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Gold Tumbles Into Bear Market On Concern Greece May Leave Eu

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Pillar of the Community
traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  11:23 am Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
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Silverhawk74's Avatar
United States
3670 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  12:36 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Problem with those mean old grumpy bears strait out of hibernation, they wanna claw you back down....

You mess with my girlfriend she will CLEARLY tell you you mess with the bull you will get the horns....

The G@S market could sure use a couple horns up days just to settle the masses an calm morale perhaps. Maybe it is that two month sideways line, proceeded by what seems like a never ending fall. To be honest, I can't recall two good days in a row for the Pm world since early new year seems like....

For now I am not gonna worry about the bull market, an just buy up when I can in the bear market, but guess what I am out a job, so shafted either way, lol....

Just like Pinky an the Brain, back to the ol drawing board eh.....
Edited by Silverhawk74
05/16/2012 12:38 pm
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coinwatch's Avatar
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  1:58 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
That was a sobering read. There does still seem to be support for Au @ 1500USD. Of course, more bad news (ie: confirmation that Greece is actually leaving the Euro) could break though that fragile number very quickly. Percentage wise, Ag has taken an even bigger hit so far than gold. I'm usually the most optimistic guy around when it comes to PMs...but the bears aren't messing around this time. I'm having to seriously rethink my "buy into the drop" strategy.
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traevin's Avatar
United States
1454 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  2:16 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
coinwatch,

I know what you mean. It may make more sense to wait and see where things settle than use the typically wise standby of dollar cost averaging at the moment. I believe we have a ways to go before hitting bedrock. Maybe as low as $21-23, even. Of course, if I'm right, we can expect a dead cat bounce somewhere in there to get people thinking we've found the bottom; but I feel it's bull hunting season and the bears have all the ammo.
Pillar of the Community
United States
619 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  2:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CPC24 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I've been short on cash lately. Otherwise, I would have bought several ounces of silver by now. I even had to sell what little gold I had. Now, I'm sort of glad I was broke!
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Tim Stroud's Avatar
United States
2661 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  5:54 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Tim Stroud to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I personally am enjoying this slide in silver. I try and buy 6-8 ounces a week, if I can find them during these price dips. But then again I am not buying to make a quick buck either. Been buying Ag since 2001 so I have stoked a nice pile of cheap silver over the years. But since 2009 I have accumulated as much over these last 4 years as I would have bought in almost any 6 month period between 01 and 09. I'll keep buying as price drops, but at this point I don't think I want to see the days of $170 tubes of ASE's again either.
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Ed_B's Avatar
United States
4008 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  8:08 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Personally, I think that anyone who didn't recognize the obvious that Greece would leave the EU 6-8 months ago probably needs some professional help. Anyone who is running money or working in politics should be more than well aware of such things. This is about as big a surprise that it snows in Dec-Jan in the northern US. This thing has been on the boil for a while now. It's really only a matter of time and all the brouhaha out of the EU about Greece is basically just deciding WHEN it will happen. A MUCH better question is whether or not Spain and Italy will join Greece in exiting the EU.
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614 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  8:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tzarmarko to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Now dont bite my head off or anything, but I personally do not like the EU. Otherwise, the EU is like a Jenga game. If you pull one out, the whole thing comes crashing down. So folks, get ready for Greek Drachami's, French Francs, Spanish Pesetas, Italian lires, and Polish Groshen in the next 3 years or so. :P
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 05/16/2012  9:47 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Great Britain decided that they would not join the Eurozone in the first place.

Thatcher basically said that she would not see GB join the EEC unless that it was over her dead body.

Their currency is now under less threat than that of the Eurozone countries.

China and the USA - one currency: Now THERE is an idea!
Edited by sel_69l
05/16/2012 9:50 pm
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coinwatch's Avatar
United States
808 Posts
 Posted 05/17/2012  12:23 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
China and the USA - one currency: Now THERE is an idea!


Back in the 80s someone suggested taking the US dollar and the Japanese yen and creating a new "dollen" currency. It's probably a good thing that never happened.

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Silverhawk74's Avatar
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3670 Posts
 Posted 05/17/2012  1:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Silverhawk74 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
If we could get past our cultural differences(all humans fear all that is different just their human nature until they take the time to familiarize themselves with each other), then I think CW an Sel's thought could come to pass....

No doubt China needs the USA, an the USA needs China. If they could unite an combine currency an look past the religious beliefs (to each their own, you believe what you want as will I if anything at all), then together with the help of other key nations like England, Canada, Australia, France, then they could rid the world of all the terrorism in the middle east, instead of working against each other....

