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A Collector's Dilemma

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Author Previous TopicReplies: 13 / Views: 1,905Next Topic  
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Gwyde's Avatar
Belgium
506 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2013  5:32 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add Gwyde to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
When collecting coins from a specific country/nation, you expect the mintage numbers for circulation coins proportional to the total population. Hence the huge mintage numbers in the US. The large US population also implies lots of collectors, resulting in very decent prices.

Smaller and less populous countries with lower average mintage numbers seem more attractive. The lower number of collectors however also may imply a more modest pricing.

All of this implicitly implies that collectors focus on domestic coins... which they don't exclusively.

Dwarf states (Vatican, San Marino, Monaco, Liechtenstein) issue their own coins almost exclusively for foreign collectors. It procures them a handsome revenue.

Do you go along with this? Is it tempting to buy a Vatican coin just because you think it's rather exclusive?
Edited by Gwyde
05/03/2013 6:28 pm
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nohope587's Avatar
United States
5953 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2013  6:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nohope587 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I try to collect from Circulation as far as my foreign coins go. I do travel extensively so its not hard for me to find local coins from different countries. I would not however be inclined to pay the premiums for Vatican or other sets unless I saw a profit potential later on down the road. then they would not be for my collect but rather a means to add funding for my collecting habit.
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nalaberong's Avatar
Canada
2805 Posts
 Posted 05/03/2013  7:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add nalaberong to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It depends on the familiarity of that country, I think. The US domestic collectors' market is so huge that even coins made in the 10s of millions get expensive.

The US has about 10x our population (although ours is growing a little bit faster) but the numbers don't reflect that (~5,000,000,000 US cents made in 2011, vs. ~663,000,000 Canadian cents made in 2011). Canada makes about twice the coins per person than the US does.

So a 1948 silver Canadian dollar will run about $1000 in average circulated condition, for a mintage of 18,780. That's a tiny amount, and yet an American coin with a population of ~500,000 (the 1909-S VDB cent) retails for nearly the same price! So our mintages are higher, but our low mintage years go for less too. If Americans ever got consistently interested in Canadian coins, we'd be doomed.
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Demarco Bishopp's Avatar
United Kingdom
548 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2013  05:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Demarco Bishopp to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I mainly collect bullion coins which tend to be issued by large mints in a handful of countries.

I keep loose change from the foreign countries I visit but I don't really collect circulation coins with the exception pf pre-decimal British coins. There's something special to me about having currency from the Victorian age. It was a very different time.
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BamaBlue's Avatar
United States
624 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2013  12:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BamaBlue to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think there are two things going on... coin collecting versus coin investing. Coin collecting is easy; buy what you love. Coin investing is different and requires detailed knowledge (as does any business enterprise). I think you have to figure out what kind of a business model you what. Where are your customers, what can the market support and where can you find your coins at the best possible price. When you're selling, you want to stock what your customers will buy, not necessarily what you like. Best of luck!!
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Tom Goodheart's Avatar
United Kingdom
856 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2013  1:38 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tom Goodheart to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I just don't know if the coin market works like that. People collect as much for sentiment and liking the coins as because those coins are from the country they were born in. Otherwise nobody would collect ancient coins any more, would they?

And the value of a coin is often not at all related to how rare it is, but the number of people who want one.

nalaberong mentions mintages of 18,780, or 500,000. But I have coins of which under 10 examples are know to now exist. Yes. Less than 10.

And if you could find an example to buy? It might well cost you less than the $1000 also mentioned. Why? Because there are fewer collectors for those sorts of coins and most who want one have one.

Other coins that are common enough they you can pretty much always find a few for sale somewhere, but which were produced at a time of political turmoil ... you'd find it hard to get one for under $1000 and probably need double or triple that.

And yet these coins could probably be considered cheap by US standards. Certainly for the American equivalent and assuming you could find a US coin that was 360 years old in the first place!

As BamaBlue says, depends whether you're collecting or investing. And if collecting, why? Is it the history? The art and design of the coins? What they mean to you?

For me, modern coins hold little interest. If I pick them up when travelling and they are attractive, I'll keep them. But the coins I collect I don't collect for their scarcity/mintage/exclusivity, value or the metal they are made from. I collect because I like them and they are from an interesting period in history and because 300 years later I used to spend similar coins (at least in terms of the face value!) myself. I like that feeling of ... connection to the people who once handled the coins I now look after.
Edited by Tom Goodheart
05/04/2013 1:47 pm
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cipriani's Avatar
Brazil
117 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2013  2:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cipriani to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I totally agree with BamaBlue and I ask myself that question when I´m in a dilema "buy or not buy a coin". What model I´m in? Seller or collector?

