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£50 Banknote Should Be Terminated

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Pillar of the Community
redlock's Avatar
Germany
992 Posts
 Posted 04/08/2016  04:52 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add redlock to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Is there anyone on this forum that agrees that the £50 banknote should be eliminated?


Someone will ultimately probably agree. It won't be me though.

If the £50 note is indeed rarely seen in circulation in the UK it can only mean it's used to store value. Considering the recent political uncertainy in the UK -- first the referendum in Scotland (scottish independece), now the upcoming vote on leaving the EU -- it's now wonder that people get a nervous. The UK leaving the EU would have huge implications and ramifications especially for the UK and its citizen.


By the way, there has surfaced a credible report that getting rid of (discontinuing/abolishing) the €500 banknote will cost at least 500 million Euros.
The costs stem from destroying the €500 notes and especially by producing new and much more €100 and €200 notes.
Edited by redlock
04/08/2016 05:13 am
Valued Member
PacoMartin's Avatar
United States
411 Posts
 Posted 04/27/2016  12:14 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add PacoMartin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Just checking to see if there are any ordinary people that buy into these ideas.

As of end of February 2016 the Bank of England was circulating 263.14 million £50 banknotes. Production statistics show that 440 million were printed.

2010/11 zero
2011/12 278 million
2012/13 zero
2013/14 90 million
2014/15 72 million
2015/16 zero

It seems to me there may be some advantage to limiting production in some way. I felt that BEP should limit the $100 in circulation to a trillion dollars worth, and only circulate a new note for each old note destroyed (give or take a percentage to make job practical). Since there are 7 $50 banknotes to every $100, the difference could be partially made up by printing $50s. If the world knows there is a limit, then there will be less political problems.

Norway stopped producing new 1000NOK banknotes in 2005, and has been slowly working through it's supply. Since the £50 is more valuable as a store of value, the existing notes will last longer.

How about the idea of stopping production of new £50 banknotes? Just let them fade away over the next thirty years.
Edited by PacoMartin
04/27/2016 12:15 am
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 04/27/2016  01:37 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I just bought a car for $22,000 in cash, saved $3,000 becuse I paid in cash.

Went to the bank 3 days earlier so that enough $100 notes could be made available. The bank reported the withdrawal under the
Cash Transactions Reports Law,
that is designed to control drug dealers. The receiver of the $22,000 in cash was required to report the receipt of the cash under the this Law as well.

A bit of an annoyance that I had to pay in $100 notes; I would have much rather paid in $500 or $1,000 notes. The $100 notes proved to be a real pain in the 'proverbial', when it came to counting them. Had to count out and check count 220 x $100 notes. What a pain!

2 x $10,000 notes, and 2 x $1,000 notes would have made the payment in cash much simpler.
Pillar of the Community
DavidUK's Avatar
United Kingdom
2624 Posts
 Posted 04/27/2016  02:51 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DavidUK to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The £50 might be rarely seen in shops (you don't purchase a loaf of bread with one, in fact Greggs the high street bakers won't take them) but in certain circles they are seen all the time.

I work in the gaming sector... organising and dealing poker games. I won't say that £50 notes are the main means of transaction but they certainly account for a large percentage. Cash points do not pay out £50 notes so many people never see them but withdrawals from savings (when you go inside the bank) and withdrawals from casino's are often in £50's. Since many of the people who play poker also visit casino's we see lots of them.

I think twice before breaking into one, so maybe they are used as a store of wealth but I can't think that there is any crime that would be hindered by having money in £20 notes instead of £50 notes. I am not a drug dealer but I would wager that the majority of street transactions for drugs are done in used £10's and £20's by simple virtue that £50's are not paid out by cash machines.

That's another thing to mention too, for as long as I can remember the withdrawal limits at cash machines have been the same... while the value of the money has plummeted. Not only does £50 not go far anymore but they don't want you to be able to withdraw enough money to buy anything substantial.
Valued Member
PacoMartin's Avatar
United States
411 Posts
 Posted 04/27/2016  12:51 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add PacoMartin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
I just bought a car for $22,000 in cash, saved $3,000 becuse I paid in cash.


Buying and selling cars for cash is an oft cited example of a perfectly legal transaction that can often be done at a discount using high denomination notes. Gamblers prefer high denomination notes everywhere. Although you had to fill out a form, you are OK with that.

