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1895-O Morgan (Pic Update)

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TLS5933's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  05:42 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TLS5933 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by Morgan Fred

TLS, I'm flattered you want my opinion, but it's not worth any more than the others' opinions. It's also, as we all know, very difficult to judge a coin from an image despite what many sellers on ebay claim ("See the pictures of this high-grade coin and grade it yourself.") and also given that it's a New Orleans Morgan which are priving to give me a headache (Rick has an O-Morgan which is a killer!). Fortunately, this is just for fun.

I'm gonna and stick with my slider guess: high AU or moderately low Mint State. Again, I'm trying to second-guess PCGS, not a good idea with them. Two or three years ago, it might have come back from them as MS-63 or maybe MS-64 making it a very valuable coin indeed, but if it was graded recently, no way is it gonna go one grade higher than PCGS's Population Report's Bell curve will permit.


Fred,you have probably looked at and judged more Morgan pictures than most of us,so your opinion is important to me. Yes, pictures are hard to get a real accurate grade from,espically not knowing how of if the picture has been "adjusted" but the consensus on this coin seems to be how I felt about it also. It should be higher than it is.I thought this coin should be AU50-55.If I buy it I was going to resubmit it and hope for the best. Here's the coin.


1895-O-Morgan-Pic-Update
Edited by TLS5933
08/29/2006 05:46 am
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Tpatna's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  09:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tpatna to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks for sharing TLS5933
That was good practice for me.
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dsking's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  11:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dsking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I give up!

Good job Bryan! As for the "check thisen out", looks like they may have gray scaled the pic and yes, ruined what could have been a nice photo of a nice coin or doctored a bad coin to look good (more than likely). Whichever, it's not as nice a coin as TLS5933's to me.

I must be from old school PCGS standards!
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  3:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I honestly believe your coin is graded at least 5 points low, TLS5933. I don't believe they took into account, or even determined, the quality of the strike when evaluating the wear. As a weak strike, that coin does not have XF-level wear. The wings are almost unmolested.

Bryan, that's a circulated coin in your link, IMO. The weakness of the hair and breast suggests weakness should be visible in the claws, lower leaves, eagle's neck and it isn't. I can see the hair and breast getting circulation wear before the other areas (if you hold a coin by its' flats, do you hold it at the edge or at the center?), but as recent threads have illustrated, the lower devices on the reverse are pretty good indicators of weak Morgan strikes.
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TLS5933's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  3:11 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TLS5933 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by dsking

I give up!

Good job Bryan! As for the "check thisen out", looks like they may have gray scaled the pic and yes, ruined what could have been a nice photo of a nice coin or doctored a bad coin to look good (more than likely). Whichever, it's not as nice a coin as TLS5933's to me.

I must be from old school PCGS standards!


You can't give up,I won't let you.I will turn you to the dark side yet. Sending you a link.
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TLS5933's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  3:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TLS5933 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by SuperDave

I honestly believe your coin is graded at least 5 points low, TLS5933. I don't believe they took into account, or even determined, the quality of the strike when evaluating the wear. As a weak strike, that coin does not have XF-level wear. The wings are almost unmolested.

Bryan, that's a circulated coin in your link, IMO. The weakness of the hair and breast suggests weakness should be visible in the claws, lower leaves, eagle's neck and it isn't. I can see the hair and breast getting circulation wear before the other areas (if you hold a coin by its' flats, do you hold it at the edge or at the center?), but as recent threads have illustrated, the lower devices on the reverse are pretty good indicators of weak Morgan strikes.



Thanks Dave,
I agree,now if I can just get PCGS to go along. It's my coin now,for better or worse.
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Bryan1315's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  4:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Bryan1315 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by SuperDave

Bryan, that's a circulated coin in your link, IMO. The weakness of the hair and breast suggests weakness should be visible in the claws, lower leaves, eagle's neck and it isn't. I can see the hair and breast getting circulation wear before the other areas (if you hold a coin by its' flats, do you hold it at the edge or at the center?), but as recent threads have illustrated, the lower devices on the reverse are pretty good indicators of weak Morgan strikes.



If it is in a ANACS slab and it says MS-60 well are you saying ANACS got that one wrong? If so I am guessing you are saying ANACS chose to say that one was a weak strike and gave it a MS grade, and PCGS took the weak strike on the one TLS posted as wear when it was actually a MS coin..hmmmmm and the morgan plot thickens
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 Posted 08/29/2006  4:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add jdheyne to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have yet to look at any post past the first... and seeing there are two pages, I am sure the grade has been revealed.
The problem with grading this coin by pictures is the luster. The would help determining if it is UNC or not. Definately weakly struck. I am going to stab at a 62.

