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Ben Bernanke Press Conference

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Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  02:50 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
For the first time, http://www.moneyfactory.gov printed more $100 notes than $1 notes.

What can you call an economy where the most commonly used note is a $100?
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  03:15 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Six months ago, the Aussie dollar would buy you 90 U.S. cents, now it buys 108 U.S. cents. The AUD has not appreciated all that much against other currencies.

If the aud has appreciated primarily against the usd, this means it's just the usd, and not the rest of the world's money, that's going to pot.

When the usd buys less au, ag, pt, aud, and everything else, then that's called inflation, buying power stolen from you by the government, just the same as if they raised taxes 20% in the six months that the aud became worth 20% more.
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  03:46 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Because of that, I have no idea what constitutes hyperinflation. Does anyone really know?

Not really. It's sorta like art and pornography. I can't define it, but I know what it is when I see it.

Take your pick: http://www.onelook.com/?w=hyperinflation&ls=a

One definition is over 50% a month. The easiest way is to simply define it yourself for the purposes of what inflation is being examined. For example, isn't 49% a month hyperinflation?

I would think that a hyperinflation is one where society breaks down because a substantial amount of productive time is wasted calculating price changes instead of producing, shipping, etc, product. Like HI Germany, where instead of weekly paychecks, wives would get their husbands' daily pay at noon, so they could spend it before it lost most of its value by evening.

Another factor would be the concept that the inflation is out of the government's control, essentially having taken on a life of its own. Sort of like the difference between a campfire and a forest fire.
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  03:56 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
But has there really been a dramatic change in the trade deficet?
And playing "devils advocate" what do we really manufacture that the rest of the world wants?

"Manufacture" is the wrong word, try "produce".

A lot of what the US sells is raw materials and foodstuffs. We tend to buy finished products.
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  08:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
If the U.S. dollar decreases in value much more, the Australian economy will also come under pressure. Why?

Because the majority of Australia's export mineral contracts are written in U.S. dollars, not Australian ones. The effects of this are beginning to be expressed in the value of Australian public companies on the Australian Stock market, where stock prices are just beginning to come into downwards pressure on stock prices.

That affects most Australians, because their superannuation assets are mostly held in shares held by their superannuation Funds. We also now need the U.S. dollar to at least stabilise. I hope that happens soon, when round 2 of QE finishes, due in July.

Increasingly, Australian businesses are writing overseas trading contracts in other than U.S. dollars. I guess that U.S. businesses are quite free to do the same.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  2:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
What can you call an economy where the most commonly used note is a $100? - BiggFredd

Stretched? Over-monitized? Mismanaged? All of the above!

My question is, "How long until the $1000 bill returns?".

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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2011  2:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
A lot of what the US sells is raw materials and foodstuffs. We tend to buy finished products. - BiggFredd

The US manufactures a lot of high tech equipment and quite a bit of that is exported. When I retired in 2004, the US chemical industry was the #2 exporter in dollar terms after agriculture. Not sure if that is still the case, though. Low tech stuff tends to be made where labor is cheap and then exported to 2nd and 1st world economies. Textiles are a great example. Used to be a large textile industry in the US but it has virtually all gone to Latin America, Egypt, and Asia.
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