Let's look at the same transaction done with Australian dollar vs British Pound, Swedish Crown, Euro, or the Swiss Franc.

50 GBP = 96 AUD
1000 SEK= 163 AUD
500 EUR = 746 AUD
1000 CHF= 1356 AUD

British Pound is virtually the same as Australian $.

Sweden looks like an improvement, but since the government has only circulated 1.652 million of the new banknotes since last October for a population of 9.7 million, the task of getting that many notes for yourself for one transaction is almost impossible. You would have to do the transaction in 500SEK banknotes ~ 82 AUD which would require more than 220 notes.

The Swiss Franc would reduce your transaction to under 15 banknotes, and the Euro would take it down to about 32 banknotes.


Quote:
2 x $10,000 notes, and 2 x $1,000 notes would have made the payment in cash much simpler.


In 1969 the USA government swore to destroy all the $500 banknotes in their possession and not print any more. By policy (unlike UK and Sweden), USA and Canada do not declare old banknotes invalid, they just destroy all the ones in their possession and eventually the remaining notes become collectors items. Some countries don't like to keep old banknotes as liabilities and their account balance.

So while there is a slight chance of reintroduction of the $500 banknote in the USA, there is very little chance of reintroducing any higher denominations. I doubt that Australia would be any different.

---------------------

I am convinced that the giant Casino companies are going to invent a casino chip with an RFID chip embedded that is worth 500 Euros that is acceptable at casinos around the world. It will be challenged by governments, of course, but I think that the casino companies will find a way to win the legal argument.

I say Euros instead of USD only because there are over 200 million people that already use a currency that is pegged to the Euro. There are only a few million people that use a currency pegged to USD. Also since there is over 600 million 500 Euro banknotes circulating, I don't think another 100 million or so casino chips will matter that much. It will be easier to win the court case.

But the casinos will have a "casino currency" in place in case the ECB ever decides to do away with the 500 Euro banknote. As gamblers will use this chip as a store of value, casinos will benefit from the chips that are circulating as a kind of cash outside of casinos. Casinos will simply be the place where you convert back into national currency (but by gambling first).
Edited by PacoMartin
04/27/2016 5:10 pm
Valued Member
PacoMartin's Avatar
United States
411 Posts
 Posted 04/27/2016  5:24 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add PacoMartin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

1,251,200,000	FY 1996
0,649,600,000	FY 1997
0,764,800,000	FY 1998
1,542,400,000	FY 1999
0		FY 2000
0,201,600,000	FY 2001
0,604,800,000	FY 2002
0,854,400,000	FY 2003
0,515,200,000	FY 2004
0,668,800,000	FY 2005
0,950,400,000	FY 2006
1,088,000,000	FY 2007
1,209,600,000	FY 2008
1,785,600,000	FY 2009
1,907,200,000	FY 2010
0,723,200,000	FY 2011
0,003,027,200	FY 2012
4,428,800,000	FY 2013
0,640,000,000	FY 2014
1,078,400,000	FY 2015
20,867,027,200	


The USA says they have produced just over 20 billion $100 notes in the 20 years since the big headed Benjamin came out. Roughly 11 billion are currently circulating.


The Japanese were producing 1 billion 10,000JPY banknotes per year, but they are increasing to 1.2 billion to handle the rush to cash with 0% central bank interest rates.

2010/11 zero
2011/12 278 million
2012/13 zero
2013/14 90 million
2014/15 72 million
2015/16 zero

The production of 440 million 50GBP banknotes over a six year period, and 263 million in circulation looks pretty small by comparison (even taking population size into consideration).

Edited by PacoMartin
04/27/2016 6:44 pm
Bedrock of the Community
sel_69l's Avatar
Australia
21788 Posts
 Posted 04/27/2016  7:42 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add sel_69l to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
I seriously doubt that ANY country in the World would have the intention ot introducing, or re introducing, very high denomination notes in the long distance forseeable future.

Nevertheless, there is ample evidence that almost all countries are continuing to introduce increasingly higher denomiation notes due to inflation, as decades of years roll by.