Now to see how close I am... (and instead of two seperate post, I am just going to add on here...)

Wow... XF45. I guess that is where the luster comes into play at. The 88-O I once owned, now owned by Rick was a lot flatter on the breast and above the ear, but was an UNC coin.
I still would have thought of this to been AU minimum.

Decent coin regardless...
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 Posted 08/29/2006  4:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Bryan1315 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
and with the date we are talking about a CONSIDERABLE price jump in grades
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 Posted 08/29/2006  4:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add dsking to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
You guys have now confused the heck out of me! I'm trying so hard to learn how to grade Morgans and now? Whimper, whimper! I do enjoy the comments though. I'll just have to try and sort it all out in my mind and will keep throwing in my grading thoughts and reasons and you can keep throwing yours back at me. This too will pass! ;-)
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 Posted 08/29/2006  6:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
quote:
Originally posted by Bryan1315

and with the date we are talking about a CONSIDERABLE price jump in grades



You're right, and regardless of any slab I'm unconvinced that coin is MS. The pattern of wear just doesn't work.

Having said that, the photos are absolutely impossible to come to a reliable opinion from - I could completely change my mind with the coin in-hand. I think it's, at best, inappropriate that a coin of that value ($hundreds even if only XF) should be sold with such lousy pictures.
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Morgan Fred's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  8:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Morgan Fred to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Guys and Gals, we're dealing with a triple whammy situation here. (this smilie seems to get used a lot in the Goin Grading Practice forum). First, it's a New Orleans Morgan with its characteristic weak strike which makes it appear circulated before it even left the Mint's doors. Second, the image isn't all that great. And third, we're dealing with PCGS's new standards for Morgans which leaves everyone . I truly believe PCGS's downward trend in Morgan grading is to lower the average in its Population Reports, possibly for market reasons but also possibly to tighten its reputation as a "tough grader". This is a very cynical viewpoint of a top-of-the-line TPG, but it's an opinion based on personal experience when even after I demonstrated a CC Morgan was uncirculated and not "harshly cleaned", they still wouldn't back down (hence the word, "retired" following my PCGS member number).

It very well may be we're never gonna get the grade right on most New Orleans Morgans, at least if we use PCGS as a benchmark.

I believe it's a fairly recent slab (within the past two years) with its higher number, so we can expect a lower than expected grade. Terry, I don't think it's gonna do you any good to resubmit it in its slab to PCGS, even with a Presidential Review although given the potential value of the Morgan, it might be worth the gamble of resubmission fees. Cracking it out might give you a better chance of a higher grade; I don't think even PCGS would lower the grade below XF-45. One strategy which I haven't tried myself: cracking it out of its slab, then submitting it to NGC or ANACS, then if it comes back higher, submitting it as a crossover to PCGS. I think if it were me, I'd first crack it out, then submit it to PCGS before trying other strategies. Certainly, the difference in value between XF-45 and even AU-50 of over a thousand bucks would make it worth the investment in additional grading fees.

with Dave's assessment that with this (and other similar Morgans, especially now-Rick's 88-O) Morgan, it's nigh on impossible to grade it unless it's in hand. The Morgan in Bryan's link has the same problem compounded with really bad images so that any attempt to grade it from the images is .

Fred

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 Posted 08/29/2006  8:35 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TLS5933 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks Fred,
That was my plan to crack it out and resubmit it to PCGS. I had not thought about possible sending it to NGC and then submitting to PCGS.I might try that if the first submission does not upgrade.Like you said there's a major $ difference between XF45 and AU50,it will be well worth the cost of submitting a few times.

When I first saw this coin I thought it looked under graded,that why I wanted all of the people here to see it and give it a grade.It confirmed my suspicions that it might grade higher. I will try to take better pictures and post them when I have it in my hot little hands.Who knows, I might agree with PCGS when I see it up close and personal. (I don't think so thou )
Terry
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Morgan Fred's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  9:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Morgan Fred to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Please keep us posted on this, Terry. These O Morgans are giving all of us migraines. This thread will refreshen back to the top once a new post is made. I'd really like to be able to follow through with this Morgan if for no other reason to prove me right or wrong.

Fred
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TLS5933's Avatar
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 Posted 08/29/2006  9:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add TLS5933 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Well, I'm going to do all I can to get what I think is the correct grade on this coin.Maybe to no avail.
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