I like the feeling of possessing a little part of history in my hands. It is awesome to visit a Museum, buy your cannot HAVE one, at least the most of people cannot. But a coin, an ancient one, we can. So, that´s it.
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Bacchus2's Avatar
United Kingdom
2874 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2013  5:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Bacchus2 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree with Tom. It's all about demand. In the world of Roman Provincials I have many coins that are unique - yes really, only one known, but the value is not that high - because the demand just isn't there.
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Doug58s's Avatar
United States
899 Posts
 Posted 05/04/2013  8:39 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Doug58s to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I agree with Bama.. I collect what interests me. I don't buy coins looking at what the potential resell might be down the road. I am currently into the Caravel ships of the Portuguese coins - mainly because they fascinate me - not because they will have a high resell value. There are a lot of unique coins made by many different mints all around the world. Buy what you like because you like it - not because you expect to make a profit selling it down the line. (well that is my take on coin collecting anyway).
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Gwyde's Avatar
Belgium
506 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2013  05:08 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Gwyde to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I go along with the idea of Bama and what most of you mention on 'buying what you love'. However, it may be good to think of some resale strategy as well. Otherwise you may end up with cardboard boxes full of ciruclation coins by the time you retire... and being offered only a scrap metal price when you'll need to sell.
As for me, my expensive fancy for 18th century coins of the Austrian Netherlands (& Austrian empire) will make this cardboard box scenario rather unlikey.
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basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2013  08:00 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I personally like a lot of the vatican coins and do think its cool to have something unusual like that. Even if they may not have a huge premium I do like unique items as well as common and like a mix of the two. The good thing about the unique pieces is only a small uptick in interest would need to occur to raise the premiums, but there's no assurance that will happen.

That said I wouldn't only collect stuff like that unless that's where my interest was. Ultimately get what you like, if you're going for resale value alone you either need to be very picky about the prices you'll buy for or buy high end stuff and hope their prices rise whenever the economy improves. But there's far better things to invest in if that's the only goal
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21786 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2013  08:34 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I collect ALL coins that were intended to be circulated, ancient to modern, up to about 1950, all cultures. Have done so for about 30 years.

Three points:
Coins of small nations e.g Vatican, although can be circulated are usually made for collectors. Consequently, the most common grade they are found in is uncirculated.

Coins of nations with a large collector base, and have issued lots of coins for circulation e.g. the U.S. or G.B., have coins that are more valued in high condition, relative to low grade coins, than happens with coins of the Vatican.

Coins of small nations e.g. Pacific Island countries, only need to issue a small number of coins for their needs. Although some of these coins attract the interest of a few collectors, the size of the collector base for these is relatively tiny, and so the price of these coins in the collector market is low, despite the relatively tiny mintages.

An over arching approach to this situation is to just appreciate the forces and pricing that rule in the numismatic market place. If you are thinking of buying or selling a particular coin, consider where it sits in the numismatic market first.
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Russian Federation
5172 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2013  09:38 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add january1may to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I did in fact buy a Vatican coin just because I wanted a Vatican coin in my collection. I actually got a commemorative; Second Vatican Council in 1962 (the denomination is 50 lira).
Paid slightly less than three dollars for it; about an order of magnitude less than I expected. The mintage is only 200,000 - but the market is just not there.

...After I got the Vatican coin, I've tried, on the same day, to assemble a full set of European microstates. Out of Monaco, San Marino, and Andorra, one of the coins didn't have a date (it was a WW2-era type though), one was a FAO issue, and one I didn't actually find until months later. I still don't have Liechtenstein, and doubt I'll ever find any; and I already had a few Malta coins by then.
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matthewvincent's Avatar
United States
3486 Posts
 Posted 05/06/2013  3:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add matthewvincent to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I was thinking about how to answer this when I took another look at
Gwyde's topic description: "A collector's dilemma."

Ideally, a collector would only collect what he or she likes. But inside each one of us,
[be HONEST!] lies the heart of a business person: sell for a profit.

For myself, after many years of collecting, I have reached the decision
to buy coins which grab my eye and have the best potential to HOLD their value over the years.

A coin that I bought in December of 2012 is wanted by a dealer for his own collection and, if I wanted/needed to sell
I would recoup my original purchase price. That is what I mean by holding value. And in the meantime
I have the pleasure of guarding a US Dollar that is 214 years old.

I have two, 100 Lira coins from 1962 Vatican City - The Second Vatican Council. Both were brought home to the States
by family. I doubt that they were bought. Mintage was 1,566,000. A lot?
Well, this was a very newsworthy event which I remember. The world was glued to the media
for news. From the Council came many revolutionary changes in the Roman Catholic Church.
The coins means something to me.

Now, would I buy the same coin today? No.
Would I sell/trade the extra? Yes, and NOT for $14 USD which is the going price on ebay.
I'd do it for less. Just to make a collector happy.

And after all, if coins do not make you happy it is time to find another hobby.








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