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Recession: Affect On Coin Prices

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mycrob's Avatar
United States
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 Posted 01/30/2008  3:22 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add mycrob to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
Given all the recent talk about the "R" word, I was wondering what everyone's thoughts are on how this might impact the coin collecting hobby.

With the dollar weak and us heading (or already in) a recession, precious metals will still probably continue climbing, so those types of coins would benefit. But I wonder about many folks having to sell their collections to make ends meet and possibly satuarting the market with non-silver/gold coins that could cause a plateau in coin prices or even a decline?

What are your thoughts?
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1sikevo's Avatar
United States
1130 Posts
 Posted 01/30/2008  3:54 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1sikevo to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
IMO. Economy slows down, less disposable income for people to spend, then buying coins will not become a priority.
Demand for coins come down, so will the price.

It may not apply to every particular coin, but that is where we are headed, generally speaking.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
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 Posted 01/30/2008  4:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
IMO. Economy slows down, less disposable income for people to spend, then buying coins will not become a priority.
Demand for coins come down, so will the price.

It may not apply to every particular coin, but that is where we are headed, generally speaking.



I can get on board with that reasoning. Rarities will not suffer - the market for a $10,000 coin is recession-proof - but I'm kind of hoping for a downturn in the Bust Half market.
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slowly but surely's Avatar
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 Posted 01/30/2008  5:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add slowly but surely to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think we all need to do our part and spend our $600 stimulus check on coins asap!
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1sikevo's Avatar
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 Posted 01/30/2008  6:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add 1sikevo to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Rarities will not suffer - the market for a $10,000 coin is recession-proof

The price may not drop much, but sellers may find it harder to unload those coins at the price they want. In those cases, the owners of rare coins may choose to hold their price and wait rather that slash prices to sell, unless they are desperate. And most people that own these type of coins aren't that hard up for money.
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Cannonman17's Avatar
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 Posted 01/30/2008  7:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Cannonman17 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I wonder how the coin market did during the Great Depression?

I really don't know what will happen but I am going to be watching the market very intently- and hope that prices drop like a rock.
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Jdgarst0720's Avatar
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 Posted 01/31/2008  10:58 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jdgarst0720 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think that rather than worry about what the future ecomomy will do, just keep going with your collecting. I am sure that many during the depression had to sell many things to make ends meet, including such collections. If you can just hold onto what you have and keep enjoying and adding to it, then the future will take care of itself.

I do not think that my collection is super valuable, but it is alot of fun for me to dabble and mess with!

John
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jbuck's Avatar
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188001 Posts
 Posted 01/31/2008  12:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbuck to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Regarding the Great Depression...

I'm not sure, but I am guessing that with a contracted money supply many pieces of these collections ended up being spent rather than sold. Sad to think about it...
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jbakic's Avatar
United States
251 Posts
 Posted 01/31/2008  4:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbakic to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I was just reading in The Experts Guide to Collecting and Investing in Rare Coins that collecting really got a kick start during The Great Depression. Seems that coin folders started appearing during that time, and people could sort through cents, etc to fill them for little $$$. It was something that the common folk could afford to do during that period.

I found that to be interesting, cause I always thought that it would have been the opposite.

That is a real good book, by the way, full of history.

Jim
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Homer1's Avatar
138 Posts
 Posted 01/31/2008  5:25 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Homer1 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
My assumption is that the Recession is affecting the coin collecting market and other industries. This will drive many coin dealers to lower prices and sell off most common date coins in auction lots than ever before. This is what you call fleecing of America by way of inflation.
Edited by Homer1
01/31/2008 5:28 pm
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chevrolet454ss's Avatar
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 Posted 02/01/2008  01:42 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add chevrolet454ss to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I dont see coins high end coins as recession-proof . Reason they I think would the worst investment out there if the recession will get real bad. I have seen with it classic cars and real estate before. In the 1980 somthing in texas tons homes went down in price big time. Lots and lots peaple overpaid and owed bank more than it worth big time. The real estate market crashed.

In 1991 I was going buy an super rare 1967 corvete that was restored with 427 engine for 110000 dollars. I glad I did dont since in 1994 or 1993 the same car was worth 35000 to 45000 fair market value. In 2008 this car worth maybe 150000 to 350000 . The classic car market crashed before as same as homes did I have seen. Coins will do same thing since it things peaple dont need to buy to live on like food and household bills.

The gold market and silver market could crash like it in 1970 or 1980 something. I dont know but gold at over 900 per ounce dont make any sense to me. Look at all those years it less than 400 per ounce.

If I had 10000 to blow on an high end coin. I would buy 10000 worth half dollars from banks. Search it and dump it and keep buying more intill to get you 10000 dollars worth junk silver . I would also start cleaning 59 thru 81 copper from bank boxs since copper prices are going high like silver is. They are already selling for double face on ebay on junk 59 thru 81 copper pennys. 50 bucks face on junk pennys will sell for 100 bucks in 2008.

Chevrolet454ss
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amac44's Avatar
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3242 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2008  09:35 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add amac44 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Plus all Fed banks are sending all customer's rolled cent to the Philly mint to pull all copper coins out. for the 09 to cut cost of the 09 Lincoln
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mycrob's Avatar
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 Posted 02/01/2008  12:25 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add mycrob to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Amac44: Can you provide a link to the story or web site on the FED sending customer coins to Philly to pull out copper. That sounds interesting and I hadn't heard that.
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 Posted 02/01/2008  12:38 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Jim1953 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
44, I would find that hard to believe, though with the govt, anything is possible. It would cost them a heck of a lot more per coin that the 1.5 cents that copper is worth above it's circulation value to pull them from circulation. I would be very interested in reading on this if you can remember where it was. On top of that, they would have to replace the coins they have pulled from circulation to maintain the required inventory and public availability and their cost of production is way above the copper value of the cent. Jim
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jbakic's Avatar
United States
251 Posts
 Posted 02/01/2008  1:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jbakic to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Now, there is an article in the latest CoinAge issue about a private business in Ohio that is lobbying to get the ban on melting reversed. I think it is the same business that was written about a while back that was going through thousands of $$$ in halves and pulling the silver to melt on a large scale. The paragraph in on the last page of the price guide in the magazine.

That would be very interesting if the FED was going to all that trouble for cents, and not for silver in halves, quarters and dimes. You would think that would make more sense.
Edited by jbakic
02/01/2008 1:14 pm
Bedrock of the Community
United States
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 Posted 02/02/2008  09:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I've been coin collecting for well over 60 years. We have had recessions, bad times, etc many times during that period. I've never seen coin prices drop. I've seen them level off for a while, but I just don't remember ever seeing them drop.
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