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What Would You Do #2?

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odentheviking's Avatar
United States
425 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  10:31 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add odentheviking to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Not wanting to hi-jack another thread.....but almost the same question.

I like to keep some cash around ,just in case! But w/Gold/Silver going through the roof is this a good time to take $10,000 in cash and buy? The big question is will the Gold/Silver be easy to turn back into cash if needed......if/when PM's top out all will be selling and prices will be dropping. In other words, is Gold a good emergency fund right now as it has real value and easy to store/get to a small amount?
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carmykle's Avatar
United States
2448 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  10:42 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add carmykle to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Interesting question! I believe it would depend on the market. Most of the time, the average investor pays top dollar for gold and silver bullion. When he tries to sell, most buyers offer only 60-70% of spot (there are refiners that will pay upto 90%). There are a lot of folks that have 3-6 months of funds (liquid assets) available for emergencies. I guess that you would have to ask yourself if bullion is really all that liquid?

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vinnycoin's Avatar
Canada
442 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  10:45 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add vinnycoin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I've thought about this and it really depends on what you think will happen in the future.

Lots of survivalists believe in getting rid of Fiat at any cost. If you think that the Dollar is on a verge to collapsing then yes get into the precious metals.
If you're looking at this as more of a short term investment, then going all in can be a bit scary. With any investment, its always good to diversify. Gold, silver, oil, and other commodities would be a good idea.

If it was me, the 10k would go straight into 60/40 gold/silver and just hold. the US dollar seems to have a strong downward trend and the PM's will be a good hedge against inflation.

just my opinion, do whatever you feel is the best choice. Must be good to have a few grand laying around :P

Best of luck!
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JackB's Avatar
United States
1064 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  10:57 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JackB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Agree with vinnycoin; diversify. Some of my coworkers have invested in funds that include PM's, among other investments. You could check with companies like Fidelity, and tell them what you're interested in, and let them spread it across their funds, reducing your risk and exposure,dependent on just how daring you want to be with your $$.
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odentheviking's Avatar
United States
425 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  11:03 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add odentheviking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Quote: " I guess that you would have to ask yourself if bullion is really all that liquid?"

And this is my big fear, I discovered it is not a few months back trying to trade Silver for Gold.

Thanks to Vinnycoin for your suggestion, I see what you mean. But I think that PM will start to cap out soon,(then again I bought Gold at $300/oz. and sold for $750-$800/oz. thinking there was no way it could go higher!).

Quote: "Must be good to have a few grand laying around" Yes, it is! I had put away 20K but went through half of it for a few family emergencies about 2-3 years ago. Sure saved us.
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CoinHunter53562's Avatar
United States
2049 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  11:19 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CoinHunter53562 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
When he tries to sell, most buyers offer only 60-70% of spot


This is pretty standard in this area for gold scrap like jewelry and maybe for sterling silver scrap, but not for gold bullion or coins or silver bullion or coins. Dealers in this area typically pay about $1.00-$1.50 under spot for silver which is well over 90% based on today's spot price. The biggest dealer in town pays a flat 93% of silver spot for generic silver up to 100 ounce bars. For gold, they seem to pay around $50-$75 under spot for gold bars or coins which is well over 90%. Online dealers seem to be pretty similar, so your statement is a bit misleading.
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 Posted 04/06/2011  11:49 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add OneBowl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Gold will be extremely liquid if the price is stable or increasing. Much less so if it's declining. That's for conversion into cash. Metal for metal trading I would not consider particularly easy or quick.

Figure out your in and out transaction costs as part of your analysis. If you're talking 6 gold coins for example and you have to buy each at $50 over spot and sell at $50 under, that may be significant even in the most liquid of markets.
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United States
312 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  12:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mshev to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As Jack mentions, if you're looking for a short-term PM buy, an ETF (exchange traded fund) might be your best choice. I'm on Scottrade, so trades are only costing $7/each. That means I can buy and sell $6K of GLD (a gold ETF) for $14 total, vs the maybe $160 I might have to spend to do the same thing with a few $50 gold eagles (diff. of dealer buy/sell per coin times # of coins). Just be aware that the ETFs will not track the metals perfectly. (Also just a note, but the expense ratio will affect performance overtime too - but still should be much cheaper short-term. GLD has an annual expense ratio of 0.40% for example).
New Member
United States
23 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  7:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add westsea301 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I recently went through this. I had a large amount of cash and I am hesitant to put more into a stock market which does not seem to correlate with reality. Continuous rising of the stocks due to Fed stimulus which must end at some point was a little too good to be true in my mind. I waffled for a while but in the end the though of having so much cash making about 1% year and realizing you are actually losing money due to inflation and dollar depreciation was the kicker for me.

Of course I'd save some cash for emergencies, but I'd get the bulk out of the dollar. Whether you turn it into metals or equities is your choice. If you absolutely needed to sell the metals in an emergency, you should always be able to. You might take a percentage loss, but that's a risk you take on any investment, not just PMs.
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United States
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 Posted 04/06/2011  7:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add OneBowl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Just to throw something out for all to ponder...if PM prices do start to fall, fall hard and for a period of time, who is going to buy what you want to sell? Sure, there will be some fishing for a bottom, but if gold is dropping $10-$20 a day and has done so 10 out of 12 days, for example, I don't think it's going to be easy to sell anywhere near spot.

I was around in 1980. Saw lines 50-60 people deep at the mall waiting to sell their silver. When the price dropped, many buyers went out of business. Buy offers were well under spot if you could find any. Long time coin dealers went out of business. They could not sell or hedge. PMs were not easy to get rid of at perceived "fair" prices, spot in other words. Food for thought. You should examine all angles.
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Billie's Avatar
United States
592 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  8:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Billie to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I was around in 1980.


Me Too. This is 2011. The situation is Much Different.

$1.00 in 1980 had the same buying power as $2.82 in 2010.

IMHO, a large part of the pm price is a correction from being under valued: That & the fact that we do have inflation right now even if the government currently in power says we do not.
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  10:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yes, I agree to compare 1980 to now 32 years later plus is like comparing apples to oranges....

Many different factors in play now that were not then. First example off of the top of my head, those folks in 1980 did not have the selling/advertising power of the internet....

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United States
505 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  11:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Frazzle to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think the time to get into PMs has past,but if you really insist on getting in,then buy a little each month and cost average....
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vinnycoin's Avatar
Canada
442 Posts
 Posted 04/06/2011  11:45 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add vinnycoin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
No problem oden. I too hope that the PM's slow down. Much rather my bullion be worth less than to have the US in complete chaos. Although I'm from up north, our economies are closely knit, like it or not.
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United States
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 Posted 04/07/2011  07:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add OneBowl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I never said today's market was like 1980. Never said a thing about buying power. Never said a thing about valuation or inflation or the government. The point was about liquidity and selling prices in a falling market IF prices fall, market mechanics, if you will. Like I don't know it's not 1980 anymore.
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JackB's Avatar
United States
1064 Posts
 Posted 04/07/2011  10:46 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add JackB to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Again, diversify! Get into a fund that covers all these areas, so maybe PM goes down (I doubt that, myself), but your other investment choices keep you afloat. Long term, the stock market has proven to be a good investment. You don't mention how old you are, or what lifestyle you're looking to have later in life. Go to a financial advisor / investment company, get yourself a plan tailored to your situation.
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