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A Debt Question...

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Author Previous TopicReplies: 11 / Views: 1,611Next Topic  
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hockingzig's Avatar
United States
1450 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  11:19 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add hockingzig to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I have been thinking that with all of the changes in governments around the world(Egypt,Tunisia,possibly Libya,US break from England after the Revolutionary war)if a government changes hands by forceful overthrow and a country changes its name,which seems to happen frequently in Africa,what happens to the debt run up by the former government? Does it just go away?It seems a new regime would not want to pay off debt run up by someone else. The reason I ask this is because of the debt owed to the US by middle eastern countries,and the political instability over there,will we,as a nation,be left holding the bag for the loans made to countries that have been overthrown and new governments installed? How would that affect our own debt? Any thoughts?
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Maineman750's Avatar
United States
3592 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  11:55 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Maineman750 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Somehow I doubt we collect much of the debt owed us from any of the countries. I don't know how many times I've read about us forgiving the debt to so and so. Not sure how it would affect our debt as we are loaning money we don't have in the first place.If it were done honestly, it we be added to our debt when we loan it.But you know how the book keepers in government operate
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XavierOfGreen's Avatar
United States
2589 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  1:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add XavierOfGreen to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It depends on what the new country is. If the old state is broken up or conquered by another than the debt is lost forever, for example the Kingdom of the Two Scillies being conquered by the Kingdom of Italy. If however there is a change of government types, for example the Kingdom of France being replaced by the Republic of France, than the debt is assumed by the new state. This is part of a political theory called the succession of states (my bachelors is in political science). With the examples of Tunisia and Egypt, they have assumed the debt of the previous government because they claim to be the successor to the previous government that no longer exists or has legitimacy.
If they refuse to pay (which they havent done), then their foreign assets will be siezed by the nations that they own money to and other meseaures would be enacted to force them to pay. A good example of the consequences of a government refusing to pay debts would be Mexico in 1838, when France declared war against that country for its refusal to repay debts. As a result the French invaded and seized portions of Mexico, holding them until Mexico agreed to pay a portion of the debt.
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Tim Stroud's Avatar
United States
2661 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  6:19 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tim Stroud to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It is like loaning money to a jerk. He knows he owes you but will never repay you. It is just that simple.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  7:05 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This is a very tricky issue. Much depends on just how the government changes hands, whether the old nation fractures into some new states (think Yugoslavia), or just goes bust (think USSR).

I agree that the new state would want to pay the debt of the former state if they could. This is one way to secure political legitimacy for the new government. States, like Libya, that have oil will be able to pay their debts. Others may not be as fortunate.

In severe cases (think Greece), the state has borrowed and spent so much money that it is no longer possible for them to generate enough revenue to service the debt, let alone pay it off. The European banks are in serious trouble over this and Portugal, Ireland, Italy, and Spain are all watching with great interest. If the EU gives the Greeks a good deal on their debt, then these other countries will want the same. From what I saw on TV today, the EU does not have sufficient funds to bail them all out. They do seem to be stuck in a good money after bad scenario, though.

The US is not highly involved in Greek debt but we do have considerable banking relationships with the EU and British banks. Through them, we could be involved in these debt problems to some extent but I don't know how much. This whole situation is bad and bound to get ugly before it is all done. :-/

As to the USA ever being repaid, consider that very few countries in Europe ever repaid the US for their WW II debt. We have a history of forgiving debt but the Asians, to whom we owe a considerable amount of the debt, do not. As
the Chinese say, "May you live in interesting times"... and, brother, are we ever!

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reupman's Avatar
United States
597 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  8:04 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add reupman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
no no debt is a foggy term ill make it as simple as I can. most of our debt is not held by other countries like "china" we hold it as bonds other countries hold a small % of our debt. now most of the larger countries that stand little chance of being over thrown run this way. smaller countries debt is more likely held by the imf or world bank. There debt is never forgiven! Take Haiti when they won independence they had to pay France because France lost money because they weren't slaves anymore. that debt was paid in full 4 years ago. if Haiti could lets say go bankrupt they would no longer be one of the poorest countries on earth. debt is how we hold on to our subjects.
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hockingzig's Avatar
United States
1450 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  10:52 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add hockingzig to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks folks for all of the input! I knew there had to be a few people out there who could answer such a question. I am just an old rockhound by training,I know a good bit about them but people things I have a lot to learn!
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 06/16/2011  11:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Will we collect the debt owed to us, I seriously doubt it. Will we pay the debt we owe, I seriously doubt it....

The powers to be might as well wipe the books clean, and give every country a fresh start....

What would happen if that actually happened? The sun would probably rise as usual, people would get up, go to work, basically go about their bus as usual....

