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Midterm Silver Technical Analysis

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leon1998's Avatar
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586 Posts
 Posted 12/10/2015  09:54 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add leon1998 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Midterm-Silver-Technical-Analysis

Several highlights on silver spot price movement in WEEKLY chart.

1. MACD negative
MACD indicates the momentum of price; it has been negative for years. Until it turns positive, there is no confirmation of reversal.
2. RSI below 50
Strength of price is below 50 in a 0 to 100 scale, BAD.
3. Full STO below 20
I circled the last two occasion when this happens in PURPLE; the BLUE arrows show the according price movement. The similarities tell us silver will be weak for weeks to come.

Red arrows show my predicted price path; expect to see silver below $13 in late March/early April. Any price pop between now and then, is a shorting opportunity for traders only
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thq's Avatar
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3347 Posts
 Posted 12/10/2015  11:47 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add thq to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It looks like the price pops are about $1 per ounce, and occur about every 6 months. So you could play for about 14% per year - as a dealer buying at spot minus. If you're a retail buyer paying $1 per ounce premium over spot it's a wash at best. Works OK as an off-the-books cash placeholder, either short term or very long term.
"Two minutes ago I would have sold my chances for a tired dime." Fred Astaire
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