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Replies: 16 / Views: 2,864 |
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Valued Member
United States
314 Posts |
I am a long-time but hobby-level collector, and for some reason I have developed an interest in finding some high grade coins, mostly Lincoln cents, as that has always been my primary interest. I am such a noob on this, I would appreciate any suggestions you would make in terms of how to tell what is worth the high prices, and what is not. For example, is "none rated higher" a key point for attaching value to a coin? Is the registry value of any relevance to long-term value if you don't have any interest in doing a registry? I'm sure there are other key points. I did a search and didn't find this exactly, so if I missed something, I apologize and I would appreciate links. Thanks in advance; I hope the topic will be of some interest to others.
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Bedrock of the Community
 United States
12477 Posts |
Quote: Is the registry value of any relevance to long-term value if you don't have any interest in doing a registry? The clear answer here is: no. Registry sets exist for competition. If you do not wish to compete, then it's probably best to not bother. There are many factors involved in deciding whether to buy a coin or not. Sometimes, that includes extant population and the spectrum of graded examples within that. It always has to be approached on an individual basis, so there's no general answer. Usually, "top pop" coins, or "none rated higher", command the highest prices.
In Memory of Crazyb0 12-26-1951 to 7-27-2020 In Memory of Tootallious 3-31-1964 to 4-15-2020 In Memory of T-BOP 10-12-1949 to 1-19-2024
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts |
Not sure exactly what your looking for but if it's just high graded coins, just buy the ones in slabs. Usually by PCGS or NGC. Usually available at most coin stores or coin shows. Get your self a copy of the Red Book by Whitman Publishing for examples of what coins have what grades. As to what is worth what, that all depends on what you think of what your shown. By that I mean you really just have to know what you want. Remember all coins are worth what is stamped on them and all other prices are basically price and demand.
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
5029 Posts |
That is a BIG question you asked.
Lincoln cents - you mean wheats? I think the first step is determining your price point. Not to shorten the answer - but to me once you know your comfort level on cost it is truly up to you to determine what coin you want in your collection. Remember the thing about a label classification and scarcity: someone submits a coin or group of your same coins that are equal or greater grades your coin is not that as special as it once was.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
10034 Posts |
Quote: I am such a noob on this We are here to help! As Spruett pointed out: Quote: Registry sets exist for competition The registry set idea was a genius marketing ploy (that is not a negative term) by TPGs to make a new and higher priced market for their products. The reality of current slabbing techniques is that if a coin is broken out, it is never guaranteed the same grade again. Be aware of this. Current systems are this subjective in nature. To people with registry sets, the subjectivity seems not to be much of an issue b/c they are enjoying having the fun of the competition as well as enjoying the coins, slabs, and TPG opinions of their coin. Fun is what a hobby is all about. While there would be some to vehemently argue my next point will never happen, history tells us never to say never if we are wise. When I was a kid the idea that someone could sell bottled water in the US, where most tap water is actually safe anyway, was looked upon as being even more insane than people buying a pet rock. Some day numismatists *might* get onto another collecting idea (go marketing department!) and the subjectivity of current slabs will be brought into focus as inferior to a "New and Improved" system. A hypothetical concept could be if a TPG would introduce a totally scientific grading system. The technology has been there for a long time. To the delight of the TPGs, everything would "need" to be regraded just like some people already have an opinion that all good coins "need" to be slabbed. Nowadays "New And Improved!" sells almost every time. The old system's registry sets would be (programmed to by the marketers) pushed as the "old" and "Inaccurate" way to bring in company profits form the same items once again. This is how a business works. Hobby trends come and go. And to make sure...my post is NOT comparing the hobby of making a registry set to pet rocks. It is just to help a self proclaimed noob member to see both sides of the facts behind TPGs. Again, people enjoy putting together these sets, and enjoyment is what a hobby is all about. This from a guy who collects insulators and date nails!
