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What Happens If The Debt Ceiling Isn't Raised?

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Ron2012Paul's Avatar
175 Posts
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Jaobler's Avatar
United States
6394 Posts
 Posted 07/27/2011  12:50 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jaobler to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I'd like to see the negotiations collapse and have the federal government be forced to live on the roughly $200 Billion in monthly tax revenue that they collect. As I understand it that would be enough to pay for all the Social Security and Medicare bills, interest on the debt, military salaries, and veteran's benefits, with about $70 billion left over. Then Congress would have to make the hard choices about how to divide that monthly pie between all other Federal programs, departments, and employees. That would require layoffs, furloughs, and defunding of entire departments (might I suggest, the Dept. of Education and Dept. of Energy, for starters?).

The really bad news for the federal government is if that were to happen about 90% of the population would never miss the discontinued programs and departments. It would become impossible to conceal just how much of the government is totally unnecessary.

This thread should probably go to "General Discussion", but it feels good to rant a bit.
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 07/27/2011  06:45 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It's tempting to move poly ticks to generally disgusting, but this stuff clearly ties in with PM.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 07/27/2011  7:45 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Well guess what, California is near bankrupt and people are bailing out of here in record numbers.

IMHO, Calif is already done. They just haven't had the dirt shoveled into their face yet.

I comment on the Yahoo financial web site quite often and advised months ago that ALL productive people who live in Calif sell everything they own there and get the heck outta dodge ASAP. Calif is circling the drain as we speak. It will not survive in anything like its current form. Maybe the US government will trade it to Mexico for some oil someday? Shrug.
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Ron2012Paul's Avatar
175 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  12:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ron2012Paul to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Honestly it wouldnt surprise me if they did sell it to some country for some oil, nothing Washington does suprises me anymore. I'm just waiting til the empire collapses and buying as much silver; hopefully some gold, as I can til it happens.
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United States
1026 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  2:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Brucec to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
All governments need to be cut in half, local, state and federal. I am convinced now more than ever we need to LIMIT congress and Senate terms. Use to think eight years not now make it 4 years because if it were 8 years they would accomplish nothing the first 4 years except trying to get re-elected so make there terms 4 years only that is the only way they will ever start just doing their jobs right.
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hockingzig's Avatar
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1450 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  3:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add hockingzig to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree! Re-election is a disincentive to doing what needs to be done.
Valued Member
United States
259 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  4:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add chasinva69 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My familiy and I live on a federal check that may not come (not SS).
This is terrifying, and some people are trying to make light of it suggesting there will be no negative effects?

A downgrade of the debt is a real possibility. That means interest rates go up, the recession deepens, the dollar falls, maybe even MM accounts lose money. As I write this I read the House Republicans may not even agree to Boehner's plan. And even if it passes, it would just put off the problem for another six months so we can do this all over again then.




Edited by chasinva69
07/28/2011 4:28 pm
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junior e's Avatar
United States
931 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  4:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add junior e to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Moody's and S&P are jokes with regards to their grading. Aren't they the same services that rated Credit Default Swaps as a AAA investment? Give me a break, please, just one. They just predicted on CNBC that Boehner's plan has about a zero percent chance of passing. I know that a lot of people are all over the president for all of the budget problems but they've been out of control ever since 9-11. I am not a big fan of the president but he inherited a heck of a mess from the previous administration. I just don't see how gold investment can lose as bad as everything is going, but I just have a sneaking feeling that the Fed and the Treasury are going to find.a way to put the screws to those of us who are trying to find a way to cover our rear ends. Does anyon know if that $600 trigger for 1099 reporting made it into law or not? If it is law it's going to be crazy filing a 1099 every time we sell something.
Edited by junior e
07/28/2011 4:48 pm
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hockingzig's Avatar
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1450 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  4:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add hockingzig to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't think any of us are making light of the dangers that come with a downgrade or a default. I,personally,don't believe anyone's Federal checks won't be written. There is money coming in and that will be used to pay the bills. From all that I have seen and read,we probably would not see any real impact for at least several months. I have been preaching for the last 3 years to get a supply of food and a supply of cash because whether it is August,September or 2012,the hard times are coming and folks better be ready. The longer we put off dealing with the real issues we have,the more painful it is going to be. My mother is 87,living by herself on a very small fixed income. My wife's total income is from SS disability,I am retired and dependent on a system that may contract significantly,I have a daughter and granddaughter moving in with me next month with no job or income. You don't think I'm scared too? I have done without a lot the last 3 years to be prepared for this very scenario! Will I make it through unscathed?probably not,but I have done the best I can and I will find a way to get by,that's the way I grew up and I thank God every day for parents that taught me to be frugal and independent.
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hockingzig's Avatar
United States
1450 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  4:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add hockingzig to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think the $600 ,1099 issue was repealed. Even if it wasn't you can sell to individuals and not have to worry about it(barter and/or trade work well also).
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GoThunder's Avatar
United States
830 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  5:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add GoThunder to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
They just predicted on CNBC that Boehner's plan has about a zero percent chance of passing


The Senate, right? It should pass the House, then the Senate can change it and send it back to the House. Or that's the way I understand its suppose to work.

