I have observed many of the same things discussed in this thread, and agree with many of the points made. From my perspective, the coin collecting hobby is dying due to several adverse factors:
1. The generation that's been keeping the hobby alive all this time is dying off, with no new blood taking an interest to carry it forward. No market can continue to exist when there is no demand.
2. The routine whoring by the
RCM of their NCLT products in an attempt to redefine, monopolize, and control the market; and sadly, it's working. Ironically, as I just finished typing that sentence, I received yet another
RCM "Sell-out alert" email notification in the corner of my screen...
3. Adverse economic conditions, particularly hitting working/middle-class families the hardest: resulting in a decline in "entertainment" spending. Although the economy has made a slow rebound, the overall financial positions of family households differs drastically from earlier generations.
4. Recent declines in bullion prices. The precious metal price indexes are linked with coin market trends, so there is perceived risk (generally by noobs) in an era where people have a very low risk tolerance.
5. People are just too busy. People don't work 9-5 anymore, nor do they restrict their lives exclusively to job & household interests. People nowadays lead active lives, they're more social, and get sucked into technology in ways that I can't even comprehend. Also, people in mega urban centres, like the GTA, lose on average 10-15 hours a week by simply commuting. That's insane!
Although I am of the younger demographic (in my 30s), contrary to #1 (above) I'm in a very fortunate and unique position where I can invest time and money into the hobby that I've been fully immersed into since I was a kid. Most people in my generation are too consumed in their otherwise full daily lives, even more so in large urban-centres like the GTA. I too try to attend local coin shows in certain parts of Ontario, and I've observed the same trends many of you noted earlier: low turn outs, aging demographic, a lot of unhappy faces, and understandably resentful/bitter dealers. Attendance at the few coin shows I've attended this year have been so low that I have overheard some vendors (several booths away) complaining to their neighbours that they haven't sold a single coin, or asking their fellow peers "why am I even here?". When you think about the time and expense these guys put in to travelling to these shows trying to earn a living, you gotta feel for them because you know they aren't making any money doing it. The only ones who seem to enjoy being at the shows are the true enthusiasts, which are few and far between.
But here's a thought for getting some new blood:
Since I'm a big proponent of delivering "shock value" to people, I periodically go to a coffee shoppe and pay for my coffee with an old heavily circulated $1/$2 bill, or if I really want to wow them, spend a nickel 50c piece. The reactions on peoples' faces are priceless, but more importantly, the young people who receive these "odd" payments are so mesmerized by them that they (a) immediately want to know more about the currency I've handed them, (b) parade their "strange" find to their fellow co-workers, and (c) set the money aside to (presumably) purchase it at par value from their register. The point it: little things like that can create enough interest and conversations that can potentially lead some new blood into the hobby.