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Pillar of the Community
Libertad's Avatar
Canada
3692 Posts
 Posted 05/19/2013  10:37 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add Libertad to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I think it's time that we just take a step back and realize our surroundings. Forget what you know and try to take a Cartesian approach to what is happening in the world.

And regarding people on this forum: don't ever EVER take a person's word as gospel, especially when they talk about one thing only ad infinitum, saying "trust me: blah-blah". Most of you know what I mean but for those who don't: question everyone's opinion. If they can't back it with cold facts then they really can't be listened to. By the way, reason and logic have no bearing on volatile markets, so don't listen to people trying to wrap their head around the situation. It's untrue and I feel sorry for you if you get caught up in the whirlwind. If you're an adult you should be conscious of your decisions and be capable of making some of your own.

Question everything, even this. Thank you.
Bedrock of the Community
BH1964's Avatar
United States
10982 Posts
 Posted 05/19/2013  10:56 pm  Show Profile   Check BH1964's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add BH1964 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Thanks Libertad. Everybody is entitled to their opinion and even a broken clock is correct twice per day. I've been wrong before and will be again in the future. That is life.


Quote:
If you're an adult you should be conscious of your decisions and be capable of making some of your own.


We need make decisions and accept responsibility for the outcome, learn from our mistakes, and allow others to do the same.
ANA #R3154474
Pillar of the Community
Fat Freddy's Avatar
United States
1200 Posts
 Posted 05/19/2013  11:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Fat Freddy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Libertad--I'm 100% with you and I'll take it one step further, too.

The CCF PM forum has gotten deeply into soothsaying, intellectualizing, philosophizing, punditizing and crystal balling these days. The portion of PM forum
threads that are actually about real-life (a/k/a "physical") precious metals and bullion and devoid of all the oh-so-deep insightizing is dropping worse than
silver spot. And if (heavens forbid!) somebody starts up a thread about how they just noticed spot prices are dropping in any other CCF forum, that thread
gets moved here ("...a more appropriate forum").

I think one thing CCF could benefit from is a separate forum for threads about PM price-related political and economic developments, news, current events,
futures, commodities and all the rest of that stuff. There's more philosophizing going on in the PM forum these days than in the Philosophy Department of
Harvard University and it's starting to overpower and choke out what's supposed to be the core of the PM forum (i.e: the things that are named in the name
of the forum). I think it'd be appropriate to give the philosophers, analysts and soothsayers their own playground and give the PM forum back to the folks
who are interested in buying, selling, collecting and owning PM's.
Bedrock of the Community
basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 05/19/2013  11:49 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I think it'd be appropriate to give the philosophers, analysts and soothsayers their own playground and give the PM forum back to the folks
who are interested in buying, selling, collecting and owning PM's.


Thats not a result of anything other than people have stopped buying right now. There used to be threads left and right about new purchases and large purchases but those have gone down as has buying.

On every coin forum PM sections always have a lot of price talk, but the large down swing right now has brought the price aspect front and center as more people have stepped back and thought maybe everyone predicting 100+ an ounce silver was wrong which has slowed down purchases.

In all honesty without the price threads this section would be dead right now other than the what have you added lately thread.
Pillar of the Community
United States
3789 Posts
 Posted 05/19/2013  11:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add yup7676 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think its a good thing that we have varying views on whats happening.

I feel that those of us who have experience should share it with everyone, I know I am more than willing to share what I know and do everyday to help others, EVEN if it puts me in the minority and even if it means being greatly disliked.

I am willing to stick my neck out and tell it like it is, even if it ruffles feathers and causes people to want to avoid me. IF even a handful of people pay attention to my warning and benefit, then thats what matters to me, even more than being right.

I;ll be here as the prices dives and does nothing and people tell me I am wrong. I will also be here whenever the prices do stop falling and decide to go somewhere, (provided it doesn't go past our lifetime lol).

As both a professional trader and coin collector, I feel I must speak out and warn currently against big purchases of silver and gold going forward. I;ll keep at it until I get clear confirmation that the worst of the selling is over.

