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Replies: 26 / Views: 4,159 |
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Valued Member
 Australia
315 Posts |
Merging into a country that already has an existing TPG company already operating could be disasterous for NGC or PCGS. I do agree that only one of those two will survive after they keep cutting there heads off to out do each other.
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Pillar of the Community
Australia
852 Posts |
Here in Australia PCGS has the lead NGC is trailing and the other reputable slabbers are a mile behind. No real chance that a local outfit could start up (excluding the likes of APCGS and other slime). As for the winner in 10 years? Not certain, that is why I won't reslab my NGC coins into PCGS, why spend the money now only to find that PCGS might stumble. But my raw coins will all go PCGS until the race has one winner.
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Valued Member
Australia
134 Posts |
Very disappointed that ANACS doesn't rate a mention in this discussion, given that they are America's oldest service and attribute all VAMs, not just the select few.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
7840 Posts |
Anacs holders are terrible. They produce good results with grading and attribution, they need to rethink their holders.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: Very disappointed that ANACS doesn't rate a mention in this discussion, given that they are America's oldest service Only in name. Theyve been sold so many times to different groups its not the same company, PCGS and NGC are both much older.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
627 Posts |
Quote: But the winner between the two - and mark my words, only one of PCGS or NGC will exist in ten years - will be the one who exploits the Far East more effectively. I agree with the assessment of the importance of the Far East, but I don't agree with the prediction that only one of PCGS or NGC will exist. They have both existed quite strong since the mid-1980s (almost 30 years now). I don't see why one or the other would have to go away for them to both remain successful. That's sort of like saying only Coke or Pepsi will exist in 30 years -- not both. Why? What evidence would suggest such a severe outcome?
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Pillar of the Community
United States
2543 Posts |
Quote: That's sort of like saying only Coke or Pepsi will exist in 30 years -- not both. Why? What evidence would suggest such a severe outcome? That is because Coke and Pepsi can make all the soda they can sell, there are only so many U.S. coins that can be graded. New U.S. coins coming on the market for grading, will not sustain PCGS, NGC, ANACS and ICG. They will not even sustain one of those companies. Hence the expansion into foreign markets. If in fact the two companies do exist in ten years, it will be because one company bought out the other and kept both nameplates alive.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
627 Posts |
The two companies together over the past nearly 30 years have graded less than 30 million coins each. That's world and US coins. There is no sign of "slowing down" of grading of US coins (or re-grading of US coins). I don't think they are going to run out of USA coins to grade in the next 10 years...but expansion into World Markets is a clear next step. Regardless, none of this expansion into other markets precludes there being two companies who can successfully do this. I'm still waiting for your "evidence" or what makes you think that this is the guaranteed outcome. I'm just wondering, because 25 years ago everyone said that the grading/slab companies wouldn't be around in 10 years either -- now here we are 25 years and 60 million coins later.  No one can know the future, and making such silly comments is just a WAG.
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Bedrock of the Community
13014 Posts |
Quote: New U.S. coins coming on the market for grading, will not sustain PCGS, NGC, ANACS and ICG. They will not even sustain one of those companies. Hence the expansion into foreign markets. Foreign coins was a logical next step of expansions. The supposed lack of US coins in my opinion is very overblown. It may not be at the peak, but walk into any show and theres piles and piles and coins unslabbed. Which also doesn't address the fact that 10-20 years from now those coins from the 60s-70s wont seem so modern anymore. At some point interest in those is going to pick up. US coins havent slowed to the point that PCGS or NGC are in trouble. New collections hit the market all the time as well. I agree they would have to downsize if their only market becomes bulk ASE grading, but thats not what were seeing right now. As far as ANACS theyll be fine as long as they have the HSN contract. ICG is really hanging on by a thread right now anyway and would agree theyll fade away at somepoint though they could probably keep going as a small mom and pop type operation if they wanted. Its entirely possible PCGS or NGC more successfully captures the international market which drives the other one out of it, but its such a massive market its very easy to carve youre own niche out of it. You could just see PCGS take the far east while NGC gets Europe or South America. Theres a million different ways it could play out that dont lead to the Highlander conclusion of there can only be one.
Edited by basebal21 02/03/2014 5:07 pm
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Valued Member
72 Posts |
Imo NGC has been dropping the ball the last couple years. Clearly misgrading and an astounding amount of misattributing varieties. I have respect for them but they can't keep with PCGS. Not only that...ANACS has been real solid. I've seen nothing but solid grading from them and having JR for the attributions doesn't hurt. One thing I will say is PCGS is rodney...they charge too much (imo) to slab coins...not to mention if you need attribution. It just doesn't make sense sometimes. Yes...its clear they do command premiums and my major varieties and high grade pieces will be in PCGS plastic. Not to mention the steps they are taking with security ie their new slabs. ANACS has great fair prices and they do a great job. A lot of people use ANACS...especially for varities...but they are just not at the height that PCGS is. I only use ANACS and PCGS...will I buy an NGC coin..yes of course. Will I send one into them...no. Especially if its a variety. I will say...I really really like how they "slab" GSA coins....I really dislike how PCGS and ANACS does theirs. The plastic housing is too much and the cheap sticker looks...well cheap. But NGC....really needs to step up. Far too many problems. They have the ability to fix it...they are big enough.
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Pillar of the Community
United States
627 Posts |
Quote: Imo NGC has been dropping the ball the last couple years. Clearly misgrading and an astounding amount of misattributing varieties. I have respect for them but they can't keep with PCGS. Not only that...ANACS has been real solid. I've seen nothing but solid grading from them and having JR for the attributions doesn't hurt. One thing I will say is PCGS is rodney...they charge too much (imo) to slab coins...not to mention if you need attribution. It just doesn't make sense sometimes. Yes...its clear they do command premiums and my major varieties and high grade pieces will be in PCGS plastic. Not to mention the steps they are taking with security ie their new slabs. ANACS has great fair prices and they do a great job. A lot of people use ANACS...especially for varities...but they are just not at the height that PCGS is. I only use ANACS and PCGS...will I buy an NGC coin..yes of course. Will I send one into them...no. Especially if its a variety. I will say...I really really like how they "slab" GSA coins....I really dislike how PCGS and ANACS does theirs. The plastic housing is too much and the cheap sticker looks...well cheap. But NGC....really needs to step up. Far too many problems. They have the ability to fix it...they are big enough. Are you referring to NGC "dropping the ball" with regard to attribution of USA coins? I can only attest that in my personal experience for world (non-USA) coins, NGC makes far fewer mistakes than does PCGS regarding attributions. My personal experience has been that rates of errors are about the same for USA coins between the big-2. As mainly a non-USA coin collector, all other things being equal, I would almost always prefer my coins in NGC slabs. The exception may be some of the Colonial Spanish (8 reales) issues, where PCGS seems to be a bit stricter on luster requirements. Not to mention, the customer service at NGC is leaps and bounds better than PCGS. I own around 650 coins that are slabbed, about 60% NGC and 40% PCGS. So, clearly, I don't care the "flavor" of plastic -- but everyone has their preferences I think. I will say having been active on both of their respective forums for the past few years: people who frequent the NGC site seem to be more level-headed and open to the idea that the coin is what really matters. Several on the PCGS boards are dogmatic tunnel-vision robots who think that the only coins worth collecting are those already in PCGS plastic. I say, keep having that mentality -- it means I can get some screaming good deals on non-PCGS coins without their competition. 
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Replies: 26 / Views: 4,159 |