I'll be hedged for it not passing both the House and Senate for a while longer. This President has really divided the parties. Anyone else remember the "enemy" comment he made a while back referring to the Republicans?
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ljenkins990's Avatar
United States
406 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  5:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add ljenkins990 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The debt ceiling will be raised. All that's going on in Washington right now is that the parties are wrangling around trying to make the other look as bad as possible.

I personally wish it wouldn't be raised. I wish the government had to live within its means like the rest of us do. It's been said before in this thread but it bears repeating: If the debt ceiling isn't raised the government will still be able to pay Social Security, entitlements, military salaries, etc. There's no way Congress will cut off those funds, that means they might get voted out of office in 2012 and then they might have to go out and do productive work for a change.
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TreeMonkey's Avatar
United States
210 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  5:17 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TreeMonkey to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
This President has really divided the parties.

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Ed_B's Avatar
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4008 Posts
 Posted 07/28/2011  8:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Im just waiting til the empire collapses and buying as much silver; hopefully some gold, as I can til it happens.

Don't forget the food, water, medical, and ammo supplies.


Quote:
I think the $600 ,1099 issue was repealed.

Yep, repealed, signed, sealed, and delivered. This was a dumb idea from the start but at least the politicians were able to figure that out once they heard from an enraged nation about it. As soon as they saw which way the crowd was going, they got out in front of it "to lead". :-/


Quote:
I personally wish it wouldn't be raised. I wish the government had to live within its means like the rest of us do.

Same here. So many of the government officials and politicians are saying that it will be the end of life as we know it if the government has to live within its means for once. My thought is that if 300 million Americans can do that, then so can their government.

Actually, the congress has a terrible problem right now and it is one of which they are completely unaware. They "don't get it" as far as government waste and spending go... but the American people DO... and we WILL hold them accountable for this mess and their incompetent handling of it. They are acting as if they MUST spend to get re-elected. NO! They MUST stop the spending madness if they wish to get re-elected! This is THE issue facing this country and many Americans are well aware of it. All of the politicians who are supporting inaction and business as usual via these insignificant spending cuts are VERY unlikely to get re-elected in 2012, IMHO.


Quote:
This is terrifying, and some people are trying to make light of it suggesting there will be no negative effects?

I don't think that many are making light of the situation as much as we are making light of the light-weights who are pretending to address a VERY serious problem. Their dog and pony show is not fooling anyone with an IQ above room temp. America today is like an accident victim who has arterial bleeding and the politicians are trying to put a few 1/2" band-aids here and there to "solve" the problem. These not only will not work, they cannot work... and the majority of voters in the US are very well aware of it. Somehow, though, congress does not seem to be aware of it and is content to tinker here and there instead of getting a serious solution drafted, passed, and signed.


Quote:
A downgrade of the debt is a real possibility.

The market has already factored a debt downgrade into debt prices, so the actual event of lowering the sham AAA rating to sham AA rating (which is also too high) will be virtually a non-event in the market.


Quote:
That means interest rates go up, the recession deepens, the dollar falls, maybe even MM accounts lose money.

Interest rates have already been held at too low a level for too long a time. If they do not rise from this so-called credit down-grade, some other mechanism will be pushing them higher soon anyway. For those of us who have savings to invest, higher interest rates will only add a little value to our savings. Savings should be valued. They are what powers the economy by providing capital to loan to the people who produce. If government gobbles up all of the capital in the economy by borrowing it, they will spend it on non-productive things and the economy will not grow, jobs will not be created, and the depression we are now in will worsen. If we look at interest rate history, we will see that there have been MANY years in which US interest rates have been in the 4-5% range and the economy was booming. We do not need interest rates of less than 1% to have a good economy. What we need is MUCH less government in the way of productivity.

We are past the time when our greatest concern has to be those who receive the public largess. It is now time to make a maximum effort to see if this nation can be saved. Political business and spending as usual will ensure that this nation suffers a financial, political, and social collapse. The effects of that will be HUGELY worse than any proposed or actual spending cuts.


Quote:
All governments need to be cut in half, local, state and federal. I am convinced now more than ever we need to LIMIT congress and Senate terms.

I agree, Bruce. Merely returning government spending to the 18% of GDP that we had for decades will not solve our dept problems. In fact, spending 18% of GDP is what brought us to this situation. It certainly cannot solve the very problem that it created. If the government were to live on 12% of GDP, we would have a vibrant economy AND full employment.

As to politician terms of office, I would favor ONE 6-year term per person in their life-time... and that does not mean that they can be in different offices for 6 years each. There are MANY capable people in this country who could and would serve their country for a term of office. We do not need professional politicians whose only goal in life is to live it up in the public trough.

It's too bad that the Founding Fathers never wrote into the Constitution that government must operate as a small surplus and that this surplus should go into a "rainy day fund" for emergency use only... and then carefully define the nature of what constitutes an emergency. In reality, the FF's never considered this because they probably thought that only an insane individual would even suggest running a government deficit. They never suggested term limits for the very same reason. They did their government service and then returned to their real lives, running a business or a farm. Who would ever want to spend 1 minute more in DC than was absolutely necessary?
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