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Kennedys, Ikes, State, Modern, Worth?

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tonphil1960's Avatar
United States
382 Posts
 Posted 11/25/2007  05:32 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add tonphil1960 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I know alot of people collect moderns, I collect some myself, don't know much about them though. I am wondering about the value of Kennedys, Ikes etc.. Aside from the Silver issues, will they ever be really worth anything as a collectable coin? The Mint has Kennedys, Sac's etc by the millions and millions. How can these coins be considered collector coins, of premium value? Just wondering..

Thanks Tony
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Amazon99's Avatar
United States
2443 Posts
 Posted 11/25/2007  06:39 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Amazon99 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think they will have some sort of numanistic value, but those would probably be for the higher grade coins. As time goes by, they will increase in price. Also, people collect what they like, so it's possible that in 50 years from now the Ikes will be viewed as a classic with a beautiful design. Then those prices will go up. The actual mintage number of a coin doesn't mean it's going to be worth a lot. An 1880 Shield nickel with a mintage of only 16,000 is worth according to the 2008 RedBook is worth $3,800 in MS63. An 1872 silver 3 cent piece with a mintage of 1,000 is worth $1,400 in MS63. An 1893-S Morgan dollar with a mintage of 100,000 in MS63 is worth $135,000. Why? Supply and demand. There are more Morgan dollar collectors than silver 3 cent nickel and Shield nickel collectors combined (Well probably).
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Spider5689's Avatar
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2269 Posts
 Posted 11/25/2007  11:46 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Spider5689 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
You are more likely to find modern issues in higher grades. For example, It is more common to find a State Quarter in a high grade, compared to an Walking Liberty half.

If you go on ebay and type in Florida State MS67, you will find two of them. If you type in 1942 Walking Liberty half MS67, you won't find any. Plus the Florida State Quarters are inexpensive in MS67 and are quite common.

If you look at NGC and PCGS population reports, you will see how many modern issues have such high grades.
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tonphil1960's Avatar
United States
382 Posts
 Posted 11/25/2007  12:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tonphil1960 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I know the point you guys are making. What I am thinking about is with the dealers grabbing these coins up by the thousands and selling them at a big premium I don't see how the value can go anywhere but down in the future. I am talking about State 25c, Sacs, Pres. dollars. Ikes and Kennedys that have been completely released from the mint are a different story. comments ?

Regards Tony
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Bryan1315's Avatar
United States
14454 Posts
 Posted 11/25/2007  1:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Bryan1315 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
well you know everything is a gamble when it comes to coins. My grandfather told me that 1882-CC and 1884-CC Morgans used to be a high dollar coin but when the GSA released their stock of Morgans the prices plummeted, just think how one would have felt paying a thousand dollars for a AU-58 coin mere days or weeks before the GSA sale when you can now get a MS-66 for less money. What is to say something like this can't happen again, not necessarily by the government but could be by anyone that has a hoard of any semi key coins and thinking of cashing in their life treasures while they still have time to enjoy it
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tonphil1960's Avatar
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382 Posts
 Posted 11/25/2007  1:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tonphil1960 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Yes that's what I am saying Bryan, I checked out your Type Set for the first time. Wow very impressive, not far to go either.

Tony
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cladking's Avatar
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2270 Posts
 Posted 11/26/2007  02:04 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cladking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It's really surprising how little interest there is in moderns. The modern market utterly and totally collapsed in 1965 and it's been very slowly coming back ever since. In modern's heyday back in '65 the exceedingly common 1950-D nickel went for about $150 in todays money! Clad quarters are similar in buying power and most are scarcer in unc than the '50-D nickel but most go for less than a dollar in today's money! Some old rolls can be picked up for $15 if you could find them (you can't).

There are a small handfull of collectors who put a lot of stress on the supply of some of the tougher issues. The '83-P for instance has fewer than 100,000 survivors in unc and sell for around $40. This coin is 25 times scarcer than the '50-D nickel and sells for only a little more. Indeed, it sells for about a quarter of what the nickel did at its peak. Many of the moderns are quite scarce in nice condition and there is price pressure on most of these as well. But coins like the '89-D or '69-P quarter are almost impossible in really well preserved and well made condition yet they sell for peanuts. People didn't save these coins and mint set versions are terrible. Despite their scarcity nice choice MS-63's can be picked up for 50c or a dollar! Ike gems are up to a hundred times scarcer than Morgans yet usually cost a small fraction as much.

Perhaps moderns will never be collected on a mass scale like classics and some of the ultramoderns. This is good for collectors even if it's not good for speculators.
Time don't fly, it bounds and leaps.
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Amazon99's Avatar
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2443 Posts
 Posted 11/26/2007  02:16 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Amazon99 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think the reason that the modern market isn't in that must of a demand (now) is because people can't justify spending a lot of money on a coin that they can still find in their pocket change (not in ms of course).
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tonphil1960's Avatar
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382 Posts
 Posted 11/26/2007  05:59 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tonphil1960 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
yes Amazon,that's what I am thinking. I do like Modern Commems, Proof and Mint sets and Proofs though. I agree as the years go by thay will not be as "new" as they are now, but the sheer volume produced by the mint, and the numbers of coins stock piled by the dealers has me thinking they are not really a collectable as an older coins might be. JMO

Regards Tony
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cladking's Avatar
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2270 Posts
 Posted 11/26/2007  11:29 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cladking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"I think the reason that the modern market isn't in that must of a demand (now) is because people can't justify spending a lot of money on a coin that they can still find in their pocket change (not in ms of course)."