You can all dislike me and take it personal, thats fine. I will love you all the same and dont take offense at anything you say against me. :D
Pillar of the Community
Fat Freddy's Avatar
United States
1200 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  12:21 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Fat Freddy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
BB--There's definitely a lot to be said for your take on it. I believe as uncertainty has risen, buying has dropped off and that has in turn definitely contributed
to a drop in threads about non-philosophical PM subjects.

At the same time however, all the classical newbie questions about the age-old coins vs. bars quandary, stamped bars vs. poured bars, what's the "best" weight
PM pieces to stack, what's the best way to store silver to avoid toning, how to add/remove (un)wanted toning, etc ad infinitum seem to be pretty rare presently.

This may also be due to some degree by buying being down, but I think new CCF members coming into the PM forum see it as Philosophy Central these days
and I suspect that's one possible reason those old chestnuts don't re-surface with the regularity with which they used to.

I don't at all disagree with your take on the situation right now, but I still feel giving the analysts and philosophers their own playground would be a good idea.
Pillar of the Community
trout1105's Avatar
Australia
7096 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  12:48 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add trout1105 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The PM thread used to be a good read and enjoyable.
Now it's like watching paint dry
Edited by trout1105
05/20/2013 12:49 am
Bedrock of the Community
BH1964's Avatar
United States
10982 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  02:03 am  Show Profile   Check BH1964's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add BH1964 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
yup7676 wrote: You can all dislike me and take it personal, thats fine. I will love you all the same and dont take offense at anything you say against me. :D


My apologies for the nasty post in the thread on panic buying.

I will edit it so as not to sound so offensive. I get cranky now and then.
ANA #R3154474
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21786 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  02:17 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have been slowly collecting numismatic gold from ancient times to present for over thirty years.
I have about thirty gold coins, covering the last 25 centuries.

Over the decades I have seen great fluctuations in PM prices.
I keep an interest in PM prices, because they have an indirect and partial influence on the numismatic market in general.
My attitude? The outcome of thirty years of wild variation in prices?
I just go quietly on, buying according to opportunity.

I love contemplating my navel, when it comes to predicting PM prices in the future.
It is good for my soul.
It makes me feel profound.

I am also usually wrong.
Pillar of the Community
trout1105's Avatar
Australia
7096 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  02:35 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add trout1105 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
but I still feel giving the analysts and philosophers their own playground would be a good idea.

Great idea
Afghanistan sounds like just the place
Bedrock of the Community
basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  03:30 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:

I don't at all disagree with your take on the situation right now, but I still feel giving the analysts and philosophers their own playground would be a good idea.


Personally I think theres about the right amount of subforms if not maybe a few sub sub forums too many. Getting too fractured having to chase threads down everywhere that get moved ect isn't really a good thing in my opinion.

I honestly think its just nothing more than a lack of buying right now. There generally isn't really much new in the pure bullion world and right now all the ASE focus has shifted to the special set thats on sale right now as that threads on fire.

You mentioned that how to stack threads, but if people arent stacking at the moment there wont be any of those. Huge drops in prices arent going to lead to large amounts of new stackers either. When the price was on the way up or sitting in the 30s they were everywhere, but like everything else as soon as something starts losing value the fad for lack of a better term as worn off.

Think about beanie babies, they used to sell for thousands when they were hot and people all over the place were getting in thinking they would make money, as soon as people started losing money no one knew came in and it dried up. Thats not to say no one is buying coins but good number of stackers are collectors as well and have turned their focus more towards numismatic items with the price action.

Its one of those human nature things where when things are at an all time high everyone wants a piece of it which is how a lot of people get burned on all kinds of investments. When things are sliding and youre losing money just like in stocks everyone wants out and in the case of stacking only the most dedicated of stackers remain at that point.

Not to mention there was about 2-3 years of heavy stacking going on. We know that part of the population has no interest in coins or stacking which already gives a limited base. Then we know from there the constant stackers are an even smaller percentage. With 2-3 years of heavy buying theres a good number of people that just reached a point that said I have enough. Maybe some got more into coins and went to numismatic as well. The SHTF stacker though presumably has a goal they wanted to reach that they would get to one day.

Then throw on top of all of that the fact that a lot of bullion in a lot of ways is becoming more numismatic in nature aside from the ASEs and Maples. Take the Britannicas for instance, while technically a bullion round nothing about them is priced like one which gives a limited base of what can be talked about. ASEs and Maples from a bullion standpoint havent and probably wont change so theres only so much to talk about. Also like you mentioned there are a lot of threads on how to stack that can easily be found if someone looks.