Now that may be a way unrealistic idea, but it sure sounds good on paper. Communism worked on paper not such much in long term practice as we have seen. I figure this would work, but of course the fore mentioned type of government could be the huge barricade keeping that merger from ever taking place....
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barryg's Avatar
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5858 Posts
 Posted 05/17/2012  2:27 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add barryg to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
So... If Greece pulls out of the EU, does this mean they can no longer use the Euro and have to start minting their own coins again?
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traevin's Avatar
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1454 Posts
 Posted 05/17/2012  2:41 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add traevin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
So... If Greece pulls out of the EU, does this mean they can no longer use the Euro and have to start minting their own coins again?


Yep. It drachma vu, all over again.
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Ed_B's Avatar
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4008 Posts
 Posted 05/17/2012  6:37 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Ed_B to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Now that may be a way unrealistic idea, but it sure sounds good on paper.

Does it? Remember that the Chinese do not have any kind of ethics drummed into them when they are young. Building trust with such people would be difficult and dangerous. Remember, Hawk, that these are some of the "the ends justifies the means" crowd and they do not much care what means are used to achieve their ends.


Quote:
Thatcher basically said that she would not see GB join the EEC unless that it was over her dead body.

Well, now that her body IS dead, would this be workable? No, probably not. The average Brit probably thinks that the UK has enough troubles of its own without adding any from the PIIGS or others who want to leach off of their treasury.


Quote:
So... If Greece pulls out of the EU, does this mean they can no longer use the Euro and have to start minting their own coins again?

Yes, it means exactly that and a lot more. Among them: 1) it will become difficult and expensive for Greece to borrow any money for a long time; 2) their bonds and all other financial instruments that were denominated in euros are probably null and void; and 3) if they want to trade with any countries still in the EU, they will have to first convert their drachmas into US dollars or perhaps euros and who knows what the exchange rate will be for that.

IMHO, the bottom line is this... Greece leaving the EU will be the very best thing possible for the Greek people but the worst thing possible for the EU bankers. Personally, I am rooting for the Greek people and not the bankers.

When the USSR collapsed, there wasn't a lot of fanfare about it as I recall. A few years afterwards, Russia and the newly liberated countries that resulted from the break-up of the USSR seemed to be doing pretty well for themselves. This is a way to repudiate debt, reorganize their finances, and get on with their lives without being saddled forever with a debt that cannot be paid. In that regard it is no different from a company going bankrupt, although it is usually on a MUCH larger scale.
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coinwatch's Avatar
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808 Posts
 Posted 05/17/2012  7:22 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add coinwatch to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Greece leaving the EU will be the very best thing possible for the Greek people but the worst thing possible for the EU bankers. Personally, I am rooting for the Greek people and not the bankers.


Actually, would Greece leaving the "Euro zone" necessarily mean also leaving the EU? For example, the UK isn't part of the Euro zone but they *are* members of the EU.

If Greece leaving the Eruo also meant potentially losing EU membership altogether, that would be even more catastrophic blow to the Greek economy. Regardless, I'm stunned by this ongoing epic failure of Greek leadership.

Of course, it's important to remember that for some fringe political elements in Athens the Greek crisis is seen as opportunity, much like how the economic chaos following WW1 triggered the Russian civil war that ultimately brought the Bolsheviks to power. It's risky, either way. Exiting the Euro could mean a fresh start...or it could be an ugly trap that could doom Greece to an even worse future. The die is cast, we're just waiting to see what number comes up. Scary times.
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KenKat's Avatar
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4085 Posts
 Posted 05/17/2012  8:23 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add KenKat to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The challenge with the Euro is that it is very difficult to have a single common currency without any common economic policy or standards between the member nations. In the old days, if the Greeks spent too much, the drachma would weaken relative to the German mark or British pound and you'd need more drachmas to buy goods from England or Germany. Although a weak currency is generally a bad thing, it is a way to reduce debt burden and so the system would self balance itself. Greeks would get high inflation and a lower standard of living in exchange for reducing the real value of their debt. In other words, if the Greeks messed up, it mainly affected Greece and those who lent them money.

Now, with the Euro, the exchange rate can't change and Greece gets "stuck" with debt that it cannot pay off and cannot inflate away. This then creates a cascading effect that affects all economies tied to the Euro. For example, Germany doesn't want a weak Euro (relative to the dollar or pound) but this is exactly what Greece needs. Something has got to break somewhere and I am thinking it is going to be a little ugly.
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