2017 My Canada Inspiration Special Wrapped Rolls: What Is Going On?

Headlessone, looking at a horizontal roll from left to right, you could get HH, HT, TH, TT. So the one head one tail pattern is more likely. It seems most people are okay with all tails or one head, one tail, but do not want all heads.

So let us examine the one head - one tail scenario. Although it is the most likely, for it to occur over even five rolls is .5 x.5 x.5 x.5 x.5 = .031 or 3% or 1 in 32. Over 12 rolls the odds of one head one tail showing on each roll is 1 in 4,096. Almost impossible. It is like tossing 12 coins at once and getting all heads. Try that 20 times and I bet you will not even be close to getting it. Just for fun, I went to the bank today and asked for 12 rolls of dimes. When I got home I checked the ends of the rolls and had only 5 rolls with a head/tail combination.

My calculations assume that you have an equal chance of a head or tail at each end. If they are wrapped randomly that is the case. But maybe they are produced and packed in a way that more heads are shown or are hidden much of the time. That I would not know. I have to assume that heads and tail are equally likely to be showing.

A smart gambler many years ago asked me in Vegas, what's the next roll of a roulette if 16 black # were rolled, I foolishly answered red, he said no dummy the true odds are always same 1 in 38 and the ball is blind. Now most collectors who paid a premium for these rolls are not gamblers hoping for a head tail roll just kind of expected it, and inferred by the RCM ad, but the odds should be same for head to head, tail to tail and the head tail percent whatever that is.

I am almost sure these and all recent rolls at Winnipeg is done randomly, the big difference with the penny rolls were they instantly for what ever reasons went to crazy prices instantly, nobody cares, but theses sets are marketed differently and seems most collectors cares, and you are correct the RCM does not care, but might change their views on these or future special rolls hopefully.

Kind of boring last night then open up all my cases and rearrange my special wrap rolls.
( bought My Canada My Inspiration Wrap Rolls from dealer with discount but no return allowed because of HH rolls )

Now I got 4 cases with all HH rolls and 5 cases with all HO rolls.
( still need to figure out what to do with rest of other rolls, some OO, some HO, some colour. )

tried that Moneypenny, but it seems none have them in my area. Quite frankly, not running around for a day and a half is worth the $90 to me.

Colonial Acres has the cellophane wrapped rolls for a modest premium over issue price.

https://www.colonialacres.com/category-s/1050.htm

Does not include the GITD or coloured quarter.

Your local coin shop may also have them. Banks may have them later in the year.

Cellophane wrapped rolls total $130.75 (VIP price).

Unique 150th Special wrap roll set at $179 has (supposedly) 1/3 GITD toonies and 1/3 coloured quarters, and is nicely displayed in a case. To me it's worth an extra $48.25, especially since collectors are paying $8 to $12 for the GITD toonies. LCC selling them for $8.00.

Will check local banks later, but not expecting to find any in my area.

Personally, I'd keep the tail/tail for both Classic and Special rolls, but that's just me. I don't need to see the Queen's face on every coin.

I ended up with tail/tail for each roll in the 150 Special Wrap set, except for the 5 cent roll, which is head/tail.