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Impact Of Spot On Coins

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Author Previous TopicReplies: 15 / Views: 1,491Next Topic  
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erkle's Avatar
1119 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  04:57 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add erkle to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
with the rise of silver prices, I have started to wonder what the impact is on the book value of silver coins. I have only been doing this for a short time and am yet to learn how the price fluctuations of silver affect the value of coins.
does a coin with a book value of say $20 in vg increase at the same rates?
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sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21786 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  08:18 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
A calculator is a useful tool to get around this problem.

Have a look at the premium for a silver coin over the silver value in a catalogue Multiply the premium only by the compound inflation over the number years that are applicable.

Add the current silver value to that.

This should give you a rough guide to what the current market price for the coin should be. Check it against the price of a coin that is being offered.

In the end you have to make your decision anyway. At least you have better informed yourself.
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BluesZone's Avatar
United States
524 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  08:50 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add BluesZone to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Just my opinion but it seems a lot of semi keys get eaten up by a rise in silver prices. What had a slight premium a few years ago has basically become a common. This has shown the most in some higher grade coins not having much of a premium over lower grade melt coins.
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rgathright's Avatar
United States
264 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  2:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add rgathright to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I have been wondering about the impact of silver spot on Numismatic coins myself for awhile now too.

A perfect example would be the Australian Kookaburra Silver Coin which is going for bullion prices on ebay when graded lower than MS 69. I snag these up at every opportunity.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  2:31 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Not really sure but I've never really noticed any types of price differences over the years except the normal increase I would expect from just normal inflamatory systems. I do know that Gold coins are now much, much higher that ever before in the past but for some reason I don't see massive increses in Silver coinage the same way. As an example of this I used to always be able to buy standard, everyday, common Mercury dimes for about $1 or less. But that was several years back. Now at almost any ocin show or flea market, those same coins are going for about $3 or less. I really think that would have happened even if Silver would have stayed at about $7/ounce. If for some reason Silver prices drop, I highly doubt those same Mercury dimes will go back to the $1 ranges.
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United States
306 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  4:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add VetStudent to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Even with all the coins that have probably been melted in the recent past I would be surprised if it raised the numismatic value of any of them.
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CaptainFwiffo's Avatar
United States
4132 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  4:40 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CaptainFwiffo to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
It depends on how bad the spot is.
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enworb's Avatar
Australia
4411 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  9:09 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add enworb to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't think the numismatic value would increase with silver price much. If it is $20 in VG and the the silver melt value of all coins of that denomination becomes $25 I don't think you would get much extra just because its a key date. If spot stayed at a high price for a long period it might adjust itself though. I have not done research though and this may prove otherwise.
Edited by enworb
02/03/2012 9:10 pm
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trout1105's Avatar
Australia
7096 Posts
 Posted 02/03/2012  9:18 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add trout1105 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The big advantage of a high silver price is that a heap of scarcer coins are offered up for sale to take advantage of the silver price.
I picked up some really nice key and semi key dates when the price went up over $40 for close to melt.
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shoebox76's Avatar
United States
3 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  12:22 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add shoebox76 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Why are so many people high on Mercs? Are they rare or something? To me, dealing with dimes as 90% is a pain because they are so tiny. I can't understand how they would keep a premium over any 90% coinage.
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  03:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
does a coin with a book value of say $20 in vg increase at the same rates?

No.

A coin has three components of value:
  • face value--what it can be spent for
  • PM value--what the refiner will pay
  • collector value--"book" price


The value is whichever of these is the highest, not the sum of them.

If a Barber half was worth $5 when silver was $10 an ounce, that's its "true" collector value. If you buy one today for $10 thinking you're getting a great price on it for your collection, you're not thinking clearly.

Yes, you got a good price vs its PM value, which is the highest of the three at the moment, but if silver drops back to $10, you've got a $5 coin again. If you wouldn't have paid $10 for it back then, that's not its collector value today, either. Today's book value reflects the PM value on most issues.
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erkle's Avatar
1119 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  06:03 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add erkle to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
interesting replies and points to ponder.
when spot climbs its time to use the book for buy prices, and vice versa for when spot falls is how I will start looking at it.
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biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  06:17 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
One year, the Bluebook listed proof sets higher than the RedBook, which came out earlier.
Bedrock of the Community
United States
20753 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  12:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Why are so many people high on Mercs? Are they rare or something? To me, dealing with dimes as 90% is a pain because they are so tiny. I can't understand how they would keep a premium over any 90% coinage.

1. One of the best designed Obverse side coins we have in the USA
2. Not to bad a Reverse either.
3. Not necessarily rare or even difficult to find but recent enough that most required to complete a set are always available
4. They are small though but still large enough for nice details.
5. No a real lot of varieties to make it a mess in order to complete as with Lincoln Cents or Large Cents.
6. Only from 1916 to 45 so also, not a real lot to worry about as with Quarters, for example.
7. Small enough to easily steal.
8. And they are just pretty too.

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terrib's Avatar
United States
67 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  3:02 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add terrib to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
@rgathright - why would the Australian Kookaburra go for more than spot? Isn't it just a bullion coin or am I missing something?
Rest in Peace
biggfredd's Avatar
United States
9104 Posts
 Posted 02/04/2012  4:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add biggfredd to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Many coins start out as bullion and gain collector value.
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