Id also add that the price threads have always been here, the only reason they seem more abundant is because the buying threads disappeared. The main price threads been going on for about 3 months so its not exactly fresh and really with the downward movement price is the thing that most people probably think about first right now and imo is the most interesting part of whats happening with pms.

I will concede there may be a few more of them from people posting in the other forums and getting it moved here which is one of the downfalls of having all the different forums. New members dont know where to look and you get a ton of duplicate threads that end up getting moved. It doesn't bother me just kind of is what it is. I cant remember if you post in the threads or not but the ASE set thread and the 5 oz puck thread does occasionally get metal price talk too so some has spilled over into other topics as well.

If the price took a massive upswing though all the threads would turn to where to buy who has the best prices ect like during the sell out. The threads really are nothing more than a result of what the metals are currently doing and how people are responding to that. Its not just new people either, some is long time members who have reevaluated the market the new new movements and adjusted their actions accordingly to what they feel is best for them. Other coin forums PMs sections are pretty identical to this one as well for whats currently being discusses with some taking world politics into account more than others.
Edited by basebal21
05/20/2013 03:32 am
Bedrock of the Community
basebal21's Avatar
13014 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  03:33 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add basebal21 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Afghanistan sounds like just the place


Its really easy not to click on things since none of the titles are misleading
Pillar of the Community
Northerncoins's Avatar
Canada
2019 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  06:21 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Northerncoins to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Heard somewhere that the Gold drop is pegged to the Japanese Yen(purposely/manipulated) , as the Yen drops so will gold/silver, possibly to the $800 to $900 dollar range, just a rumor but could be a possibility.Then again might be a bunch of bunk...
Pillar of the Community
CoinsKelly's Avatar
United States
3453 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  07:09 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CoinsKelly to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I love contemplating my navel, when it comes to predicting PM prices in the future.


I can't wait to retell that to hubby. He says I crack him up with my middle of the day texts of "Gold is at xxxx!" and "Silver is at xxxx!". I would like to be a stacker but do not have the funds nor the stomach for it so I silently watch in envy those who do.

If you would like to consider me a newbie to the metals forum since I only lurk, you might be interested to know that I tend to not read most of the predictions. Only the ones that are backed up with verifiable facts are the threads I peruse and even then, I am skeptical most of the time. I tend to be cautious by nature and think that no matter what is posted, a person's tendencies will take over.
Pillar of the Community
trout1105's Avatar
Australia
7096 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  07:25 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add trout1105 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Heard somewhere that the Gold drop is pegged to the Japanese Yen(purposely/manipulated) , as the Yen drops so will gold/silver, possibly to the $800 to $900 dollar range, just a rumor but could be a possibility.Then again might be a bunch of bunk...

Your theory is a good as anyone else's Mate and it wasn't long winded either
Good on ya Mate


Quote:
Its really easy not to click on things since none of the titles are misleading

I was quite serious with that suggestion.
if the insurgents had to listen to this waffle for long enough they would run out of the hills with their fingers in their ears begging to surrender.
Pillar of the Community
traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/20/2013  07:48 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think BB's pretty much dead on. When prices were ascending I saw new posters coming in everyday by the droves. I, myself, used to post here more, but in truth, I simply get bored easily and moved on to other interests (like football, fishing and the fortean). When I noticed silver falling, I came back on to see what people were saying on the matter and opted to stay a while.

Even though this topic was probably a reaction to Yup's somewhat prolific and overly repetitive musings on PM price fluctuation, I personally see no harm in it, but precisely the opposite. He's willingly sharing his opinion on a subject that's doubtlessly near and dear to many members' hearts: making money off the sale of silver or the inverse, buying it at a good price. Getting someone's analysis on where prices may be heading seems pretty germane, right? So IMO, his posts may be a bit bombastic and mildly confrontational at times and fragile feathers have been ruffled, I'm sure, but nothing that crosses any line or CCF taboo that I'm aware of. In short, no one's forcing anyone to read his posts so what's the harm in letting the guy proselytize?
Edited by traevin
05/20/2013 10:39 am
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