quote:
Originally posted by Errorcoins
I don't think even you know how these varieties will co in the future, so only time will tell.
Now before we start, ask yourself this. ND makes a living buying and selling coins. Why doesn't he offer this type material? Why does he not ask me to part with my money on modern coins? Why isn't he telling me to spend my hard earned money slabbing modern coins? What monetary purpose is in this for him for giving away the advice?
Do you know why most dealers do not participate in online forums? Let me answer this one. It is frustrating trying to help. People by nature think that they know everything. Why listen to someone who does this for a living? They say things like: "I have been collecting for 3 months, what does this dealer know"? So take this advice as you will. However, a year from now, do not come complaining that you did not know better.
Do I have a crystal ball that can predict the future? Nope. However, history is a pretty good scale to use. Since 1972 collectors have been looking for something to bring coins back into favor. The
Statehood Quarters managed to stir the pot quite a bit, and has brought many new collectors into the market. Since that time, the internet has sprung into favor.
People are hoping for anything and everything. They break out the microscope and find all sorts of little thing wrong with their coins. Publications like
CoinWorld also "need" something special to sell magazines.
Let's face facts, there has not been a major error since the 1972 Cent. (exception 2000 Sac-Washington mule) All others have been fads. Internet users promote these coins on auction sites and they spike in value for a while, and then fall to the wayside. These coins are novelty at best.
They attract new collectors hoping for a future market. The business end of the hobby also takes advantage of this. PCGS sells their signature series and people jump on it. TV and magazines promote junk every day and still people fall for this myth.
There is nothing wrong with varieties, and the search for them. Cherrypickers list many such coins, but that does not make them valuable. Even the highly touted
VAM varieties fall into a niche market. It takes much more than a die crack to make something an error.
Now I could be like some dealers and blow sunshine up your skirt and tell you how fantastic these things are, but that wouldn't make it right.
Modern coins rely on ultra grades and hype. Simple as that. Anyone falling for this is just setting themselves up for a major heartache.
Now for the nickel series. The Mint started using nickel in coins in 1859. Nickel is a very hard metal. Die deteriation is a common fact. Look at any coin containing nickel and varieties are more common place than not. Find any
Shield nickel in perfect condition and you have done something.
Eliminate the internet out of the equation and what do you have? These modern coins have NO real long time value. They do not share the stuff of the
Morgan dollars or Saints.
My inventory is full of rare coins. These are not rare because of
CoinWorld articles. They don't need
ebay promotion. They don't need major ads in any publication. They are simply rare.
The 1895
Morgan dollar is rare. You don't need any high grade, you don't need ads, you don't need anything to know that this is rare. It commands a "real" value due to this rarity.
The
Gobrecht dollars are Rare. Irregardless of grade, these coins command a hefty price.
THEY ALWAYS HAVE. All these modern coins have going for them is the internet. They are not being bought and sold by mainstream dealers. This should be a clue. When the extra leaf quarter was all the rage, I called a group of dealers to find out their "buy" prices, and guess what? No one would even touch them.
Now the Bison collectors state well these are ERROR coins. Well Mike Byers and Fred Weinberg are the two biggest error dealers in the world, yet neither keep these "superb" error coins in their inventory? Ever ask yourself why?
Even with all the
CoinWorld articles about the Bison Nickel, it seems that
ALL the experts say the same thing. That minor errors are COMMONPLACE. Ever hear any expert talking about long term value? Again you must ask yourself why.
There is nothing wrong with searching through rolls or bags to find these pieces, but if you are paying a
PREMIUM for these,
YOU WILL get your feelings hurt in a very short time.