91
sept - 43.21
oct - 42.91
nov - 43.00
dec - 42.85
Pillar of the Community
w1a9c8k5's Avatar
United States
1348 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2011  2:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add w1a9c8k5 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
APR: $42.34
MAY: $43.43
Jun: $44.00
Jul: $44.50
Aug: $47.00
Sep: $48.30
Oct: $50.00
Nov: $48.25
Dec: $47.99
supply and demand, constant war, japan's problems.
Valued Member
tamshowoff's Avatar
United States
326 Posts
 Posted 04/05/2011  2:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tamshowoff to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
april 39.22
may 40.37
june 39.88
july 41.35
august 42.00
september 43.78
october 43.15
november 44.89
december 46.59

Eeney meany miny moe :)
Valued Member
United States
312 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  4:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mshev to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Apr 40.00
May 40.50
Jun 41.00
Jul 41.50
Aug 42.00
Sept 42.50
Oct 43.00
Nov 43.50
Dec 44.00

I was tempted to just go with 40.00 across the board out of laziness but decided to just use a steady increase... I'll exchange an e-Highfive with whoever can put that in slope-intercept form first...
Pillar of the Community
penny man's Avatar
United States
659 Posts
 Posted 04/08/2011  5:29 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add penny man to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
april 41
may 42
june 44
july 47
august 51
september 46
november 40
december 33
ummmmm, I have a time machine? I don't know wild crazy guessing.
edited because I need to learn how to type. lol
Edited by penny man
04/08/2011 5:30 pm
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