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash? Download and read: Grading the graders Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halveshttps://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
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Valued Member
 United States
314 Posts |
Thanks to everyone for the interesting answers. To clarify my angle a little bit, what got me jump started was when I was looking for some other information, and happened to notice that the PCGS price guide lists a 1957 67+RD LWC at $12,000. Now, stipulating that the PCGS guides are just that, guides, I still find that interesting. And then, again using the PCGS guide, you see that the population is listed as 1/0. So if I understand correctly, that means you have, in a sense, a unique coin, and maybe it is worth 12K. I assume that the registry set question comes into play much more if the population is low, and particularly if the population is 1. I'm guessing that while I won't generalize about all collectors, I would assume that there are at least a few registry collectors with lots of money and a fair amount of ego, which is a recipe for a high price. (This introduces a question: does the registry "quest" protect, or artificially inflate, the price?) Of course, as scopru wisely observers, the day after you buy that '57, somebody might bring a roll of them to PCGS. One thing I've noticed is that some conditional rarity coins have their highest auction price ten or more years ago. I would assume that in some of those cases, the population increased. I might also assume that this variety of collecting is subject to the same trends as all the others. To summarize, I'll never be able to afford a coin with a *mintage* somewhere in double figures. But maybe if I search, I could find a "top pop," as I think you call it, for a few hundred dollars. I'm just looking for some validation that that's a reasonable collecting goal, and also, with awareness of the complexities, trying to avoid making expensive mistakes. Again, thanks to all.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
10034 Posts |
Quote: (This introduces a question: does the registry "quest" protect, or artificially inflate, the price?) Of course it does. This is why it was so brilliant an idea for the TPG companies to implement. Competition is promoted and it also brings more attention to their product. Businesses exist to make money. And a reality check is that after they figure they have made enough money off of one idea, if they have another which will topple the previous one, or boost it even more, then they will implement it. Life has taught just how deep this concept goes. I was once naive enough to believe companies bring out their best for the marketplace. Not even close. Back when the 286 processor was being touted to the public as the most advanced computer chip in existence, my fried who worked for Smith Meter in Erie, PA handed me a 486 chip! I asked him if it was a joke or how in the world he got something that had not yet been invented. He told me part of his job was to salvage usable components off of, "obsolete circuit boards and equipment." Yes, an obsolete circuit board used in industrial applications was outdated because it used a CPU two steps ahead of what was being offered to the general public as cutting edge! Why put out the best when they could milk the masses for every cent they could over the 286 chip, and then spend years doing the same with the 386 chip? Quote: But maybe if I search, I could find a "top pop," as I think you call it, for a few hundred dollars. I'm just looking for some validation that that's a reasonable collecting goal, and also, with awareness of the complexities, trying to avoid making expensive mistakes. Since there are collectors out there who have no interest in the slabbing system, there likely are some unrecognized gems to be found. So keep an eye out, it takes diligence and a lot of time normally.
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash? Download and read: Grading the graders Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halveshttps://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
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Pillar of the Community
United States
987 Posts |
All of those points you just made are very good.
It is also very interesting to look at the grades between which the prices jump the most.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
5826 Posts |
I think your speculation in regards to the value on certain modern day coins is correct, it is overly value and am sure there's going to be some price corrections to come.
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Valued Member
 United States
314 Posts |
Again, thanks for the helpful remarks.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: Registry sets exist for competition. Only for some. Most use them to share their sets others use them as a tracking tool for their collection. Even at the highest end very few of those guys will buy something just to be number one. The digital albums that the PCGS sets now have is a big draw to a lot of people too. Quote: The registry set idea was a genius marketing ploy (that is not a negative term) by TPGs to make a new and higher priced market for their products. To be honest I think the idea was more to get crossovers to happen since you need to have your set in one company to use the registry set. There's not a lot of evidence supporting higher prices even for the top pops as a lot of the guys with top sets want top quality and will only upgrade if they truly feel it is an upgrade. Several of them such as the #1 Seated dollar set that was sold would pass on numerical upgrades because they felt the quality was superior on what they had already. Several other top sets don't use the registry at all For things like 70s where it could have played a role, there really just aren't enough registry participants to really move the needle to much. Quote: The reality of current slabbing techniques is that if a coin is broken out, it is never guaranteed the same grade again. That's not unique to TPGs, that's just grading in general. If you had a dealer grade their whole inventory then brought it back 6 months later and had them grade it again not everything would match exactly. Same with a collector, if you graded 500 coins then a different 500 and got the first 500 again a while later not every grade would match. Some of it can be from increased knowledge, seeing new versions that changed your perception of eye appeal ect. There's nothing wrong with it it's just something that applies to grading in general where once you take away the original graders knowledge of their grade it may change if they graded it again in the future. Quote: To the delight of the TPGs, everything would "need" to be regraded just like some people already have an opinion that all good coins "need" to be slabbed. Nowadays "New And Improved!" sells almost every time.
They're aware that far more collectors would just call it quits or switch to collecting pocket change then would go along with turning the system on its head. PCGS has even gone so far as to publicly state recently that they aren't switching to a 100 point scale when the rumors of that started. Quote:To clarify my angle a little bit, what got me jump started was when I was looking for some other information, and happened to notice that the PCGS price guide lists a 1957 67+RD LWC at $12,000. Now, stipulating that the PCGS guides are just that, guides, I still find that interesting. And then, again using the PCGS guide, you see that the population is listed as 1/0. So if I understand correctly, that means you have, in a sense, a unique coin, and maybe it is worth 12K. There currently are a group of wealthy collectors that want the best and are willing to pay up for it as long as they actually do believe it is the best. If they feel the pop 1/0 isn't worth it most of them will pass. Very few of the top registry guys will buy an "upgrade" just because it is grader higher. The majority of those guys when you see them talk about their sets want the best quality, that may be the pop 1/0 coin or it may be a lower graded one. I know people like to attribute a lot of the top prices to registry sets, but really those guys are building those sets out of love of the series not because of the registry. It's really much more simple in the sense that those top prices and record prices can be attributed to just simply there are some wealthy collectors that will pay up for what they believe to be the best. The two main things the registry did in terms of pricing and business in my opinion is one it gets people to cross over coins from the other company so they can be included and the other is they may buy a couple coins they wouldn't have other wise. What I mean by that is a type set registry may not have bought a series or too because they didn't care for it, but if they want to finish the registry they'd have to get the extra coin or two to do it.
