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VAMs And Pricing?

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Vam Addict's Avatar
United States
31 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  3:57 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Vam Addict to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

"Higher silver prices will not offset the huge premiums associated with these vams."

In my own opinion... this is why it's good to cherry pick a majority of your coins, to keep the cost down to insure good 'turn around' sales years in the future, and also get more enjoyment and satisfaction out of your recent buys.

If you buy every coin at 'retail' value, the retail price fluctuates and changes, and the premiums out-weight the bullion value, so if the premium value drops than it's almost like instantly losing your wallet with hundreds of dollars in it. but if a majority of the coins are valued at $1,000+ but you originally bout the coin for $35, than no matter what it will have a happy ending. win/win situation. Not all coins could be cherry picked and this is when the bullet needs to be bit, and retail has to be paid for that enjoyment/satisfaction.

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 Posted 01/02/2011  3:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add zeewool to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Has government ever done anything truly right?


I jest Terry, (with a very high level of sarcasm)...


Quote:
unless new buyers come into the market


Ah, the pieces are finally beginning to fall into place for me.... (I admit, I am pretty dense about a lot of stuff)...

The mentoring, the concern for the dealer/collector symbiosis, etc... I understand now, I think.... At some point, even the collector/heirs will consider his/her collection as stock or inventory.

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Morgans Dad's Avatar
United States
5629 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  4:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Morgans Dad to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This topic is interesting in many ways, I also have pondered the "why's and how comes" of this very topic, price guides, I also see this statement, " Quote:
I would suggest that the "prices" of particular VAMs are driven more by the Registry Sets than anything. Competition for the Top Set drives pices by those who can afford it. It usually has nothing to do with true rarity"

This statement could IMO, be looked at and answered in a few ways, actually I believe who you ask, and what position or part in the hobby they hold will certainly reflect their answers.

I would agree the "competitors" of these sets and their effects on the topic as a whole, could be a direct resultant factor in this , However I see a more cynical reason behind the Vamming price guide Game altogether, I see the "DEALERS" and their effects on the topic also bearing some of this heavy load, I am NOT looking for an argument, I am giving an opinion and can NOT help feel the input from that sector of collecting has A LARGER impact than some would believe, In fact I believe there is no greater force on the input of the "pricing should be guides", than ANY other singular entity involved in the Numismatic World".I know the ended auctions are an indication of the playing field, like on MANY auction houses, I also know certain people who have an "interest" in the monetary out come of these guides are obviously going to do whats best for them, and have the collector in mind, for another reason all together. I know many here and there are dealers and are sure the comments will be Welcome, this is the way I see things Today, and this did not happen, Over-Night.... PS, What is the real driving force, which sets up these price-guides.
I personally, question everything and everyone involved for their actual input and honesty......Cynical, yes, needed, certainly!Just my opinions.....
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 Posted 01/02/2011  4:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add zeewool to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
cherry pick a majority of your coins, to keep the cost down


Yes, true, but there are ceilings and bubbles associated with this hobby it seems.

Cherrypicking seems to be getting tougher every day so I hear.... are there already too many vammers? Have the good cherrypicks already been picked?

As food sources diminish, will so too the consumers? How can you make the hungry follow you into the desert?

Is this a case of wanting the cake and eating it too?

I might think that this is an evolutionary change that will not turn around.... For those cherrypickers who got into it on the ground floor a few years ago, the good times are gone, not to return.... only scattered dreams of planned and projected gains remain.

For the high rollers who pay the premium prices, it may result in great overall loss.
Edited by zeewool
01/02/2011 4:23 pm
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Ozland's Avatar
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709 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  4:26 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ozland to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
this is why it's good to cherry pick a majority of your coins, to keep the cost down to insure good 'turn around' sales years in the future,


That's part of the equation. How good are your vamming skills and can I trust your attribution when you sell it? If I want the coin graded and attributed, who do I use? All third party companies will grade, but not all will attribute. Of the four upper tier third party grading companies who attribute, only ANACS attributes all. PCGS and NGC only attribute a few and only PCGS and NGC have registry sets.
I didn't even ask would your coin grade at any of these third party grading companies.
Unless your coins are third party graded, do you think a dealer will accept your grade and attribution on your coins when you or you heirs sell them?
Edited by Ozland
01/02/2011 4:41 pm
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Ozland's Avatar
United States
709 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  4:29 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ozland to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
For those cherrypickers who got into it on the ground floor a few years ago, the good times are gone, not to return.... only scattered dreams of planned and projected gains remain.

For the high rollers who pay the premium prices, it may result in great overall loss.