This may be a lot of the reason that people don't collect moderns but the result is that even the modern rarities tend to go begging. Scarce and rare coins won't be found in pocket change but the modern ones cost a small fraction of what comparable old coins do.
Time don't fly, it bounds and leaps.
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SA4H's Avatar
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2764 Posts
 Posted 11/27/2007  02:07 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SA4H to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I am amazed at "cladking" comment. I think I agreed with him - modern coins are not rare as a whole, neither expensive, but they are "conditionally rare" and affordable for now. As time go, by those "conditional rarities" will improve in price..... that's what we should be looking to.
Edited by SA4H
12/18/2007 2:51 pm
Bedrock of the Community
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 Posted 11/27/2007  09:05 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Actually modern coins ARE a fairly good market. It all depends on where you go, who you ask, the type your talking about, grades of coins. For example the market for IKE's is oddly very big for high grades. Check out https://www.jmscoins.com for an example. That guy specializes in high grade IKE's and some are well into the thousands. At coin shows many moderns go for extreamely high prices but again usually for the very high grades and slabbed. At these same coin shows I see people grabbing modern Washington quarter rolls as if they were Gold. One dealer goes to banks, buys rolls of Uncirc anything, puts each coin in a 2x2 and sells for massive profit and they do sell. One of the busiest tables there. Like I said it all depends on where you go, grades, etc.
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Conder101's Avatar
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17884 Posts
 Posted 11/27/2007  1:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Conder101 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
As Just Carl says there are a some pretty high prices paid for condition rarity moderns. But is it a good market? Or is it just a one way market? From the dealer to the collector. Yes I'm sure there are some dealers who will make a two way market in these coins, but not too many. And just how stong are their buy back prices as compared to the ultra high amount some of these collectors pay for their Registry set condition rarieties?
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KurtS's Avatar
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5318 Posts
 Posted 11/27/2007  2:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add KurtS to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
"An 1872 silver 3 cent piece with a mintage of 1,000 is worth $1,400 in MS63."


Personally, I don't think you can go wrong with a low mintage if the price is currently favorable. If collecting habits change, the demand might change for that mintage, and what was a nice coin already could become valuable. Consider the 1856 PF-65 Flying Eagle cent which sold for $185 in 1950. Contrast that to the hordes of junk that is currently peddled as "collectable". I tend to target these low-mintage coins because of trends I've seen over time.
Edited by KurtS
11/27/2007 5:41 pm
Valued Member
tonphil1960's Avatar
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382 Posts
 Posted 11/27/2007  3:57 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tonphil1960 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
King,Asian, Carl, I see all your points, they make sense. Mintage and Rarity are key with the Moderns I would think, if it is Modern and Rare,it would be Rare in the future. As far as the Modern Quarters, Halfs, Dollars go, ..Present day coins I am talking about here.. I have to agree with Conder. The buy price from dealers on this stuff must be very low as they are paying face for the coins in some cases. I don't know, the whole think just reminds me of Hawks circling above they prey.

Tony
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cladking's Avatar
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2270 Posts
 Posted 11/27/2007  6:59 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add cladking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
"Actually modern coins ARE a fairly good market. It all depends on where you go, who you ask, the type your talking about, grades of coins. For example the market for IKE's is oddly very big for high grades. Check out https://www.jmscoins.com for an example. That guy specializes in high grade IKE's and some are well into the thousands. At coin shows many moderns go for extreamely high prices but again usually for the very high grades and slabbed. At these same coin shows I see people grabbing modern Washington quarter rolls as if they were Gold. One dealer goes to banks, buys rolls of Uncirc anything, puts each coin in a 2x2 and sells for massive profit and they do sell. One of the busiest tables there. Like I said it all depends on where you go, grades, etc."


You're certainly right that some of the moderns in high grade trade at very high prices. I'm quite aware of the existence of these markets. But these prices are high because the coins are extremely elusive not because there is much demand. There are Morgans with graded populations approaching 10,000 but some of the Ikes are less than 100.

This doesn't mean that the Ikes are scarcer (they are) but it does show the relative interest in the coins. Ikes have to be in a grade where only a few hundred exist to even be worth the cost of grading! Morgans can be quite common and still warrant this expense.

The modern markets have achieved a lot of maturity in the last few years and there are increasing numbers of dealers trying to keep some in stock. Perhaps there will be so few Ikes and other moderns that more will just have to be graded. In a few cases this means some pretty low grade moderns will be appearing in slabs because there aren'y any more high grade ones. Try finding a nice choice '76-P tI Ike. All the high grades are slabbed and there aren't many that are truly choice.
Time don't fly, it bounds and leaps.
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