Perhaps one day we will have replicators like on Star Trek, or the ability to make anything from nothing, and none of the above gibberish will matter anymore, lol....
Edited by Silverhawk74
06/16/2011 11:09 pm
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junior e's Avatar
United States
931 Posts
 Posted 06/18/2011  09:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add junior e to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Many years ago Japan began buying up huge percentages of Hawaii's real estate and businesses, hotels, and all that they could lay their hands upon. There is already great precedence for foreign countries taking possession of United States territory. I think that eventually we will be going to China's Yosemite Park , ANWAR in Alaska will probably have mineral rights signed over to China. All of the toll roads across the country will be cash registers for China ( except for the ones that are already owned by European investors). Our country is so vast that many creative ways can be found to collect money on our travel (perhaps a China tax on all continental air, bus, and rail travel). Even the deed on your property is not absolute forever ownership of your property. You have a certificate of deed, and the Government actually has the deed on your property. They can throw you off of your land at their price at any time if it is in the national interest to do so. In Austin, Tx they would never let a lot of farm and ranch owner's develop anything on their rural property. The Gov took over a lot of farmland and they now hold golf courses, hotels, shopping centers, etc. I don't mean to run on, but you get the picture. A lot of creative ways can be found to rob the public to fund Government shortcomings. They are currently talkiing about the Greek Isles being turned over to Greece's major debtors as if the Islands were completely Government property. More than likely all of that valuable coastline has been owned by families for centuries and now they will probably get the boot and entire islands will be sacrificed for debt repayment. We have a lot of coastline too that is being put at risk by our "leaders". I'm just glad to be in my fifties so I won't be around to see the country that I love go down the tubes.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 06/18/2011  8:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I'm just glad to be in my fifties so I won't be around to see the country that I love go down the tubes.

You mean that you don't think it is going down the tubes as we speak? It seems that way to me. I'm almost 62 years old now and have been observing this nation since the mid-1950s. I have seen MANY changes... and even a few improvements. For the most part, though, the changes have not been improvements.

Cheapening the US dollar has been one of the worst, IMHO. Many people do not give this a thought. A dollar is a dollar, right? Uh, no, not actually. When US coins went from 90% silver to 40% silver most people did not give it a second's thought... and we should have! The value of our money was cut to less than half of its former value with that single move. Things like that are one more step on the way to financial disaster and we should resist them at every possible opportunity.

Then, not satisfied with that, they again cheapened US coinage by removing ALL of the silver from our coins, creating basically fiat coins to go along with the fiat paper money. Gradually, over time, the value was taken from our money which allowed inflation to silently steal billions (trillions?) of the dollars that we had saved. Yet again, there was no protest over this move.

In any case, only the oldsters among us even remember what REAL money was all about and what it looked and felt like in everyday use. Flip a silver dollar into the air with your thumb and forefinger sometime and listen to the sweet music of its clear bell-like RING! To me, that is the sound of freedom ringing! Then do the same with one of those junk cupro-nickel coins... clunk.

Unlike most folks, coin and bullion collectors get it. We know that fiat money is a financial train-wreck just waiting to happen. It is not a question of IF it will happen but WHEN. Protecting our family's net worth is a job not to be taken lightly. It is a serious matter and most of us here take it in just that way.

PMs are an extremely valuable form of financial insurance that will serve us well against both inflation and financial disaster. No matter how trashed the US paper dollar becomes, PMs will continue to have increasing value. Yes, this value bounces up and down and goes sideways too because nothing in life is ever constant for very long. Over the long term I would FAR rather preserve wealth with something that is real, solid, and has intrinsic value that government incompetence will not foul up. Anyone here think that the same can be said for the US paper dollar?

Paper money still has its uses and I am not demeaning them. It is only the declining value of this money that is the problem. As long as people accept paper money, not as the mere promise to pay debts in full but as payment in full itself, then it can be used to buy things that are of real value... such as PMs, tools, land, lumber, etc. It is a convenience for sure but staking our family's financial future on it alone would be a terrible mistake, IMHO.

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reupman's Avatar
United States
597 Posts
 Posted 06/19/2011  5:38 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add reupman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
umm we had no choice but to cut the silver content to 40% a dollar coin at 90% would have had $1.29 worth of silver in it. #1 #2 with out all the countries agreeing to do this there is not enough silver in the world to print the worlds coins. value to anything isn't real nothing is worth more than someone is willing to pay for it. please remember at one time aluminum was worth more than gold.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 06/19/2011  7:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Like a mixed metaphor, you are confusing value with inflation. Without fiat currency, inflation virtually never exists and a $1 silver coin would remain worth $1. Check the history books on this and you will discover that there was virtually no inflation at all in the US between 1800 and 1900. Since 1965, however, the value of the dollar, as defined by silver, has dropped from $1 to about 3 cents... in real buying power. Paper money was once backed by gold and silver. Both Gold and Silver Certificates were in widespread use. Gold and silver coins were also available for use as money. The only reason we now need trillions of declining value dollars to do the work of millions of dollars worth of gold and silver is because of inflation, a paper money effect.

Yes, I am aware of the history of aluminum and its pricing. As a retired Ph.D. level research chemist, I should be.

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