Edited by basebal21 10/08/2018 5:53 pm
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Pillar of the Community
United States
509 Posts |
Here is Excerts from the PCGS price guide that may help you understand how uncertain the prices listed really are.
IMPORTANT The PCGS Price Guide prices apply only to PCGS-graded coins. The PCGS Price Guide is a guide to assist the coin buying public in determining values for all important United States rare coins. Before you use the Price Guide, you should read the following information very carefully. WHAT DO PCGS PRICES MEAN? The prices listed in the PCGS Price Guide are average dealer asking prices for PCGS-graded coins. The prices are compiled from various sources including dealer ads in trade papers, dealer fixed price lists and website offerings, significant auctions, and activity at major coin shows. Dealer specialists and expert collectors provide pricing input. Remember that the prices are just a guide, a starting point for asserting value. Some PCGS coins sell for less than the prices listed and some PCGS coins sell for more than the prices listed. COINS UNDER $10 For coins valued at under $10, even when graded by PCGS, the price listed is the value of non-graded (i.e., "raw") coins. The reason is that PCGS grading fees are more than the value of the coins, so these low value coins are seldom submitted to PCGS for grading, THE RARE COIN MARKET The coin market is volatile and thinly capitalized. Significant short-term price swings are always possible. Collectors Universe, its principals and representatives do not guarantee a profit or guarantee against a loss for any coin you buy or sell based on the information contained in this Price Guide or any Collectors Universe website. You buy and sell rare coins at your own risk. Furthermore, Collectors Universe, its principals and representatives do not guarantee the accuracy of any price in the PCGS Price Guide.
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Bedrock of the Community
 United States
12477 Posts |
Quote: The two main things the registry did in terms of pricing and business in my opinion is one it gets people to cross over coins from the other company so they can be included and the other is they may buy a couple coins they wouldn't have other wise. I definitely agree with this. My point about competition was general. Each person uses it for their own specific purpose that is unknown to me. It is basically founded on competition (at least from the TPG's perspective) for the simple fact that Set Registries are ranked.
In Memory of Crazyb0 12-26-1951 to 7-27-2020 In Memory of Tootallious 3-31-1964 to 4-15-2020 In Memory of T-BOP 10-12-1949 to 1-19-2024
Edited by spru 10/09/2018 12:37 am
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts |
Just remember that all prices of coins are sort of just a guess. Places like the PCGS prices are made to attract people to send their coins there for grading. In other words, sort of jacked up prices for their own benefit. Prices of coins in places like the Red Book too are just guesses. The only real price for a coin is what is stamped on it. Anything else is just price and demand. Possibly the only good price for a coin is what you pay for it. Lots of people use ebay prices as a guide since what a coin really sells for is what it is worth. What is rare for a coin? If you can't find one, then it's rare.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
10034 Posts |
Quote: I definitely agree with this. My point about competition was general. Each person uses it for their own specific purpose that is unknown to me. It is basically founded on competition (at least from the TPG's perspective) for the simple fact that Set Registries are ranked. You said it better than I did  @baseball Quote: Most use them to share their sets others use them as a tracking tool for their collection. Is there some sort of poll I am unaware of that has been done to know why people make registry sets? It would be interesting to know. Or are you you just guessing most people use it in this manner?
How much squash could a Sasquatch squash if a Sasquatch would squash squash? Download and read: Grading the graders Costly TPG ineptitude and No FG Kennedy halveshttps://ln5.sync.com/dl/7ca91bdd0/w...i3b-rbj9fir2
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: Is there some sort of poll I am unaware of that has been done to know why people make registry sets? It would be interesting to know. Or are you you just guessing most people use it in this manner? Users have extensively discussed them over the years on various forums including many of the owners of the top sets and even the all time finest ranked ones. 99% of us can look at a top set and see we would never be number 1 or even the top 5 to 10 due to cost and availability for many of them. If it was just competition there would be no reason to even try for the vast majority yet they still start their registry. Many have discussed how they like sharing their collection with it (you can make them not visible if you want) and the digital albums you can make with them on the PCGS one was very well received.
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Replies: 16 / Views: 2,864 |
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