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Year End Predictions For The Price Of Silver?

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thecoinguy1964's Avatar
United States
1308 Posts
 Posted 01/23/2015  8:08 pm Show Profile   Bookmark this topic Add thecoinguy1964 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message Number of Subscribers
I don't understand today's value(low in my "guesstimation"), the investor side of me wants it to rise, but the hoarding side of me wants it to remain low.

*** Moved by Staff to a more appropriate forum. ***

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Celticsoul's Avatar
United States
1566 Posts
 Posted 01/23/2015  8:15 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Celticsoul to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I remember when silver was trading at $3.54 an ounce and gold was at $355. Maybe I'm just old.
Edited by Celticsoul
01/23/2015 8:15 pm
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Lucky Cuss's Avatar
United States
4883 Posts
 Posted 01/23/2015  8:48 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Lucky Cuss to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
If there's no surprise economic/monetary break, or geopolitical disaster (and those are big ifs), the medium term chart for silver suggests something like $12-15 later this year. But fortunes are made and lost when unexpected events make a mockery of technical analysis.
Colligo ergo sum
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CL_'s Avatar
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 Posted 01/23/2015  9:56 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CL_ to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Was reading the other day in the WSJ about how prices for commodities such as gold and silver fall with the price of oil. Makes sense since oil is used to produce gold and silver. My bet is that prices will continue to decline until oil rebounds.
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thecoinguy1964's Avatar
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 Posted 01/23/2015  10:21 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add thecoinguy1964 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
If that's the case, I feel all heck is about to break out in the middle east, with the fall of Yemen, and the passing of Saudi Arabia's King. I see the price of oil going well over the $100 barrel mark. I'm not a commodities expert by any means, just read a lot & I just don't have my head in the sand. Pray for our service men over in harms way! Thanks for any and all comments once again, you are a very bright group of minds.
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 Posted 01/23/2015  10:32 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add Groszy to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
This might belong more in the PM sub-forum...

Anyway, the market outlook showed silver/gold to be low the first half of the year, and then higher the second half. The SNB unpegging their currency has caused a massive shock. I've got some silver I'd like to sell, to then reinvest when silver falls. However, I'm concerned about silver continuing to rise, especially due to the SNB and the Euro beginning QE.
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CL_'s Avatar
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 Posted 01/23/2015  10:44 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CL_ to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Also a good point. In Wednesday's paper there was an article on gold rising in response to the Euro decline. Who knows these days.
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DoubleEagle20's Avatar
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 Posted 01/24/2015  01:38 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DoubleEagle20 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I think in the $30-$35 range. As the currency war heats up, gold and silver will go up.
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punman's Avatar
Canada
849 Posts
 Posted 01/24/2015  1:14 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add punman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Was reading the other day in the WSJ about how prices for commodities such as gold and silver fall with the price of oil. Makes sense since oil is used to produce gold and silver. My bet is that prices will continue to decline until oil rebounds.


I don't get the "oil is used to produce gold and silver."

Common thinking is that crude oil (and natural gas) were formed by the compression and heating of ancient organic materials over many millennia. I live in oil-rich (and now cash-poor) Alberta Canada. We are known for our oil. Not our silver and gold. Canada mines silver and gold - yes. But Alberta is not famous for that.

Gold and silver are minerals. You can find them on the periodic table. But how do you use oil to produce silver and gold? Albertans would like to know. Oil prices have been cut in half in recent months and the govenment can't balance the books. I do not work in the oil industry so maybe I am missing something. What is the secret formula to produce precious metals from oil?
Bedrock of the Community
United States
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 Posted 01/24/2015  1:20 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add just carl to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I remember when silver was trading at $3.54 an ounce and gold was at $355. Maybe I'm just old.

Hardly old. Some time back when I got married I purchased a Gold charm bracelet for my wife. One charm for each important date so for the first kid, one charm that was an ounce. Back them I really had to come up with a lot of money since Gold was $35/Ounce so that charm was almost $50.
My prediction for Silver at the end of 2015 is either $5/Ounce or $100/Ounce or somewhere in between.
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fistfulladirt's Avatar
United States
4333 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2015  07:20 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add fistfulladirt to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Silver...already one of the top performing commodities for 2015, up about 16% over it's low of $14.16 in December 2014. I predict a flat $16-$18 for all of 2015.
When I listen to LED ZEPPELIN...so do my neighbors...
Roll hunting since '77
Dirt fishing since '72
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CL_'s Avatar
United States
98 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2015  12:30 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add CL_ to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I don't get the "oil is used to produce gold and silver."

Common thinking is that crude oil (and natural gas) were formed by the compression and heating of ancient organic materials over many millennia. I live in oil-rich (and now cash-poor) Alberta Canada. We are known for our oil. Not our silver and gold. Canada mines silver and gold - yes. But Alberta is not famous for that.

Gold and silver are minerals. You can find them on the periodic table. But how do you use oil to produce silver and gold? Albertans would like to know. Oil prices have been cut in half in recent months and the govenment can't balance the books. I do not work in the oil industry so maybe I am missing something. What is the secret formula to produce precious metals from oil?

To clarify what I meant about produce: the oil is used in the equipment that extract ore, refine it, transport it, etc. That stuff is heavy so transportation and extraction would logically use a lot of gas/ diesel! No alchemy here
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punman's Avatar
Canada
849 Posts
 Posted 01/25/2015  6:28 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add punman to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
That make more sense. Oil and gas are consumed in the mining and refining of gold and silver. Not in the making of gold and silver as the original comment appeared to be saying.
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MontanaCMR's Avatar
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606 Posts
 Posted 01/27/2015  11:01 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add MontanaCMR to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
DoubleEagle20, given silver has increased 3% on average per year over the past 100 years, $30-$35 seems pretty high given it's already up 16% for the year.

I realize things change, but can't see myself even considering paying $35 for an ounce of silver in the near future.
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denco7's Avatar
United States
2543 Posts
 Posted 01/27/2015  11:43 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add denco7 to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
silver has increased 3% on average per year over the past 100 years, $30-$35 seems pretty high given it's already up 16% for the year.


It also dropped from a high of $49 in 2011 to a low of 14+ in 2014.
If you factor in inflation, Silver would have to have to be well over $100/oz just to equal the inflation adjusted value of silver in 1986, the start of the ASE program.


Quote:
I realize things change, but can't see myself even considering paying $35 for an ounce of silver in the near future.


Maybe not you, but in 2011 when silver hit $49 the mint sold 40 mil ASEs, 970,000 proofs and 400,000 UNC. The market will be there no matter the price.
I see $30 this year, back down to $20 by year's end.
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tkbslc's Avatar
United States
1158 Posts
 Posted 01/28/2015  02:31 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add tkbslc to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I don't think it moves above $20 and may try to push below $15 again.


Quote:
If you factor in inflation, Silver would have to have to be well over $100/oz just to equal the inflation adjusted value of silver in 1986, the start of the ASE program.


How do you figure? Silver was about $5.50 in 1986. That's about $12 in 2015 dollars.
Edited by tkbslc
01/28/2015 02:32 am
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