Australia is a typical example:
Australia converted to a decimal currency in 1966, and the $20 was the highest denomination note at that time.
Due to infation, the $50 note was introduced in 1973, and the $100 note was introduced in 1984.
I have no doubt at all, that a $200 denomination note will be introduced within the next 10 years.
Valued Member
PacoMartin's Avatar
United States
411 Posts
 Posted 04/27/2016  11:55 pm  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add PacoMartin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
The £50 and the AUD$100 started circulating around the same time. But Australia is circulating more notes for a much smaller population than UK.
£50 ~ AUD$96

£50 notes in circulation in millions of banknotes
Feb 28, 2011	198.80		
Feb 29, 2012	197.98
Feb 28, 2013	206.46
Feb 28, 2014	220.50
Feb 28, 2015	235.76
Feb 29, 2016	263.14

AUD$100 notes in circulation in millions of banknotes
Dec 31, 2010	214.37
Dec 31, 2011	229.02
Dec 31, 2012	245.83
Dec 31, 2013	268.36
Dec 31, 2014	292.04
Jun 31, 2015	300.00


Quote:
I have no doubt at all, that a $200 denomination note will be introduced within the next 10 years.

1000 SEK ~ 163 AUD
500 SEK ~ 82 AUD

Which is why the Swedish experiment is interesting. The Swedish 1000SEK banknote never got much higher than circulation than 11 per capita in 2001 whereas the Australian $100 banknote is at about 13 per capita today. But Sweden has eliminated all but a token number of 1000SEK banknotes, and has reduced the 500SEK banknote to only about 9 per capita. From the looks of it, they hope to reduce even further.

If they take this to the extreme conclusion that only the 200SEK = $32.54 AUD is in wide circulation than cash will almost have lost it's "store of value" function in Sweden.

While your comment about inflation seems natural, countries may follow the Swedish example and try to remove high value notes.

Then there always is the question of currency unions. Currency unions will probably be easier if there are only small denomination banknotes circulating.

If BREXIT happens, then Sweden may follow in leaving the EU. It is possible that Sweden may be looking for a currency union. Norway is an obvious example and the Norwegian crown and the Swedish Crown are less than 1% apart, and at one time they were one country. But since both countries are small there is very little to be gained from a currency union.

But UK may be looking at currency unions with Canada and Australia (and possibly Sweden and Norway).

Canadian dollar and Australian dollar are about 4.5% apart, and they have similar economies. The Australian dollar and the British Pound are also about 4.5% apart if you double the Australian dollar.

Edited by PacoMartin
04/28/2016 12:34 am
Pillar of the Community
DavidUK's Avatar
United Kingdom
2624 Posts
 Posted 04/28/2016  06:43 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add DavidUK to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply
Even if the powers that be are interested in a currency union (for Britain) I doubt that the British public would except one.

We rejected the idea of the Euro whole-heartedly even if we were manipulated into the farce that is the EU political union... We are the 5th largest economy and can stand on our own two feet, the idea that we should get shackled to a currency that we don't have control over seems a long shot.

There is more chance on the USA adopting a joint currency with Mexico and Canada...and I don't know if there is any chance of that at all (other than wild speculation)

The UK is far less interested with currency unions than trade deals... if we get out of the EU we will be able to trade more freely with the rest of the world without having our hands tied by the bureaucrats in Brussels. As Farage quite rightly points out - there are no other cases other than Europe where free trade means you have to except free movement of peoples. The Germans will still want to sell us cars even if we don't except every Tom, Dick and Harry who wants to come here completely unvetted.

I don't understand where you would get the impression that Britain would have any interest in a currency union if we left the EU?

Valued Member
PacoMartin's Avatar
United States
411 Posts
 Posted 04/28/2016  10:11 am  Show Profile   Bookmark this reply Add PacoMartin to your friends list Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:

We rejected the idea of the Euro whole-heartedly even if we were manipulated into the farce that is the EU political union... We are the 5th largest economy and can stand on our own two feet, the idea that we should get shackled to a currency that we don't have control over seems a long shot.


I am not suggesting that UK be shackled to a currency that they have no control over. The UK would be the largest economy in a "northern alliance" currency union.

Smaller currencies are always subject to currency speculators like George Soros. Sweden has relentless pressure by speculators to try and make the currency go up in value.
GDP (PPP)
China $19,392,357
European Union $19,205,364
United States $17,947,000
Japan $4,830,065
United Kingdom $2,679,325
Canada $1,631,943
Australia $1,138,085
Sweden $473,413
Norway $356,209
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