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Top Pop Opinions To Buy Or Not To Buy

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Cleatis87's Avatar
United States
125 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  1:56 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add Cleatis87 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I'm curious on what the community thinks about 'top pop' coins and the premium attributed by respective grading companies. Should purchases be made based solely on this? My intent is to build a collection that gains value over time.

Thanks!
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BigSilver's Avatar
United States
2843 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  2:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BigSilver to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Top Pop premiums are in my opinion a risky thing to pay for if you are after long term investments.
You are relying on
No other coin grading equal or higher in the future.
You can never resubmit the coin.
The TPG in question needs to stay in good standing with the collecting world.
Lastly, you are relying on the coin really being the assigned grade.
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Mark1959's Avatar
7234 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  2:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Mark1959 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Coins may develop problems after grading. The only Lincoln Cent that was graded 70 had to be dropped to a 69 grade as it developed a spot after the first grading.
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basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  2:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Really just depends what series and years you're talking about.


Quote:
You can never resubmit the coin.


You can do reconsideration or regrade with PCGS if you feel it's undergraded


Quote:
The TPG in question needs to stay in good standing with the collecting world.


Won't be an issue for PCGS or NGC. Just don;t buy an NGC one like its a PCGS one
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BigSilver's Avatar
United States
2843 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  2:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BigSilver to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:

Quote:
You can never resubmit the coin.



You can do reconsideration or regrade with PCGS if you feel it's undergraded

My point being that if you wanted to cross over or resubmit, you would mess up the top pop status. The consensus numbers do not decrease with crack-outs.


Quote:

Quote:
The TPG in question needs to stay in good standing with the collecting world.



Won't be an issue for PCGS or NGC. Just don;t buy an NGC one like its a PCGS one


Once again to clarify, just like it is known that OGH are generally undergraded, a future gradeflation may decrease interest in top pops of a TPG.
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Coinfrog's Avatar
United States
94367 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  3:07 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Coinfrog to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Top pops usually don't stay top pops for ever.
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moxking's Avatar
United States
17900 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  3:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add moxking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The coin is what makes the difference. In this past year I've paid 20-30% over the "common price for the grade" that are one step below top pop simply because the coin is so outstanding that it will always have a huge following when offered for sale.

Many of those coins were multi-thousand dollar purchases, so they were not run of the mill. If you do not know a series, there is every chance that you will buy "bargain top pop". That usually means that the seller knows something you don't.

You are much better off doing a best you can afford type set. Those will always have a following and strong prices as there are so many who collect in that fashion.

If you can afford top pop for tougher type - go for it. But my own experience has been that the best increases in value are achieved for the next step down to top pop. None of the insanity for best registry.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
United States
23522 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  4:46 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have a 1910-S Lincoln which is Top Pop in the color. In the year-minus I've owned it, the Pop in grade has gone from 13 to 16. I'm looking to trade out from under it; even if the new Pop is resubmissions (likely), it's bound to eventually dilute value.
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basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  4:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:

My point being that if you wanted to cross over or resubmit, you would mess up the top pop status. The consensus numbers do not decrease with crack-outs.


Reconsideration or regrade won't up the census with PCGS. If it upgrades they move where it counts and if it's the same they stay the same. Only a true crackout and raw resubmission without returning the label would up the number
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paxbrit's Avatar
United States
992 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  5:10 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add paxbrit to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The rule is, buy the coin, not the grade. I don't have the means to buy MS 68 and 69 coins, and choose not to do so, so take my advice with a big grain of salt.

The current market has a lot of room for top pop coins, and ample buyers. As long as that remains the case, investing in one grade over another is advised. As long as you're well aware that MS 70 Anthony Dollar can lose big bucks when a bit of spotting drops it a grade, you should be OK.

I would ensure your storage area is up to snuff as to environment, temperature, humidity, etc.
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Tbone's Avatar
United States
1839 Posts
 Posted 11/06/2017  10:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tbone to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
In a nutshell this


Quote:
Top pops usually don't stay top pops for ever.
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edweather's Avatar
United States
7375 Posts
 Posted 11/07/2017  08:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add edweather to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Top pops are fun to own, but I wouldn't pay top dollar for them. More are being discovered all the time.
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paxbrit's Avatar
United States
992 Posts
 Posted 11/08/2017  9:06 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add paxbrit to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
If all collectible coins were graded, you would see a true Bell curve in the populations of the grades. As it is, mainly the better coins become graded, so the curve is really only a fraction of the true population variability.
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