The Goal: 25,000 Rolls Of Nickels (All Searchers Welcome!)

Apologies for that being hard to read - tab doesn't show up in the posted messages I guess.

Anyway, here are some remarks:

1. Methodology: This used the 5000 roll data of Coppernickeldaddy. To determine the predicted value, I took the sum of all nearby dates found, divided by the sum of their mintages, and multiplied by the mintage of the given date. What do I mean by 'nearby'? I used roughly a 3-4 year interval centered about the date, except that I separated pre-silver Jeffersons and silver Jeffersons as two bins on their own.

2. Drawbacks: It is false to assume all dates decay uniformly like this. For instance, 1950D has a strange history. These were specifically hoarded, as I seem to recall reading in the Red Book. I wouldn't be surprised if other semi-keys (e.g. 39D) were pulled by collectors way back in the 1950s. Also, the big chunk of 1958Ds found skews the data a bit. Finally, it goes without saying that the sample size of nickels (though huge) is perhaps too limited to draw concrete conclusions.

3. Comments: Of the ten lowest mintage dates (none of which are silver), only 1950 -- in 9th place -- and 1948S -- in 10th place -- were observed more than their predicted value. Amazingly, 1958 -- the 14th rarest mintage -- greatly exceeds its prediction! And the winner is...

1952S !

This was counted true to its prediction, up to one decimal place!

As promised a week or so ago, (but not delivered until NOW!) here are TWO updates! Enjoy!

100 rolls
39 pre-1959
1 Silver Nickel (1943P (one of the most beat-up coins you will ever see!))

1 Tanzania 50 Senti (1990)

GRAND TOTALS TO DATE:

5400 rolls
2259 pre 1959 (5 most common: 1958d(217),1957d(177),1941(162),1940(149),1946(122)
86 silver nickels (3 most common: 1943P(19),1945P(16),1943S(16)
13 Buffalo nickels ((4)dateless,1920,1924,(2)1927,1928,1929,1929s,1935,1938d)
2 Proof (1987s,1993s)
3 Bermuda 5 cents (1970,1987,1996)
4 Bahamas 5 cents (1981,1998,(2)2000)
1 Belgium 1 Franc (1975)
1 Cayman Islands 10 Cents (2002)
1 Germany 50 Pfennig (1972)
1 Latvia 1 Lats (1992)
1 Mexico 50 Centavos (1993)
1 Norway 1 Kroner (1997)
1 Somalia 5 Shillings (2000)
2 Switzerland 20 Rappen (1969,1970)
1 Unidentified foreign coin (no date)
1 Cincinnati Ohio Transit Token

NEEDED TO COMPLETE SET:

38d,39d,43D,44S,50d

Here is the correct update.

100 rolls
41 pre-1959
1 Silver Nickel (1942P)
1 Liberty nickel (1901)
1 Proof (2007S)
1 Tanzania 50 Senti (1990)

GRAND TOTALS TO DATE:

5400 rolls
2261 pre 1959 (5 most common: 1958d(220),1957d(182),1941(165),1940(152),1946(123)
87 silver nickels (3 most common: 1943P(19),1945P(16),1943S(16)
1 Liberty nickel (1901)
13 Buffalo nickels ((4)dateless,1920,1924,(2)1927,1928,1929,1929s,1935,1938d)
3 Proof (1987s,1993s,2007s)
3 Bermuda 5 cents (1970,1987,1996)
4 Bahamas 5 cents (1981,1998,(2)2000)
1 Belgium 1 Franc (1975)
1 Cayman Islands 10 Cents (2002)
1 Germany 50 Pfennig (1972)
1 Latvia 1 Lats (1992)
1 Mexico 50 Centavos (1993)
1 Norway 1 Kroner (1997)
1 Somalia 5 Shillings (2000)
2 Switzerland 20 Rappen (1969,1970)
1 Tanzania 50 Senti (1990)
1 Unidentified foreign coin (no date)
1 Cincinnati Ohio Transit Token

NEEDED TO COMPLETE SET:

38d,39d,43D,44S,50d

i went through 3 boxes this past week and found a total of 7 silver nickels and one 1926 partial date buffalo. Although one of the boxes was a dud, 6 of the silver came from one box, the most ive found in a single box so far.
congrats on the v nickles cnd I havent found one of those in a while, what kind of condition are they in?
-
XoG

And, XoG, congrats on the great Silver box!

How much are the 2006 reverse ASE selling for in pcgs 70 ?

Hey Wheezy!
I found one about 1000 rolls ago, and have since found a second one.

Just finished off another two boxes (100 rolls) this afternoon (detailed update to come) but found another 38s!! Very well worn, though.