Should CCN "Trends" Numbers Be Revised To Better Reflect Market Reality?

The Canadian Trends has always been run by the dealers, so it would be up to them to decide on whether or not the prices should be reduced.

My opinion would be to reduce the prices by 30% right across the board.

That would be a good start.

To be honest, although I have the CCN trends, I just use ebay sold listings to see what people are paying now-a-days. I got a couple of issues of the CCN that where a couple years apart and nothing has changed in the trends so I don't really know how reliable that is. And who knows, maybe if they lower trends, people will pay even less for coins

What is really necessary is for the economy to improve in Canada to the point where Canadians actually have some discretionary income. Poor Canadian Coin sales are just a tiny reflection of what is wrong as to the general malaise of the entire economy . You could offer many nice coins at half or less and not increase Canadian Sales one bit. Paying for our big new shiny government , Hydro, Food , and various other issues of day to day life get in the way of the odd 1948 dollar sale.
Sure it is true that most Canadian Dealers are having a difficult time getting anywhere near trends , us included. There are alternatives though. The export market is much better. Things as far as US sales are rolling along quite nicely.
To get back to the question of revamping trends. My vote is to eliminate it altogether and start fresh.
Far better resources to sell coins are already available including ebay SOLD, Auction results Actual sales only. Mike Findlay's Wholesale newsletter ( highly recommended) are just a few.

Heritage sold for TPG, ebay sold for everything.

Anything else is plain laziness in assuming any other guide, including blue and gray sheets, are produced for the collector.

Do the work and check recent real sales.

I say leave the Trends alone.

You can't use " ebay sold" as there can easily be a 100% difference between a coin started at $1 and the same coin sold as a "buy-it-now".

What would be helpful is for the "Trends" editors to routinely look at the 10 "most overvalued" coins in terms of trends and the 10 "most undervalued" coins in terms of trends

and make adjustments accordingly. Do this every month or couple of months and ask collectors to submit their choices for 10 most overvalued or 10 most undervalued. This would bring the Trends quickly to a more realistic reflection of the market.

As examples, the 1859 1c DP9 No.1 is overvalued. In AU its $1350, yet there are AU coins sitting on ebay for $800, unsold.
Or the 2000P 10c is overvalued. In MS65 Trends is $2200, while a MS67 sits on ebay unsold at $1400.

Undervalued? Try getting a 1859 1c 9/6 in AU50 for Trends of $2800 (an AU58 sold on Heritage for $11,000)

There was large Dealer reaction when Greg Macdonald made major revisions in his last edition of his Australian coin price guide " Australian Coins and Banknotes".
As many Australian Dealers use his guide when selling raw coins (Strangely enough NOT when buying them) they hated the new revised valuations.
There has been a downward trend in numismatic values in Australia and his latest edition truthfully reflected that downturn.
If this is the case in Canada then the "Trends" should be revised to reflect the TRUE current valuations

They should at least change the name from "trends", maybe call it "Dreams", "Over Estimate" or "Coin Fiction". The only trend I see, is that it is overvalued by 40%.

I have a hard time believing it is too difficult to update, I keep a list of 940+ coins to complete a circulation set, I will update about 150-200 a year to maintain current market value of my collection. And this is my hobby, they do this for a living. With most of the coins never changing value like 1968-present, the job should be pretty easy. A penny form 2013 5 cent piece, on a good day, should only be valued at less than a dollar, except in very highest grade, this won't change.