I think you are starting to understand some of the complexities of the uneasy collector/dealer symbiosis.
Valued Member
VAMsforMoney's Avatar
United States
220 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  4:33 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add VAMsforMoney to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
do you think a dealer will accept your grade and attribution on your coins when you or you heirs sell them?


Unless things change dramatically, a normal B&M dealer will not give you the time or day for your VAMS. They will hit the grey sheet. If you are implying the VAM Dealers, then of course not. They will low-ball you just like any other dealer you try and sell your coins to.

Buying from the junk bucket for bullion, and re-selling for bullion is the only true ticket to keep from getting fleeced.

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Ozland's Avatar
United States
709 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  4:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ozland to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Buying from the junk bucket for bullion, and re-selling for bullion is the only true ticket to keep from getting fleeced.


defensive vamming

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aladinslamp's Avatar
United States
3076 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  4:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add aladinslamp to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Like any hobby one must first consider how much of your value is entertainment, Coins or antique furniture, it depends on the level your buying on, whether its wholesale retail or the junk bucket. as stated any AU coin will be bought as melt value in general unless its key dates. Defensive buying is the best overall approach in any hobby.
Or one is simply over paying and unconcerned about the end game...
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Vam Addict's Avatar
United States
31 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  4:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Vam Addict to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
'Have the good cherrypicks already been picked?'

I would say No, I heard of a new comer picking an AU donkey tail for melt money. and also new rarities like Bryan's new vam-85, and the new vam-86, and so much more. it's just that the true rarity will not be realized for many years to come (how many will surface? over time)


in reply to Ozland's post: I think that if ANACS starts a registry set than they will prevail as the leading TPG/TPA in the VAM hobby just due to the fact that they will attribute any VAM out there with great accuracy. PCGS has really strict grading standards and that's why I think they are preferred right now, because the strict grading standards keep the total POP low for that variety, and rarity in such grade or 'top pop' will bring in the higher premiums and that's one reason why the dealers prefer PCGS.

As far as the 'turn around' is concerned: if cherry picked it is still raw and does not bring in the large premiums, but to buy a coin @ $35 and add $50 for slab & attribution it now cost you $85 for a premium coin valued at $1,000+ it is still a win/win situation, even if the the value dropped 50% than the out-come will still be worth while. just as long as it's slabbed & Attributed the true value is determined by the market, not the price guide, and if weighing the 'pros & cons', than cherry picking is adding to the 'pros' and buying at full retail value is adding to the 'cons'; adding a lot more pros than cons will insure the future outcome is positive for you/me.
Edited by Vam Addict
01/02/2011 4:58 pm
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aladinslamp's Avatar
United States
3076 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  5:00 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add aladinslamp to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This is true, but one must not forget the vams that were attributed long ago are not necessarily correct today, even if they presently hold the TOP POP position today, and that is the case for some coins out there..one must have the knowledge to know exactly what your buying
not only for GRADE but also for attribution....
New Member
Vam Addict's Avatar
United States
31 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  5:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Vam Addict to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
'one must have the knowledge to know exactly what your buying
not only for GRADE but also for attribution....'

Exactly, I agree 100%, but attribution is sometimes more important than the grade.

Knowledge is the key.
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SsuperDdave's Avatar
United States
23522 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  5:13 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add SsuperDdave to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Cherrypicking seems to be getting tougher every day so I hear.... are there already too many vammers? Have the good cherrypicks already been picked?


Tougher, yes. Impossible? No. Even 1921's are far tougher to cherrypick since 2005, when I started doing it. But, in the last few months I've picked a 1921-D Tru_t in AU55+ for $20; the Condition Census 1921-S VAM-1Y for $25; three Mint State slabbed 1921-P Pitted Reverses, including a PCGS MS64 VAM-41B, for normal retail; and let us not forget Bryan's cherrypick of the first new B1 Reverse in 40 years....

Honestly, it was so easy as to be almost boring when I started doing it. Now, it's far more fun, and far more rewarding, when I nail one.
Valued Member
VAMsforMoney's Avatar
United States
220 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  5:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add VAMsforMoney to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I would suggest that both attribution and grade on a holder should not be the final determining factor. As the Vam-Addict says, "Knowledge is the Key". Don't ever forget that.

Hypothetically, if I wanted to buy a 1887-O VAM-22A, let's say EDS. Could I trust what the holder says right now?
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aladinslamp's Avatar
United States
3076 Posts
 Posted 01/02/2011  5:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add aladinslamp to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
this is also very true...and why the old adage is "BUY THE COIN" not the holder for grade and attribution...
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