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Replies: 34 / Views: 4,382 |
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1450 Posts |
briefly,then profit taking and a drop to $44. Get your discretionary funds ready because this weekend may be the last time you see silver under $50 for a long time.By the way,at *:30 eastern time we are at $49.09.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2602 Posts |
I am very eager to see what happens at $50- I think it will touch and drop back to mid 40s on profit taking, but then came back again and break 50. Once it breaks 50, we are in what's called "blue clear sky" territory- it could run easily to 60-70 range most analysts predict.
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Valued Member
United States
310 Posts |
I don't know if you'll see profit taking happen at $50. I think we saw that earlier in the weak when it got close to 50 and dove down to 44 already. It was mostly flat over night and saw a spike at London open. Not sure if we'll hit $50 today, but I think we may come back to a more gradual rise pace. I think we settle in the $49 and change range for the weekend. It'll hit $50 next week.
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Valued Member
Canada
183 Posts |
Supply and demand is driving the price of silver up, Its the poor mans gold and used in industrial applications.
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Valued Member
United States
314 Posts |
Profit taking won't happen every time it gets near $50. We saw that last time. I think it will bounce around a bit. The first trip near $50, we saw the computer programs ticked to sell. Each time silver makes a move, we see new resistances.
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Bedrock of the Community
United States
10038 Posts |
I personally suspect after the 50.00 mark is sustained then it will start its upward ride more swiftly again. I think 50.00 / Oz. is a subconscious hurdle. Why? 1. Fifty is a "nice round number." 2. Fifty is perceived as a halfway point to the "nicer," larger, "round number" of 100. 3. Fifty is generally seen as - but not understood in terms of incorporating inflation into the equation - the record "record high" mark to beat and I think some people are leery of committing b/c they may have reserves (no pun) about it hitting this mark since last time it did, the price fell way down. They also might be thinking massive amounts of people will dump what they have at the nice round number 50 and therefore flood the market and drop prices (which I do not think could happen b/c the demand is still there, our economy is still lousy - and getting worse, and I am not sure there is enough to flood the market anyway).
I also realize my speculations may be a bunch of nonsense and I may be proven wrong. This is no matter to me. I would rather have the truth than worry if I am right or wrong.
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Valued Member
United States
71 Posts |
All very good points Earl. Especially #3. People see "All time high" and might not realize that you need to factor in inflation.
I'm very interested to see how the market reacts when we finally hit $50.
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Valued Member
United States
341 Posts |
Just a guess, but I say actually closes above 50 on tuesday.
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Valued Member
United States
71 Posts |
Quote: Just a guess, but I say actually closes above 50 on tuesday.
I like your optimism!  Just so it dips to the low $40's before that!
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Pillar of the Community
United States
505 Posts |
Quote: I predict $50 silver today I predict you will be wrong... 
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
1450 Posts |
Yep Frazzle,I picked the wrong sibling for the day. Oh well,not my first time being wrong. I still stand by the last comment in my original post,better be buying,case it ain't gonna get cheaper!
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3670 Posts |
Yes, I am with GRR, probably around next week before 50, but once it cracks 1 cent beyond, the flood gates are open to 75 an oz IMO. That 50 barrier in no doubt a mental figure, esp with that being the all time high in 1980, unaccounted for inflation of course....
And lets hope all the profit taking went down at that last drop to 44, as I for one would love to see that 50 barrier broken and forgotten....
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Pillar of the Community
United States
3592 Posts |
Let me flip a coin..just as reliable these days and doesn't require reasoning or in depth analysis 
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Pillar of the Community
 United States
2448 Posts |
Naaahhhh, been bouncing around all afternoon. The big 50 is a real level of resistance. I'm thinking next week depending on the dollar. I'm listing some anyway right after I call APMEX.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
1026 Posts |
Well silver is losing ground today and gold is going CRAZY today.
Maybe silver will come back up some yet today who knows.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
4008 Posts |
Quote: People see "All time high" and might not realize that you need to factor in inflation. - GearDaddy Agreed. A more basic problem is with the word "inflation" itself. To a normal person, something gets bigger when it is inflated. In economist-speak, an inflating currency is getting smaller, at least in terms of its purchasing power. Remember those old G. Gordon Liddy gold commercials? He used to hold up a "dollar" that was about the size of 2 postage stamps stuck together to emphasize the point that the dollar was, in fact, shrinking. Dang! I wish that I had listened to him then! 
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Replies: 34 / Views: 4,382 |